Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#353 Wyoming 49.5 vs.
#354 Utah State -4.5
Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 4:00pm EST
Written by Chris Kubala

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#353 University of Wyoming
#354 Utah State University
6-3
5-4
6-3
5-4
3-6
4-5
27
28
17
27

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A pair of teams from the Mountain West take the field in the Beehive State. The Wyoming Cowboys are on the road as they make the trip to face the Utah State Aggies Saturday afternoon. Wyoming comes in off a 20-17 overtime loss on the road to #21 Boise State in their previous contest last Saturday. Utah State was victorious as they prevailed 37-35 on the road over Fresno State in their previous game last Saturday. The Aggies lead the all-time series 38-26-4, including a 24-16 road win in the most recent contest on October 20, 2018.

Wyoming Cowboys Seek to Regroup After Tough Loss

Wyoming had Boise State on the ropes but couldn’t deliver the knockout blow. As a result, the Cowboys fell in overtime and missed a chance to turn the Mountain Division of the Mountain West into a four-way tie for first. Wyoming led 10-7 at the half and 17-10 after three quarters before giving up the tying score with 5:24 to play in regulation. The Cowboys had a chance to send the game to double overtime but Cooper Rothe missed a 37-yard field goal try wide right to end the contest. Wyoming was outgained 285-283 in the contest: they did own a 32:28 to 27:32 edge in time of possession and forced the only two turnovers in the game. Both teams finished with 15 first downs in a pretty evenly matched contest.

The Cowboys are just 126th in the nation in passing offense with 128.8 yards per game while the team is 15th in rushing by putting up 226.4 yards per contest. Wyoming is 76th in the FBS in scoring offense by putting up 27.6 points per contest and stand 14th in scoring defense by allowing 17.9 points per game. Sean Chambers completed 52 of 121 passes for 915 yards with seven touchdowns and three interceptions: he is second on the team with 567 rushing yards and 10 scores. He was ruled out for the rest of the season in early November with a knee injury. Tyler Vander Waal is 19 of 39 for 244 yards with a touchdown while Austin Conway misfired on his lone pass attempt. Trey Smith (44 carries, 227 yards, three TD), Xazavian Valladay (155 carries, 755 yards, five TD) and Titus Swen (67 carries, 337 yards, TD) comprise a trio of talented backs to work within the ground game. Austin Conway is second on the team with 12 catches for 175 yards. Raghib Ismail Jr. (team-high 14 catches, 240 yards, two TD) and John Harshman (11 catches, 145 yards, two TD) are the only other players with double-digit catches this season. Cooper Rothe has hit 27 of 30 extra-point attempts and 11 of 17 field goal tries with a long of 47.

Utah State Aggies Trying to Stay In Mountain Division Chase

Utah State went down to the wire but came up with the winning points as time expired to down Fresno State on the road last week. The Aggies improved to 4-1 in the Mountain West and stand a game behind Boise State with a game between the two teams looming next week. Utah State can ill afford to look ahead as it nearly cost them last week’s contest against the Bulldogs. The Aggies trailed 35-31 in the opening minute of the fourth quarter and 35-34 when they got the ball back with 3:05 to play. Utah State drove 41 yards in eight plays, capped by Dominik Eberle’s 30-yard field goal that split the sticks as time expired, for the win. The Aggies outgained Fresno State 525-419, picked up 26 first downs while allowing 16 and overcame a 31:38 to 28:22 disadvantage in time of possession. There were no turnovers in the contest.

The Aggies are 29th in the nation in passing offense as they average 279.4 yards through the air while they are 82nd in rushing offense with 152 yards per contest. Utah State is 72nd in the FBS in scoring offense with 28.2 points per game while the team is 69th in scoring defense by allowing 27.3 points per contest. Jordan Love hit 206 of 334 passes for 2,402 yards with 11 touchdowns and 12 interceptions on the year: he’s added 110 yards on the ground. Henry Colombi is 11 of 12 for 108 yards plus two scores while Andrew Peasley is two of two for five yards. Jaylen Warren leads the Aggies with 78 carries for 444 yards plus five scores while Gerold Bright has 115 carries for 614 yards and six scores on the year. Siaosi Mariner leads the team with 45 receptions for 630 yards plus six scores: Caleb Repp (26 catches, 327 yards, two TD) and Jordan Nathan (32 grabs, 409 yards, TD) are next in line. Dominik Eberle has connected on all 30 extra point attempts and 14 of 16 field goal tries this season with a long of 48.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

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Wyoming has struggled to move the ball through the air this season and they are going to deal with the challenge of facing a Utah State team that can move the ball with regularity through the air. The Cowboys are going to lean on their defense to try and keep them in the game as the offense has struggled to put points on the board. Wyoming has been suspect against the air, giving up more than 278 yards per game through the air this season. That is in Utah State’s wheelhouse: look for the Aggies to pick up the victory in this contest.

Prediction: Utah State Aggies -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Wyoming has relied on their defense to stay in games this season, especially after losing Chambers. That means the Cowboys have to lean on the run game heavily in order to have success. Wyoming has put up 23 points or less in six of their games this season. Utah State has the ability to put up big point totals behind Love and the aerial attack. The Aggies have scored at least 34 points in five of their games this season and will test the Wyoming defense. Can the Cowboys find a way to keep the Aggies in check and steal one on the road?

The under is 4-0-1 in the Cowboys' last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 7-1 in their last 8 games in November and 10-2-1 in their last 13 road games. Utah State has seen the under go 6-0 in their last 6 games following a straight up win, 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record and 6-1 in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. This one ends up under the total as the Wyoming defense helps keep Utah State in check somewhat.

Prediction: Under 50
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.