Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#395 Southern Miss -17 vs.
#396 UTSA 52
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 6:00pm EST
Written by Scott Reichel

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#395 University of Southern Mississippi
#396 University of Texas at San Antonio
6-3
4-5
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5-4
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29
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Week 12 of college football continues as Southern Miss travels to Martin Stadium to play against UTSA on Saturday, Nov. 16 at 6:00 P.M. This will be the sixth meeting between these two teams. These two teams have not met since last season when the Golden Eagles beat the Roadrunners at home by the score of 27-17.

Southern Miss Looks To Keep C-USA Title Hopes Alive

So far this season, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles have been extremely solid. Specifically, they enter this game with a 6-3 record and a 4-1 record in conference play. As a result, Southern Miss is still in the hunt for a spot in the conference title game but it will need some help as Louisiana Tech is still undefeated in conference play and even beat Southern Miss earlier this season. As a result, the Golden Eagles will need a lot of luck in order to actually win a conference title but that goal is still technically alive which should keep Southern Miss motivated for these remaining conference games. In addition, Southern Miss enters this game in solid form as it has won each of its last two games by at least 14 points. Now, Southern Miss will look to extend that win streak on Saturday.

Leading the Golden Eagles offensively is junior quarterback Jack Abrahamwho has been great this season. He has thrown for 2,634 passing yards and 15 passing touchdowns. In addition, he also has been effective on the ground as he has four rushing touchdowns. However, he has also thrown nine interceptions so he will need to do a better job at limiting turnovers in the future.

Defensively, Southern Miss has been underrated up to this point in the regular season. Specifically, the Golden Eagles are allowing 25.8 points per game which ranks 54th in the nation. In addition, the Golden Eagles are allowing 346.3 yards per game which ranks 35th in the nation. Southern Miss has looked dialed in defensively as of late as it has held each of its last two opponents to a combined eight points so it will look to continue feasting on Saturday.

UTSA Continues To Overachieve

The UTSA Roadrunners have been a pleasant surprise in the C-USA this season. Specifically, the Roadrunners were predicted by oddsmakers to win approximately three games before the season started. Now, UTSA already has four wins through nine games. As a result, that means that UTSA is a serious threat to make a bowl game as it will need to win two of its last three games in order to qualify. In the short-term, all UTSA can worry about it getting back to a .500 record as it will face off against one of the best teams in the conference at home this weekend. Luckily, UTSA enters this game off a close one-point victory against Old Dominion on the road so perhaps some of that momentum can carry over into this game.

Leading the Roadrunners offensively is freshman running back Sincere McCormick who has had an amazing season. Specifically, he has already rushed for 747 rushing yards and eight rushing touchdowns. In addition, he also has been effective in the passing game as he has 18 receptions for 16o receiving yards. If UTSA plans on winning this game, McCormick will need to get into the endzone at least once.

Defensively, UTSA has been one of the worst teams in the entire conference. The Roadrunners are allowing 32.2 points per game which ranks 100th in the nation. In addition, the Roadrunners are allowing 403.4 yards per game which ranks 73rd in the nation. Now, UTSA will look to put together a good defensive performance for 60 minutes in front of its home fans.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Even though this is a road game, Southern Miss is the significantly better team in this matchup and I expect it to show on Saturday. Southern Miss also enters this game on a high note as it beat a good UAB team by 35 points last week while UTSA barely beat Old Dominion who has the worst record in the conference. I expect Abraham to make enough plays in the pocket for Southern Miss to score around 30 points while its defense will stifle UTSA's below-average offense. Give me the road team as a result.

Prediction: Southern Miss -16.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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With Southern Miss' defense and UTSA's offense, I have to take the under. UTSA is averaging 19.3 points per game and it now has to face a defense that has given up just eight points in the last two games combined so I would not be surprised to see UTSA score less than 14 points in this game. At the same time, Southern Miss has been worse offensively on the road this season so I think it will not score more than 35 points in this game. Give me the under as a result.

Prediction: Under 52

Half-Time Side Pick

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Southern Miss is in serious contention for a spot in the conference title game so it cannot afford to overlook any opponent for the rest of the season. As a result, I expect the Golden Eagles to come out extremely focused in the first half as they will look to dominate from start to finish. Plus, Abraham is one of the best quarterbacks in the conference and I think that UTSA will struggle to stop him early on before it can make some adjustments at halftime. Give me the road team as a result.

Prediction: Southern Miss 1H
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Written By Scott Reichel

Scott Reichel is a University of Wisconsin-Madison graduate with an insane passion for sports. His commitment to endlessly researching statistics helps separate him from other handicappers with regard to MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL and NFL coverage. Scott also shares his passion for sports on StatSalt's YouTube page where he does a daily show called Scott's Selections.