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New Mexico St vs. UL Lafayette,
11-18-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#399 New Mexico State
Aggies
#400 UL Lafayette
Ragin Cajuns

Saturday, November 18, 2017 at 5:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Mexico State Aggies

4 - 5

6-2
ATS
4-5
O/U
31
PPG
32
OPPG

UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

4 - 5

3-5
ATS
5-4
O/U
28
PPG
38
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

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Both the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns and New Mexico State Aggies are 4-5 heading into a showdown at Louisiana-Lafayette’s Cajun Field on Saturday evening. The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off a blowout loss at Ole Miss. The Aggies have won two of their last three contests after most recently defeating Texas State on Nov. 4.

Player of the Week

New Mexico State defensive end Cedric Wilcots II earned the previous week’s Sun Belt Conference Player of the Week honors for his performance in an 45-35 win over Texas State on Nov. 4. Wilcots recorded five tackles, three forced fumbles, and a career-high three sacks. Such a sack total had not been recorded by an Aggie since Aubrey Dorisme delivered three against Middle Tennessee on Oct. 11, 2003. The forced fumbles were the sophomore’s first three of his career.

Of course, as the score indicates, the offense was just as much responsible for beating Texas State. Quarterback Tyler Rogers completed 29 of 46 passes for 474 yards and three touchdowns without getting picked off. Rogers and Larry Rose III also scored on the ground. Five different players had at least four receptions and four different players had at least 83 yards worth of receptions. Jaleel Scott finished with 130 yards and a score on seven catches.

Lewis expected to be ready

Louisiana-Lafayette freshman quarterback Levi Lewis, who has started the last two games, is expected to have the green light for Saturday’s contest against New Mexico State. Lewis’ left last week’s 50-22 setback against Ole Miss with an ankle injury. He has been cleared by doctors and will likely be on the practice field on Tuesday. Lewis threw two touchdown passes and also rushed for 129 yards in his first start, a 19-14 win over South Alabama. He went 14-for-26 with 166 yards against the Rebels, who limited him to 11 yards on the ground.

“He checked out good and he’s going to practice tomorrow,” head coach Mark Hudspeth said on Monday. “I expect him to be 100 percent by Saturday.

“If Levi’s healthy, he’ll start, and all indications are that he’ll be at 100 percent. He did a lot of good things on Saturday. You see him pass and you see him run, but what stands out is his poise. You see him fixing to pull it down and run, but then he’ll look downfield and look to extend the play. He did that a lot against South Alabama and Ole Miss to convert third downs and move the sticks.”

NCAAF Trends:

The New Mexico State Aggies are:

  • 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 overall
  • 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven road games
  • 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with losing records

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns are:

  • 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall
  • 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games
  • 9-20 ATS in their last 29 home games against teams with losing road records

Louisiana-Lafayette’s quarterbacks have been getting banged up left and right. The good news is that Lewis should be good to go this week. He will have to be if the Ragin’ Cajuns want to keep up with New Mexico State. NMSU has scored at least 21 points in all of its games this season and is coming off a sterling performance on the offensive side of the ball against Texas State. The Aggies are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 overall, 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven on the road, 3-0-1 ATS in their last four on the road against opponents with losing home records, 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 against losing opponents, and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. Louisiana-Lafayette is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 overall, 2-5 ATS in its last seven at home, and 9-20 ATS in its last 29 at home against opponents with losing road records. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.

Pick: New Mexico State Aggies -4

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

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