Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#301 Eastern Michigan -17 vs.
#302 Akron 49.5
Tuesday, November 12, 2019 at 6:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#301 Eastern Michigan University
#302 University of Akron
4-5
0-9
3-6
-9
5-3-1
4-5
26
10
33
35

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It’s a crossover matchup from the Mid-American Conference on the gridiron as some early week college football action comes to you from the Buckeye State. The Eastern Michigan Eagles are on the road as they travel to face the Akron Zips Tuesday night. Eastern Michigan comes in off a bye: they were pelted 43-14 by Buffalo at home in their last game on November 2. Akron was off last week: they were clobbered 35-6 by Bowling Green on the road in their last game on November 2. The Zips lead the all-time series between the schools 10-8 but it was Eastern Michigan taking a 27-7 home win in the last matchup on November 10, 2018.

Eastern Michigan Eagles Try to Return to .500

Eastern Michigan was off last week, giving them a couple of extra days to prepare for this one after getting pasted by Buffalo in their last game. The Eagles hope to get a win here to even their record at 5-5 while picking up their second conference win of the year. Eastern Michigan led 7-0 in the first quarter before things fell apart. The Eagles gave up a safety to lead 7-2 after one quarter but were blown out 27-0 in the second quarter: that was part of 43 unanswered points by Buffalo in the game. Eastern Michigan was outgained 460-210 in the game. In addition, the Eagles were clobbered 26-6 in the first down battle and dominated in time of possession by a 42:24 to 17:36 margin in the contest. Eastern Michigan committed the game’s lone turnover as well.

The Eagles are 31st in the nation in passing offense as they average 278.1 yards per game: the run game is 123rd in the nation by rushing for 99.4 yards per contest. Eastern Michigan is 83rd in the FBS in scoring offense by putting up 26.2 points per game while ranking 109th in scoring defense as they allow 33.2 points per contest. Mike Glass III has completed 169 of 265 passes for 1,991 yards with 16 touchdowns and eight interceptions this season: he is second on the team with 194 rushing yards and five scores. Preston Hutchinson is 43 of 56 for 462 yards with three touchdowns and one interception on the year. Willie Parker is third on the team with 37 carries for 131 yards plus a score while Shaq Vann (76 carries, team-high 351 yards, two TD) is in the mix as well. Dylan Drummond leads the team with 39 catches for 362 yards plus three scores. Matthew Sexton (29 grabs, 425 yards, four TD), Quian Williams (36 receptions, 443 yards, four TD) and Arthur Jackson III (28 catches, 456 yards, four TD) are also solid options. Chad Ryland has hit 18 of 20 extra points and 10 of 14 field goal tries with a long of 52 this season.

Akron Zips Seeking First Win of 2019

Akron was off last week but they enter the game 0-9 on the season as they were clobbered by Bowling Green in their last game. The Zips hope to regroup and earn their first win of the season in this contest. Akron led 6-0 on a couple of early field goals but was shut down the final three-plus quarters en route to the loss. The Zips lost the total offense battle 276-100, gave up 17 first downs while recording only seven and lost the time of possession by a 37:02 to 22:58 margin in the game. For good measure, the Zips turned the ball over four times while forcing just one takeaway. Akron put up their sixth game with single-digit point totals in their nine games this year.

The Zips are miserable offensively this season: they enter the game 94th in passing offense with 202.9 yards per game through the air and 130th, or dead last, in rushing offense with 51.3 yards per game. Akron is last in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 10.2 points per game while they stand 119th in scoring defense by allowing 35.7 points per contest. Kato Nelson is 134 of 207 passing for 1,327 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions while ranking second on the team with 121 rushing yards. Zach Gibson is 38 of 70 for 402 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions while Robbie Kelley is 10 of 26 for 75 yards plus two picks. Brandon Lee leads the team with 59 carries for 172 yards on the ground this season. Michaih Burton (30 carries, 99 yards, TD) and Delton Sands (35 carries, 91 yards, TD) are next in line. Nate Stewart leads the team with 34 catches for 463 yards and three scores on the year. Michael Mathison (31 grabs, 243 yards), Julian Hicks (20 receptions, 131 yards, TD) and Jeremiah Knight (19 catches, 252 yards) are other targets in the passing game. Cory Smigel has hit all four extra-point attempts and three of four field goals with a long of 35. Jerry Fitschen is five of six on extra points and two of six on field goals with a long of 42 this season.

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There’s little reason to have optimism about the Zips in this contest. When you’re 0-9 and sit dead last in the FBS in both rushing and scoring offense, those are reasons for concern. Factor in that the team has scored seven points or less in six of their last nine games and you have to be even less inclined to take the hosts. Akron hasn’t scored a touchdown in their last four games, getting outscored 131-9 in that stretch. Eastern Michigan hasn’t been all that great but they can score some points and it works in their favor here. The Eagles get back to .500 on the season as they put the boots to the Zips, dropping Akron to 0-10.

 

Prediction: Eastern Michigan Eagles -17

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When Akron takes the field, you usually can't expect much from offense on their side of the ledger. The Zips are a staggering -16 in takeaway/giveaway on the season and in the six games when they scored seven points or less, they totaled 19 points. Akron has been shut out twice in the last month: they scored three and six points in their other two games in that span. Eastern Michigan has put up some points but their defense has struggled at times this season. Can the Eagles' defense rise to the occasion and be the latest team to slow down the Zips?

The under is 4-0 in the Eagles' last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home, 5-0-1 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 6-2-2 in their last 10 after a straight-up loss. Akron has seen the under go 6-1 in their last seven on Tuesday and 5-1 in their last six after a bye week. There's no reason to think that this one is going to be a bonanza for offense: look for it to fall under the total in this contest.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.