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NCAAF

Missouri vs. Vanderbilt,
11-18-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot

#381 Missouri
Tigers
#382 Vanderbilt
Commodores

Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 8:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Missouri Tigers

5 - 5

6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
37
PPG
31
OPPG

Vanderbilt Commodores

4 - 6

3-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
23
PPG
30
OPPG

Missouri Tigers (5-5 SU, 2-4 Conf, 6-4 ATS)
vs Vanderbilt Commodores (4-6 SU, 0-6 Conf, 3-6-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, Nov. 18th, 7:30 PM ET

Line: Missouri -8.5

Total: 67

TV/Live Stream: SEC Network, WatchESPN

Vanderbilt is still looking for their first conference win as they host Missouri on Saturday night. If the Commodores can get two in a row, they’ll still be eligible for a bowl as they went 4-0 in non-conference play. The Tigers need just one more victory and they’ve won four straight. Mizzou has won three of the last four meetings.

Missouri blows out Tennessee, ends Butch Jones era

After falling to Georgia in early October, Missouri has hit another level on both sides of the ball. They’ve outscored their opponents 215-66. Two of them were bad non-conference foes such as Idaho and UConn while the other were home victories against struggling Florida and Tennessee squads. While the quality of opponent hasn’t been sharp, the Tigers have still taken advantage and now average over 500 yards on offense.

In a 50-17 thumping of Tennessee, Missouri was able to register 659 total yards with most of that coming in the running attack. Ish Witter had a season-high 216 yards and a score on 24 carries. He now has 720 yards this season with four touchdowns. Larry Rountree III, a freshman, complemented that with a season-high 155 yards and another score on 18 caries. He also had his second reception of the season for 19 yards.

Vandy QB gets tagged for four picks in tough outing

While Vanderbilt’s opponent has found success late in the season, the Commodores are still looking for that conference win. They thought some momentum would spark after a victory over Western Kentucky, but they were unable to compete in a 44-21 loss to SEC Kentucky. The Commodores were one-dimensional in the defeat, being held to just 60 yards on the ground. They also had four interceptions, all thrown by quarterback Kyle Shurmur.

Shurmur finished completing 30-of-43 passes for 308 yards. While he did have a touchdown, throwing that many picks is inexcusable and kept Vanderbilt from having a chance. Shurmur even had two fumbles on the day, but luckily for him neither of those were lost. Generally, the junior QB is more accurate than what he portrayed as he’s thrown for 2,192 yards and has a ratio of 21 touchdowns to 7 picks.

Trends

Missouri is:

  • 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record
  • 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games

Vanderbilt is:

  • 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall
  • 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games

The Tigers have beaten the stuffing out of bad teams lately, and this will likely be another edition of that streak. Missouri should coast to a bowl bid in this matchup.

Pick: Missouri -8.5

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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