Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#375 Kansas 66 vs.
#376 Oklahoma State -17.5
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Sporty Jordy

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#375 University of Kansas
#376 Oklahoma State University
3-6
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When and where: November 16, 2019, Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK, 12:00 PM ET

An opportunity to make a little noise in the winding season is on the line for the Kansas Jayhawks in Saturday’s road trip to Stillwater to take on the No. 23-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys. After ending a four-game losing streak, the Jayhawks suffered a defeat at the hands of Kansas State over a week ago. They are hopeful to get back on the winning track by upsetting a Cowboys team coming off back-to-back wins over TCU and Iowa State. It will be an uphill battle for the Jayhawks’ moribund defense taking on one of the Big 12 Conference’s most explosive offenses.

Jayhawks must stop the run

There is no secret what the Jayhawks will have to do if they hope to have a shot at winning on Saturday. They’ll either need one of the greatest offensive performances in school history, or they’ll have to figure out a way to at least slow down the Cowboys’ devastating rushing attack.

The latter seems like an even longer shot than the first consideration.

Not only are they the worst rushing defense in the conference, but they are coming off a loss in a game where Kansas State totaled 342 rushing yards and five touchdowns against them. That doesn’t seem like a team prepared to stop one of the top-10 best rushing offenses in the country. Oklahoma State running back Chuba Hubbard leads the nation with 1,604 rushing yards and a ridiculous 178.2 yards per game average. The best comparison of a match-up between Hubbard and Kansas’ defensive line would be a boulder rolling through a Paper Mache house.

The defense will also be missing a pair of important pieces in safety Jeremiah McCullough and linebacker Dru Prox. While Prox is out indefinitely with a shoulder injury, McCullough is expected to miss the rest of the season with an undisclosed ailment.

Kansas’ only other option calls on Carter Stanley or running back Pooka Williams Jr. to be a hero. They could do so by putting on the sort of prolific performance that would help them match Oklahoma State’s 37.1-point scoring average. The Cowboys don’t pretend to boast a great defense, and most of their games typically play out like an old school Western.

Every team that has defeated them this season has managed to score 36-plus points. It could be an uphill battle with Kansas ranking as the conference’s second-worst scoring offense.

Oklahoma State will unleash Hubbard

Oklahoma State freshman quarterback Spencer Sanders should prepare for another long day of handing the ball off to Hubbard and getting out of the way. It won’t come as any surprise considering he’s been doing that all season. The sophomore running back’s monstrous year has been one of the biggest storylines for the Cowboys. He’s dominating to the point where he’s making even good defenses look bad.

TCU’s defense is still picking its jaw off the ground after getting ran over for 223 yards and two touchdowns on 20 rushing attempts. Hubbard might even see more carries against Kansas’ pedestrian run defense. Teams are averaging 5.0 yards per carry against them on the ground, setting the stage for a juicy match-up for the Cowboys.

Sanders will have opportunities to take his shots as well if he’s desperate to get in on the action. Kansas hasn’t fared much better against the pass, and they’ve only picked off four interceptions this season. However, it’s wise to continue to let Hubbard star in an offense that just lost leading receiver Tylan Wallace for the season with a knee injury.

The Cowboys can clearly be had on defense by the right team. They have the fourth-worst defense in the conference allowing an average of 438.2 total yards per game. They’ll be fortunate enough to be facing a shoddy Kansas offense with few playmakers to actually compete in a shootout.

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There won’t be any Western-style offensive shootouts in Saturday’s game. Kansas should be able to move the ball against the Cowboys’ defense, but they lack the firepower to actually go blow-for-blow with their offense.

Hubbard is the one problem on the field with no solution for the Jayhawks. His speed and versatility will overwhelm a Kansas defensive front that couldn’t stop a cold this season. Of course, Oklahoma State would love to boast an otherworldly defense to couple with their explosive offense, but they’ve been able to get by out-scoring most teams. Kansas did show some life against Texas in what is pegged as one of the season’s best games, but that Texas offense didn’t have Hubbard coming out of the backfield.

And they were also worse on defense than Oklahoma State.

The Cowboys are a big-play football team, and Kansas is the second-worst team behind Texas in giving up long scrimmage plays. There will be plenty more to come when Hubbard starts chewing up grass with his legs. I’m taking the Cowboys to hand down another lopsided beating to the Jayhawks.

Prediction: Oklahoma State Cowboys (-17.5)

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Oklahoma State should be able to get what they want on offense. It’ll be somewhat the same for Kansas as well taking on a defense allowing an average of 29.3 points per game. The Jayhawks aren’t a dead in the water team offensively.

Both Stanley and Williams are capable of making enough plays to at least keep the contest exciting, particularly for fans that enjoy a lot of offense. Unfortunately for the Jayhawks, success is impossible when the defense is giving up touchdowns at such an alarming rate. Yet, it’ll mean success for your bank account if you follow my lead and roll with the over on Saturday.

Prediction: Under (67.5)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Sporty Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys and all the Sun Drop you can drink.