The #19 Boise State Broncos will host the New Mexico Lobos in an MWC tilt Saturday night from Albertsons Stadium. The New Mexico Lobos are looking for any bright spots they can find as a rough season winds down. They have only won two games with those wins occurring against non-FBS opponent Sam Houston State and a win against New Mexico State. The Lobos stand at 0-5 on the road this season which included a 21-10 loss to Nevada in their latest action on November 2nd.
The Boise State Broncos are in control of first place in the MWC Mountain. The Broncos feature a perfect 5-0 conference record with only three games to go. They have won two straight games which included a narrow 20-17 overtime home win against Wyoming on Saturday. The Broncos are a perfect 5-0 on their home field, and they climbed two spots to #19 in this week’s AP top 25 rankings. #1 QB Hank Bachmeier did not play last week but is expected to return in this one. Boise State posted a convincing 45-14 road win against New Mexico last season.
New Mexico Charged with Six Straight Defeat
The New Mexico Lobos have dropped six consecutive games. This will be an emotional night for this squad after last week’s game against Air Force was postponed due to the tragic death of defensive lineman Nahje Flowers. The Lobos are also still searching for their first conference win. They were competitive in a 21-10 road loss to Nevada in their latest game. Tevaka Tuioti is starting to play better, collecting over 500 passing yards in his last two games. The sophomore QB has accumulated 1250 passing yards with a 7:6 TD to INT ratio on the season.
The Lobos feature a strong running game led by Ahmari Davis. The senior RB has tallied a combined 280 rushing yards in his last two games, and he has accrued 823 rushing yards. New Mexico leans on Jordan Kress in the air. The junior WR has made at least four catches in three straight games, and he has 449 receiving yards. The Lobos offense will need to generate some offense in the air considering the Broncos stifling rush defense.
The New Mexico defense has struggled most of the season. They especially have issues defending the pass with the 130th ranked pass defense, but they can stop the run with a rush defense that is placed 57th overall. The Lobos are scoring an average of 23.4 points, placing them down at 103rd in the FBS. They are allowing an average of 35.8 points, positioning them 120th overall.
#19 Boise State Remains Perfect in Conference Play
The #21 Boise State Broncos are the only team in the MWC that has yet to lose a conference game. The Broncos have rebounded from their week nine loss to BYU by registering two straight wins. Their outstanding defense was on display in their 20-17 overtime home win against Wyoming on Saturday night. The Broncos started backup QB Chase Cord in place of an injured Hank Bachmeier in Saturday’s win. The good news is Bachmeier is expected to return to action this week. The freshman QB has a ton of talent and he has accrued 1760 passing yards with a 9:4 TD to INT ratio. I expect him to attempt several passes against a weak New Mexico defense
The Broncos ground game can also be a threat. George Holani has rushed for over 250 yards in his last three games, and he has tallied 619 rushing yards on the season. Look out for John Hightower in this one. The senior WR should find plenty of open field against a weak secondary. Hightower has accumulated 630 receiving yards on the year. The Broncos should return to their elite form this week with Bachmeier back at QB.
The Boise State defense has been inconsistent at times. They squandered 42 points to San Jose State a few weeks ago and rebounded against Wyoming last week. They stand 64th against the pass and 24th against the run. The Broncos are currently averaging 35.4 points, good for 26th in the FBS. They are holding opponents to 22.7 points, placing them 39th overall.
The New Mexico Lobos are:
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 November games.
- 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record.
The top supporting trends found on covers.com are as follows: The Boise State Broncos are:
- 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a losing record.
- 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after conceding less than 170 passing yards in their previous game.