Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#355 Appalachian State -17 vs.
#356 Georgia State 62.5
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 7:30pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#355 Appalachian State University
#356 Georgia State University
8-1
6-3
6-3
5-2-2
4-5
5-3-1
36
35
19
35

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It’s a battle of teams from the Sun Belt when the top two teams from the East Division clash in the Peach State. The #25 Appalachian State Mountaineers are on the road as they travel to face the Georgia State Panthers Saturday afternoon. Appalachian State bounced back from their first loss of the season as they took down South Carolina 20-15 on the road last Saturday in their previous contest. Georgia State comes in off a 45-31 road loss to UL Monroe in their previous contest last Saturday. The Mountaineers own a 5-0 edge in the all-time series between the teams, including a 45-17 home win in the last matchup on November 17, 2018.

Appalachian State Mountaineers Try to Earn Second Straight Win

Appalachian State shrugged off their loss to Georgia Southern at home to knock off South Carolina on the road last week. The Mountaineers are 4-1 in Sun Belt play and hold a one-game lead over both Georgia State and Georgia Southern in the East Division. Appalachian State broke a 6-6 tie in the final two minutes of the first half as they had a pick-six. The Mountaineers didn’t let the Gamecocks back to even in the contest. Appalachian State was outgained 346-202, lost the first down battle 22-11 and were edged 30:10 to 29:50 in time of possession. Both teams turned the ball over once in the contest.

The Mountaineers enter this game 100th in the nation in passing offense as they average 193.8 yards per game through the air and 20th in the nation by running for 217.6 yards per game. Appalachian State is 19th in the FBS in scoring offense with 36.4 points per game and 18th in scoring defense as they allow 19.1 points per contest. Zac Thomas is 148 of 273 passing for 1,671 yards with 14 touchdowns and four interceptions: he adds 296 rushing yards and five scores on the ground. Jacob Huesman is two of four for 73 yards and two scores. Darrynton Evans leads the team with 165 carries for 883 yards with 10 touchdowns while Daetrick Harrington (33 carries, 178 yards, TD) and Marcus Williams Jr. (68 carries, 350 yards, four TD) are solid options on the ground. Thomas Hennigan leads the team with 39 receptions for 449 yards and four scores. Malik Williams (38 catches, 445 yards, two TD) and Corey Xavier Sutton (31 grabs, 383 yards, three TD) are good secondary targets. Chandler Staton has hit all 43 extra point attempts and nine of 12 field goal tries with a long of 47 this season.

Georgia State Panthers Look to Take Share of East Division Top Spot

Georgia State was knocked off by UL Monroe in their last contest to see their win streak snapped at four games. The Panthers now look to get back on track and earn a share of the top spot in the East Division here. Georgia State was tied at 24 at the half and at 31 after three quarters before running out of answers. UL Monroe scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns while holding the Panthers scoreless to earn the win. The Panthers were outgained 590-536, edged 28-27 in first downs and lost the time of possession 33:55 to 26:05 in the game. Both teams turned the ball over once in the contest.

The Panthers enter this contest 89th in the nation in passing offense (210.3 yards per game) and stand 6th in rushing with an average of 274.7 yards per contest. Georgia State is 23rd in the FBS in scoring offense with 36 points per game but stands a miserable 122nd in scoring defense by allowing 36 points per game. Dan Ellington has completed 163 of 248 passes for 1,813 yards with 18 touchdowns and four interceptions: he is second on the team with 603 rushing yards plus five scores. Cornelious Brown is eight for 23 passing for 80 yards with an interception this year. Tra Barnett leads the ground game for the Panthers with 178 carries for 1,118 yards plus 10 scores while Seth Paige (61 carries, 405 yards, four TD) is the next guy in line. Cornelius McCoy leads the team with 48 receptions for 515 yards and four touchdowns. Sam Pinckney (36 grabs, 460 yards, five TD) and Jonathan Ifedi (16 catches, 183 yards) are good targets for Ellington. Brandon Wright has hit 39 of 40 extra points and 10 of 15 field goal tries with a long of 48 on the season. Barry Brown connected on his lone extra point attempt while not attempting a field goal.

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Georgia State is an effective run team that is going to try and grind the clock. Appalachian State is a solid defensive team that just limited South Carolina to 21 yards on 27 rushing attempts last week. Georgia State set a school-record as they ran for 414 yards against UL Monroe last week but it still came in a loss. The Panthers’ Achilles heel is their defense, which has given up 208 yards per game and 23 scores on the ground this season. Georgia State is in the bottom 10 in the FBS in scoring defense and that’s their undoing here: Appalachian State gets the victory on the road.

 

Prediction: Appalachian State Mountaineers -16.5

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Appalachian State had put up at least 30 points in six of their first seven games before being held to 21 and 20 points, respectively, in their last two contests. The Mountaineers look to get their offense back on track here. On the plus side, Appalachian State has given up 15 points or less in four of their last five games. Georgia State has hung at least 31 points in seven of their games this season. The defense has been leaky, giving up at least 30 points seven times. Will the Panthers' defense make enough plays to slow down the Mountaineers' attack and steal a win here?

The under is 6-1 in the Mountaineers' last 7 games in November, 5-1 in their last six on the road, 4-1 in their last five overall and 5-2 in their last seven on turf. Georgia State has seen the under go 13-3 in their last 16 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The under is 4-1 in the five meetings between the teams: look for this one to fall short of the mark.

Prediction: 62
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.