Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#401 LSU vs.
#402 Ole Miss
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Scott Reichel



#401 Louisiana State University
#402 University of Mississippi


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Week 12 of college football continues as LSU travels to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to play against Ole Miss on Saturday, Nov. 16 at 7:00 P.M. This will be the 107th meeting between these two teams. These two teams have not met since last season when the Tigers beat the Rebels at home by the score of 45-16.

LSU Now Controls Its Own Destiny

Ed Orgeron has his team in amazing form headed into this game. Specifically, LSU is still one of the only undefeated teams left in the nation as it is one of the favorites to win a national championship this season. Last week, LSU went into Tuscaloosa and beat Alabama on the road in a thrilling 46-41 victory. That performance was so good that it pushed the Tigers into the #1 spot in the AP Top 25 Poll. Now, LSU is in the driver seat as it controls its own destiny when it comes to making it into the College Football Playoff. LSU can probably afford to lose one game and still qualify but a perfect regular season will be enough for the Tigers to keep their title hopes alive. As a result, expect LSU to come out focused once again this week.

Leading the Tigers offensively is senior quarterback Joe Burrow who has been amazing ever since he decided to transfer from Ohio State. So far this season, he has thrown for 3,198 passing yards and 33 passing touchdowns. In addition, Burrow has been amazingly accurate in the pocket as he has completed 78.9% of his passes and has only thrown four interceptions. Burrow is currently the betting favorite to win the Heisman Trophy this season and another good performance in this game can put the finishing touches on his campaign.

Defensively, LSU has been solid but it can definitely improve moving forward. The Tigers are allowing 22.30 points per game which ranks 36th in the nation. In addition, the Tigers are allowing 340.4 yards per game which ranks 33rd in the nation. Now, LSU will look for a great defensive outing after giving up 41 points last week to Alabama.

Ole Miss Looks To Keep Bowl Game Hopes Alive

Ole Miss enters this game with a disappointing 4-6 record despite winning at home against New Mexico State last week by 38 points. The main reason for its struggles this season has been its inability to beat teams in conference play on a regular basis. Specifically, the Rebels have lost four of their first six games against SEC opponents. As a result, Ole Miss is in serious danger of missing a bowl game as one more loss will be enough to kick it out of contention. Even though this game is at home, Ole Miss has to defeat one of the best teams in the nation in order to keep its bowl game hopes alive. As a result, expect Ole Miss to come out extremely motivated and focused as the roster will likely lay it all out on the field on Saturday.

Leading the Rebels on offense is freshman quarterbackJohn Rhys Plumlee who has been extremely solid so far this season. Plumlee has thrown for 666 passing yards and four passing touchdowns. In addition, he has been amazing on the ground as he has a team-high 777 rushing yards along with seven rushing touchdowns. However, Ole Miss has not given Plumlee all of the work at quarterback as it has split time between him with fellow freshman quarterback Matt Corral who is a bit more of a conventional passer. This duo has helped spark some life into the Rebels' offense and it will look to keep LSU's defense on its toes in this game.

Defensively, Ole Miss has been pretty good up to this point. The Rebels are allowing 23.9 points per game which ranks 44th in the nation. In addition, the Rebels are allowing 396.9 yards per game which ranks 71st in the nation. However, Ole Miss struggled a lot against Alabama's offense as it gave up 59 points so now it will look for a better result against LSU's elite offense on Saturday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Even though this is a road game, LSU is the best team in the country according to the AP Poll so it should be able to demolish a 4-6 Ole Miss team regardless of the location. Ole Miss' defense is below average and I think Burrow will put together another great performance that will clinch the Heisman Trophy for him. Plus, LSU loves to play at an uptempo pace which should keep Ole Miss' defense tired throughout this game. I think LSU will win this game comfortably by at least four possessions so I will take the road team.

Prediction: LSU -21

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Due to LSU's elite offense, I have to take the over. LSU has the ability to score at least 50 points against anyone as it just scored 46 points on the road against Alabama last week so I think it should be able to reach 50 on Saturday in this game. Plus, LSU should give up some garbage time points late in the second half after all of the starters get pulled so I think Ole Miss can score 17 points in this game. As a result, I have to take the over.

Prediction: Over 65.5

Half-Time Side Pick

Insiders Status:


LSU has one of the best offenses in the country and I think that this unit cannot be stopped at this point in time. Ole Miss will try to create pressure on Burrow but he is so quick with his decisions that I think it will just lead to some long touchdowns by LSU's receivers in the first half. It would not surprise me to see LSU have at least 28 points by the half and I cannot see Ole Miss keeping up in the slightest. Give me the road team as a result.

Prediction: LSU 1H

Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.