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Kansas vs. Oklahoma Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-17-2018

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#401 Kansas
Jayhawks
#402 Oklahoma
Sooners

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 7:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Kansas Jayhawks

3 - 7

5-5
ATS
4-5
O/U
22
PPG
28
OPPG

Oklahoma Sooners

9 - 1

4-6
ATS
8-2
O/U
48
PPG
29
OPPG

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Check out our best plays in this week’s Fab Five:

It’s a clash between a pair of Big 12 programs in the Sooner State on the college football gridiron. The Kansas Jayhawks are on the road as they take the trip to face the #6 Oklahoma Sooners Saturday night. Kansas was dumped 21-17 on the road by Kansas State last Saturday in their most recent contest. Oklahoma edged Oklahoma State 48-47 at home in the latest chapter of Bedlam last Saturday. The Sooners own a dominant 74-22-6 edge in the all-time series between the teams and have taken the last 13 meetings. That includes a 41-3 road win in the last meeting on November 18, 2017.

Kansas Jayhawks Seek Improbable Upset

Kansas battled but came up short in Manhattan against in-state rival Kansas State on the road last week. The Jayhawks now face a team that they haven’t beaten since 1997 in Oklahoma: their last win in Norman came in 1996. Kansas led 3-0 at the half, then held leads of 10-7 in the third quarter and 17-14 in the fourth before giving up the eventual winning score with 2:46 to play in the game. The Jayhawks held the advantage in total offense (347-301), first downs (19-17) and time of possession (33:11 to 26:49) yet came up short. Kansas committed the game’s only two turnovers, which ended up proving costly. The Jayhawks are 5-5 ATS this season while the under is 6-4 in their games.

The Jayhawks come into this one 97th in the FBS in passing offense with 197.7 yards per game and 96th in rushing by averaging 141.3 yards per contest. Kansas is 110th in scoring offense as they put up 22.9 points a game while the team is 76th in scoring defense by allowing 28.1 points a contest. Peyton Bender is 146 of 259 for 1,568 yards with 12 touchdowns and two interceptions. Carter Stanley is 34 of 47 for 304 yards with three touchdowns and one interception while Miles Kendrick is 11 of 19 for 100 yards and a score plus 47 rushing yards and a touchdown. Pooka Williams Jr. leads the team on the ground with 130 carries for 770 yards and four scores. Khalil Herbert contributes 94 carries for 427 yards plus three scores while Dom Williams adds 41 carries for 162 yards. Steven Sims Jr. has a team leading 42 catches for 473 yards and four scores. Williams Jr. (29 grabs, 259 yards, two TD), Kerr Johnson Jr. (25 catches, 260 yards, two TD) and Stephon Robinson (24 receptions, 288 yards, TD) are solid targets in the passing game. Gabriel Rui has hit all 23 extra points and 10 of 15 field goal attempts this season with a long of 54. Liam Jones booted both extra point attempts he has tried this season without kicking a field goal.

Oklahoma Sooners Looking to Stay in Big 12 Title Hunt

Oklahoma won their fourth straight as their offensive assault continued to fire on all cylinders. The Sooners improved to 6-1 in the Big 12, tied with West Virginia: they’ll meet next Friday in the regular season finale for both squads. Oklahoma survived a missed two point conversion with 1:03 to play in order to secure the win. The Sooners had a 702-640 advantage in total offense and controlled the clock by a 33:49 to 26:11 margin in the contest. That helped offset that Oklahoma lost the first down battle 39-29, though they forced the game’s lone turnover. The Sooners are 4-6 ATS this season with the over going 9-1 in their contests.

The Sooners come into this one 9th in the nation in passing offense with 319.7 yards per game and is 9th in rushing offense with 257.4 yards per game. Oklahoma is 2nd in the FBS in scoring offense with 49 points per game while ranking 84th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing 29.8 points a game. Kyler Murray is 175 of 247 for 3,038 yards with 32 touchdowns against five interceptions along with 640 rushing yards, good for second on the team, plus seven scores this season. Austin Kendall is 12 of 17 for 122 yards plus a touchdown while Tanner Mordecai is two of four for 37 yards. Trey Sermon has 131 carries for 846 yards plus 10 scores. Rodney Anderson ran 11 times for 119 yards and three scores before being lost for the year with a torn ACL: Kennedy Brooks (57 carries, 640 yards, nine TD) is the second back in the system now. Marquise Brown (53 receptions, team high 956 yards, eight TD) and CeeDee Lamb (41 grabs, 777 yards, nine TD) are back to provide experience at the receiver spots. Austin Seibert has hit all 64 extra points and 11 of 13 field goal attempts with a long of 42 yards. Gabe Brkic hit his only extra point attempt this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Oklahoma has been piling up points all season long and that is something that is going to be a challenge for Kansas to contend with. We’re looking at the fact that Kansas hasn’t scored more than seven points in any of the last four matchups and has cracked the 20 point mark just once in their 13 game skid, with that coming back in 2008 when the Jayhawks were actually a ranked team. We know the grim statistics of the Jayhawks since and there’s no reason to expect them to succeed here. Give the points and ride the Sooners in this one.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners -36

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

When you’re facing Oklahoma, you know that a lot of points are going up on the board. Whether they’re going up for your team or not is open to interpretation but the fact is, the Sooners have seen the over go 9-1 this season. Kansas has been better offensively this season but the fact remains that it’s another lost season for the Jayhawks. The team has started to put some pieces in place as they look to try and become successful. Can Kansas find a way to pull a rabbit out of the hat and upset the Sooners?

The over is 5-0 in the Sooners’ last 5 games following a straight up win, 4-0 in their last four at home, 4-0 in their last four after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game, 7-0 in their last seven after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and 10-1 in their last 11 overall. Given the way Oklahoma hangs points on the board, this one ends up cruising over the total.

Prediction: Over 69

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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