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The UNLV Rebels will be hoping to halt a six-game losing streak when they visit the San Diego State Aztecs at Qualcomm Stadium on Saturday night. UNLV is coming off consecutive setbacks against Arkansas State, New Mexico, Utah State, Air Force, San Jose State, and Fresno State. The Aztecs are 7-1 in their last eight contests following a win at New Mexico last weekend.
Rogers to return?
UNLV starting quarterback Armani Rogers is questionable for Saturday’s game against San Diego State. The Rebels’ plan is to start Max Gilliam at quarterback while perhaps throwing Rogers into the mix if he is close to 100 percent. Rogers has been out since suffering a toe injury on Sept. 22 at Arkansas State.
“We’re just trying to raise his level of comfort in there,” head coach Tony Sanchez said of Rogers. “He’s definitely not 100 percent running right now, so we’ll see how the week progresses. We want Armani a week of taking all the (No.) 1 reps before we start him. It’s not unlikely that he plays in the game.”
— Mark Wallington (@UNLVFBSID) November 5, 2018
Gilliam is more of a passer, to the tune of throwing 12 touchdown passes over four starts prior to last Saturday’s 48-3 loss to Fresno State . The Rebels feature a more wide-open offense with Gilliam at the helm, while they are more run-based when Rogers is running the show.
San Diego State quarterback Christian Chapman (knee) and running back Juwan Washington (clavicle) returned in backup roles last Saturday. Both eventually became key contributors during a 31-23 comeback victory at New Mexico. Chapman, who missed the previous six games, completed 13 of 19 passes for 182 yards and a touchdown. Washington, out since Sept. 22, rushed for a 50-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter.
“I think we’ve been [playing close games] all season,” Chapman noted. “It’s been a fight. Every game has been a fight. They’re always close. That’s the theme for this team this year. We’re fighters and we’re going to grind to the end. That’s how are games are going to be this season.”
Washington has found the endzone seven times this season to go along with 608 yards on a 5.5 yards-per-carry average. He and Chase Jasmin have combined for 12 rushing touchdowns. San Diego State’s 31 points last week were its most this season, so the offense has to be feeling good about itself heading into Saturday.
The San Diego State Aztecs are:
- 0-4 ATS in their last four overall
- 1-4 ATS in their last five home games
- 1-5 ATS in their last six games against the Mountain West Conference
The UNLV Rebels are:
- 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games
- 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with winning home records
- 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on grass
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
For the Aztecs, fullback Isaac Lessard is also back along with Chapman and Washington. It is worth noting that the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings between the two teams.
Prediction: UNLV Rebels
Full-Game Total Pick
UNLV left guard Jaron Caldwell (foot) is questionable for Saturday. Donovan Outlaw, the starting left tackle until last week, will start at left guard if Caldwell is out. Justice Oluwaseun, coming off his first career start at right tackle, would shift to left tackle in that case. Rotating parts on the offensive line are not what the Rebels need after scoring only three points against Fresno State. The under is 4-1 in the Rebels’ last five against winning opponents and 11-5 in their last 16 on the road against opponents with winning home records. It is also 23-9-1 in the Aztecs’ last 33 at home, 30-14-1 in their last 45 against losing opponents, and 4-1 in their last five following a win. Additionally, the under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings between the two teams and 3-0-1 in UNLV’s last four trips to San Diego State. Look for this one to stay under the total.