Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#391 Hawaii -6.5 vs.
#392 UNLV 71
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 4:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala



#391 University of Hawaii at Manoa
#392 University of Nevada, Las Vegas


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It’s a matchup between teams from the West Division of the Mountain West out in the Silver State. The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors are on the road as they make the trip to face the UNLV Rebels Saturday afternoon. Hawaii comes in off a 42-40 home win over San Jose State in their previous contest last Saturday. UNLV was drubbed 37-17 on the road by Colorado State in their previous contest last Saturday. The Rainbow Warriors lead the all-time series between the teams 13-11 and claimed the last contest, 35-28, at home on November 17, 2018.

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Seek Second Straight Win

Hawaii had lost three of four before coming up with the win over San Jose State in their last contest. The Rainbow Warriors improved to 3-3 in conference play, leaving them a game behind San Diego State for the top spot. Hawaii took the lead for good early in the third quarter and traded scores the rest of the way to escape with the victory. The Rainbow Warriors owned a 509-491 advantage in total offense and held a 31:19 to 28:41 advantage in time of possession to overcome a 28-26 disadvantage in first downs. Hawaii committed the game’s lone turnover.

The Rainbow Warriors are 3rd in the nation in passing offense with 349.1 yards per game through the air and stand 87th in rushing offense with 147.8 yards per contest. Hawaii is 16th in the FBS in scoring offense by averaging 37.3 points per game while they stand a miserable 124th in scoring defense by allowing 36.4 points per contest. Cole McDonald is 226 of 355 passing for 2,796 yards with 25 touchdowns and 12 interceptions while rushing for 353 yards plus four scores. Chevan Cordeiro is 49 of 82 for 681 yards with six touchdowns and one interception plus 131 yards and three scores on the ground. Miles Reed leads the team with 107 carries for 569 yards and six scores while Fred Holly III contributes 43 carries for 255 yards and a score this season. Cedric Byrd leads the team with 74 receptions for 838 yards and nine touchdowns. Jared Smart (52 catches, 604 yards, two TD), JoJo Ward (48 catches, 828 yards, 10 TD) and Jason-Matthew Sharsh (52 grabs, 535 yards, TD) are quality secondary options. Ryan Meskell has hit all 46 extra point attempts but is only seven of 12 on field goal tries with a long of 50.

UNLV Rebels Hope to Snap Slide

UNLV dropped their third straight and their seventh in the last eight games as they were drubbed by Colorado State last week. The Rebels enter this one as one of two teams without a win in conference play in the Mountain West along with New Mexico. UNLV gave up a score on the opening kickoff and that set the tone for the game against the Rams. The Rebels were down 21-0 after the opening quarter and never recovered. UNLV was outgained 428-387, lost the time of possession battle 31:45 to 28:15 and owned a narrow 24-23 edge in first downs. There were no turnovers in the contest.

The Rebels are 83rd in the nation in passing offense with 213.8 yards per game and stand 69th in rushing by picking up 162.9 yards per contest. UNLV is 102nd in the FBS in scoring offense with 23.6 points per contest and stands 116th in scoring defense by allowing 34.4 points per game. Armani Rogers has completed 41 of 79 passes for 393 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions while ranking third on the team with 204 yards and two scores on the ground. Kenyon Oblad is 120 of 208 for 1,531 yards with 12 touchdowns and six picks this season. Charles Williams leads the team on the ground with 151 carries for 876 yards plus seven scores: Chad Magyar (50 carries, 249 yards, TD) is the next back in line. Randal Grimes leads the team with 38 catches for 566 yards plus six scores. Noah Bean (19 grabs, 321 yards, two TD) and Steve Jenkins (18 receptions, 246 yards) are the next targets in progression. Daniel Gutierrez has hit 26 of 27 extra points and is eight of 10 on field goal tries this season with a long of 44.

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UNLV has really struggled this season as the loss of Rogers to a sprained knee has forced Oblad into the mix as a freshman. The Rebels have fallen apart, losing seven of their last eight contests coming into this one. Hawaii is a high-octane offense with the ability to put plenty of points on the board. The Rainbow Warriors have been good with the run and shoot this season and it’s going to be tough for a weak UNLV defense to defend. Look for Hawaii to take care of business in this contest as the Rainbow Warriors earn their seventh win of the year.

Prediction: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors -7

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Hawaii has been an offensive machine as they have put up at least 31 points in eight of their 10 games this season. In the two games where the Rainbow Warriors fell short of that mark, they put up 20 points against Washington and 26 against Air Force. UNLV has had offensive struggles, putting up 17 points or less six times this season. The Rebels have had problems on the defensive side of things, giving up at least 30 points in six of their games. Will the Rebels find a way to come up with a defensive showing against the run and shoot or will they crash and burn once again here?

The under is 4-0 in the Rebels' last 4 games following a straight up loss, 5-1 in their last 6 games in November, 5-1 in their last six on fieldturf and 5-1 in their last six after an ATS loss. It's hard to put faith in UNLV putting up enough points to help this one along. Look for it to fall short of the total here.

Prediction: Under 74

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.