The Texas State Bobcats will host the Troy Trojans in a Sun Belt battle Saturday afternoon from Bobcat Stadium. The Trojans registered a 49-28 home win over Georgia Southern last week, and the Bobcats are coming off a 30-28 home win over South Alabama in their latest action. Troy defeated Texas State by a 12-7 score last season.
Troy Scores Season-High 49 Points
The Troy Trojans will be targeting their first two-game winning streak of the season in this one. The Trojans also need a win in two of their final three games to secure bowl eligibility. Troy’s offense is a strength which was evident in their 49-28 home win against Georgia Southern last week to improve to 2-3 in Sun Belt play. Kaleb Barker continues to shine. The senior QB has tallied at least 330 passing yards in three consecutive games, and he has accumulated 2,806 passing yards with a 24:7 TD to INT ratio.
Troy’s rushing offense isn’t nearly as productive as their passing game, although DK Billingsley can do damage. The sophomore RB has eclipsed 100 rushing yards four times this season, and he has 779 rushing yards on the year. I expect Billingsley to go after a weak Bobcats rush defense.
Watch for Kaylon Geiger in this one. The junior WR is very difficult to contain, racking up 255 receiving yards in his last two games, and he is up to 741 receiving yards. The Trojans offense is among the best in the Sun Belt, and they have scored at least 30 points in all but one game.
The Troy defense was better last week, but overall it has been an issue. They especially have trouble defending the pass, while their rush defense is decent, placing 50th in the FBS. The Trojans are scoring an average of 36.3 points, placing them 22nd overall. They are allowing an average of 32.1 points, pegging them 98th in the country. Troy is 1-3 on the road.
Texas State Snaps Three Game Slide
The Texas State Bobcats need a win in all three games to achieve bowl eligibility. The Bobcats snapped a three-game slide with a 30-28 home win against last-place South Alabama last week in a game that the Bobcats as seven-point favorites. Tyler Vitt has started the last three games in place of Gresch Jensen who is dealing with a concussion. Vitt tossed three TD’s last week along with a remarkable 373 passing yards, and the sophomore QB has 888 passing yards with a 6:8 TD to INT ratio on the year. Jensen has accused 1291 passing yards with five touchdowns against six picks, and he remains questionable. Even if healthy, chances are Vitt has earned another start.
The Bobcats don’t have much of a running game. They stand down at 129th in rushing yards per game. Caleb Twyford is actually a wide receiver who leads the team with 457 rushing yards. Twyford practiced on Tuesday but remains questionable. Texas State spreads its passing offense among several receivers. They have five players with at least 20 receptions led by Hutch White with 464 yards. The Bobcats offense has scored 14 or fewer points in three out of their last four games.
.@TXStateFootball's @JakeSpavital talks about tonight's win and the toughness of QB Tyler Vitt.— Texas State Bobcats (@TxStateBobcats) November 9, 2019
T. Vitt- 23/33, 373 pass yds, 3 TD's
H. White- 10 rec. 165 yards
T. Graham Jr.- 2 TD receptions pic.twitter.com/sq9uMcEB2J
The Texas State defense has posted a few solid performances but hasn’t been able to shut down opponents with consistency. They feature a great pass defense which ranks 18th in the FBS, so opponents will run the ball against a rush defense that is placed down at 122nd. The Bobcats are scoring an average of 17.8 points, ranking them 121st in the FBS. They are allowing an average of 29.9 points, pegging them 84th overall. Texas State owns a 3-2 home record.
The Troy Trojans are:
- 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after recording more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game.
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win.
- 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points.
The top supporting trends for this game found on covers.com are as follows: The Texas State Bobcats are:
- No Key Trends