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UNLV vs. San Diego State Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-10-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#223 UNLV
Rebels
#224 San Diego State
Aztecs

Saturday, November 10, 2018 at 10:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UNLV Rebels

2 - 7

4-5
ATS
6-2
O/U
28
PPG
39
OPPG

San Diego State Aztecs

7 - 2

2-7
ATS
3-6
O/U
22
PPG
19
OPPG

Betting Trends

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The UNLV Rebels will be hoping to halt a six-game losing streak when they visit the San Diego State Aztecs at Qualcomm Stadium on Saturday night. UNLV is coming off consecutive setbacks against Arkansas State, New Mexico, Utah State, Air Force, San Jose State, and Fresno State. The Aztecs are 7-1 in their last eight contests following a win at New Mexico last weekend.

Rogers to return?

UNLV starting quarterback Armani Rogers is questionable for Saturday’s game against San Diego State. The Rebels’ plan is to start Max Gilliam at quarterback while perhaps throwing Rogers into the mix if he is close to 100 percent. Rogers has been out since suffering a toe injury on Sept. 22 at Arkansas State.

“We’re just trying to raise his level of comfort in there,” head coach Tony Sanchez said of Rogers. “He’s definitely not 100 percent running right now, so we’ll see how the week progresses. We want Armani a week of taking all the (No.) 1 reps before we start him. It’s not unlikely that he plays in the game.”

Gilliam is more of a passer, to the tune of throwing 12 touchdown passes over four starts prior to last Saturday’s 48-3 loss to Fresno State . The Rebels feature a more wide-open offense with Gilliam at the helm, while they are more run-based when Rogers is running the show.

Instant impact

San Diego State quarterback Christian Chapman (knee) and running back Juwan Washington (clavicle) returned in backup roles last Saturday. Both eventually became key contributors during a 31-23 comeback victory at New Mexico. Chapman, who missed the previous six games, completed 13 of 19 passes for 182 yards and a touchdown. Washington, out since Sept. 22, rushed for a 50-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter.

“I think we’ve been [playing close games] all season,” Chapman noted. “It’s been a fight. Every game has been a fight. They’re always close. That’s the theme for this team this year. We’re fighters and we’re going to grind to the end. That’s how are games are going to be this season.”

Washington has found the endzone seven times this season to go along with 608 yards on a 5.5 yards-per-carry average. He and Chase Jasmin have combined for 12 rushing touchdowns. San Diego State’s 31 points last week were its most this season, so the offense has to be feeling good about itself heading into Saturday.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

For the Aztecs, fullback Isaac Lessard is also back along with Chapman and Washington. It is worth noting that the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two teams.

Prediction: UNLV Rebels

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

UNLV left guard Jaron Caldwell (foot) is questionable for Saturday. Donovan Outlaw, the starting left tackle until last week, will start at left guard if Caldwell is out. Justice Oluwaseun, coming off his first career start at right tackle, would shift to left tackle in that case. Rotating parts on the offensive line are not what the Rebels need after scoring only three points against Fresno State. The under is 4-1 in the Rebels’ last five against winning opponents and 11-5 in their last 16 on the road against opponents with winning home records. It is also 23-9-1 in the Aztecs’ last 33 at home, 30-14-1 in their last 45 against losing opponents, and 4-1 in their last five following a win. Additionally, the under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between the two teams and 3-0-1 in UNLV’s last four trips to San Diego State. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Prediction: Under

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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