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Texas Tech moved one step closer to being bowl eligible with a win last week and the Red Raiders have a chance to finish the year 7-5 if they can pull out a victory this week. They will travel back home next week as they close out the regular season with a battle against Baylor.
Duffey masterful in relief of Bowman, but Red Raiders fall to Texas
The Red Raiders failed to stop their recent slide, falling at home to No. 19-ranked Texas 41-34. Texas Tech battled back from a 34-17 deficit in the fourth quarter to tie the game on Jeff Duffey’s nine-yard touchdown pass to Antoine Wesley, but Sam Ehlinger found Lil’Jordan Humphrey from 29-yards out with just 21 seconds left in the game to cap a seven-play 75-yard game-winning drive. Duffey finished the game 37 of 47 passing for 444 yards passing, four touchdowns and one interception on the day, while also adding a team-high 80 rush yards on the day in a losing effort. Wesley finished with eight catches for 171 yards and two scores, while T.J. Vasher caught eight passes for 87 yards and two touchdowns for the Red Raiders, who racked up 595 yards of total offense. The loss marked their third straight defeat and their second straight loss by one touchdown or less against a Top-20 opponent.
— Scott Paull (@scottpaull) November 11, 2018
The Red Raiders played last week without standout freshman quarterback Alan Bowman, who suffered a partially collapsed lung that was a reoccurrence of a similar injury that happened in the team’s game against West Virginia. Bowman was still in the hospital as of Nov. 6, and while head coach Kliff Kingsbury did not rule him out for the rest of the season, he did not sound optimistic about his chances of returning to the field this week against Kansas State.
Texas Tech comes into the week averaging 41.8 points per game and 528.4 yards of total offense per contest. Duffey played well in relief of Bowman last week and he’s thrown for 1,071 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions so far this season. He also qualifies as the team’s leading rusher with 377 yards and four rushing touchdowns on the year. The Red Raiders defense has allowed 31.7 points and 454.2 yards of total offense per game through the first 10 games of the year.
Snyder searching for answers on special teams
Kansas State snapped a two-game losing streak by defeating Kansas 21-17 thanks to a late score by quarterback Alex Delton. Alex Barnes ran for 117 yards and two touchdowns, while Delton finished 11 of 17 for 126 yards and added a 21-yard rushing score with 2:46 remaining to give the Wildcats their fourth victory of the year.
— MidcoSN (@MidcoSNKansas) November 12, 2018
Head coach Bill Snyder has been known for getting stellar results out of his special teams units. However, special teams has been a nightmare for Kansas State this season. The team muffed the opening kickoff of the third quarter, muffed a punt, missed a field goal and botched the hold on another in the game against Kansas, while finishing with just 12 return yards on the day.
The Wildcats enter the week scoring 21.1 points per game so far this season. They are averaging 334.1 yards of total offense per game, but 53.6 percent of their total offense has come on the ground this year. On defense, Kansas State is allowing 25.7 points per game and 416.7 yards of total offense.
- Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.
- Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Red Raiders have covered the spread in just two of their last seven meetings against Kansas State and they enter this game without their star freshman quarterback. However, Duffey looked much more confident under center for the Red Raiders last week and he should be able to keep his momentum going against a Kansas State defense that has allowed 416 yards of total offense per game this year. Ever since Sylar Thompson’s injury, this Wildcats offense has struggled to score points on a consistent basis, so I’m leaning towards Texas Tech covering the spread on the road in this Big 12 battle in Kansas on Saturday.
Prediction: Pick: Texas Tech -6
Full-Game Total Pick
These two teams have gone over the projected total in nine of their last 10 meetings and it wouldn’t be surprise to see that trend continue once again on Saturday. The Wildcats’ special teams unit has been awful this season, constantly giving their opponents great field position and extra opportunities with the football. That doesn’t bode well for Kansas State this week against a Texas Tech offense that can put points on the board in a hurry. Look for this game to stay over the projected total on Saturday.
Prediction: Over 57