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Tulsa vs. Memphis Prediction,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#191 Tulsa
Golden Hurricane 65
#192 Memphis
Tigers -17

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

2 - 7


Memphis Tigers

5 - 4


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The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will head on the road on Saturday afternoon for a late-season American Athletic Conference showdown against the Memphis Tigers.

Both of these teams find themselves at the bottom of the American Athletic Conference standings so far this year. Tulsa is at the bottom of the AAC West Division standings with a 1-4 conference record, while Memphis is just one game ahead with a 2-3 mark in AAC play.

Freshman Boomer has best game of the year vs. UConn

After seven consecutive losses, the Golden Hurricane finally got back on the winning track last week by pummeling UConn in an American Athletic Conference showdown last week. Quarterback Seth Boomer threw for 168 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions on the day. Meanwhile, sophomore running back Shamari Brooks ran the ball 17 times for 151 yards and Corey Taylor II added 133 yards and a score to help propel Tulsa to their first victory since the opening week of the season. UConn took an early 10-0 lead, but Boomer led a furious comeback to give the Golden Hurricane a commanding 28-13 lead before the half. Tulsa scored on seven consecutive possessions to take control of the game and snap their seven-game losing streak.

Boomer entered the conversation as the team’s starting quarterback after sophomore Luke Skipper had season-ending back surgery. Skipper had tossed four touchdowns and six interceptions prior to his injury, but the freshman Boomer has fared much better, compiling 781 passing yards, seven touchdowns and just two picks in five starts this year.

Tulsa enters the week with a 2-7 overall record. The Golden Hurricane are scoring 23.6 points and averaging 388.9 yards of total offense so far this season, while allowing 27.4 points and 401 yards of total offense on the other side of the football. Tulsa does most of its damage on the ground on offense, where they are running for 221 yards per game this season. The run game has accounted for 57 percent of the team’s total offense this year.

White having strong debut season as Tigers’ QB

The Tigers are fresh off of a 59-41 victory over the East Carolina Pirates last week, snapping a two-game losing streak. Darrell Henderson rushed for a pair of fourth-quarter touchdowns to help the Tigers break away from a second-half tie in a game that features nearly 1,200 yards of total offense. Henderson finished with 132 rush yards and two scores, while Tony Pollard added nine rushed for 89 yards and two scores and Patrick Taylor Jr converted his 16 rushes for 59 yards and a touchdown, as the Tigers combined for 277 rush yards and five rushing TDs on the day. Quarterback Brady White completed 21 of 30 passes for 362 yards, three touchdowns and no picks, while Damonte Coxie caught 10 balls for 176 yards and two scores to lead the team in receiving.

Memphis comes into the week with a 5-4 overall record. Powered by a high-scoring offense once again this year, the Tigers are averaging 44.3 points and 535.6 yards of total offense per game, but they have plenty of balance too. The Tigers average a near-even split between rushing and passing yardage, averaging 268 yards through the air and 267 rushing yards per game. Quarterback Brady White is in the midst of a phenomenal season, throwing for 2,328 yards, 20 touchdowns and three interceptions through the first nine games of the season. The problems for Memphis come on the defensive side of the ball, where they ave allowed 417.2 yards of total offense this year, including 175.4 rushing yards per game on the ground.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Tulsa has covered the spread in each of their last five trips to Memphis and the road team has covered the spread in each of the last seven meetings between these two teams, however, that isn’t going to stop me from rolling with the Tigers in this spot. Freshman quarterback Seth Boomer has been awesome during his short stint as the Golden Hurricanes starter, but he hasn’t been asked to carry the load offensively. That could change on Saturday if Tulsa goes down big early, which is a possibility against Brady White and the Tigers’ offense. Take Memphis to cover the spread at home in this AAC matchup on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Pick: Memphis Tigers -15.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Tulsa has gone under the projected total in nine of their last 11 conference games, while the Tigers have stayed under the total in four of their last five conference matchups. I expect plenty of points to be put up in this game, but this game is being pegged for 65.5 points, which seems a bit too high. If Tulsa is going to have success in this game, it is going to be running the football, which should keep Memphis’ high-scoring offense off of the field. Look for this game to stay under the projected total in Memphis on Saturday.

Prediction: Under 65.5

Half-Time Side Pick

Tulsa has traditionally done well in this series against the spread, but they are starting a true freshman at quarterback in this one. Boomer has played well in his time under center for the Golden Hurricanes, but it is hard to trust him to keep up with this high-flying Memphis offense. Brady White has a 20:3 TD-to-INT ratio coming into this game, while Henderson has a whopping 15 rushing scored already this year. Take Memphis to cover the spread in the first half of this game on Saturday/

Prediction: Memphis -10

Half-Time Total Bet

This game is going to feature a ton of points and if Boomer has any sort of success against the Tigers defense, this game should have no problems going over the projected total on Saturday. Tulsa’s freshman quarterback should come in with plenty of confidence after having his best game of the year last week and he comes in with a solid seven TDs and only two picks so far this year. Take the over in the first half of this game on Saturday.

Prediction: Over 34.5

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.


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