Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#113 Colorado State 49 vs.
#114 Wyoming -6.5
Friday, November 22, 2019 at 9:30pm EST
Written by David Hess

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#113 Colorado State University
#114 University of Wyoming
4-6
6-4
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4-6
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30
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College Football action on Friday evening and a pair of teams from the Mountain West Conference will square off as the Colorado State Rams duke it out with the Wyoming Cowboys at Jonah Field War Memorial Stadium in Laramie, Wyoming. The Cowboys won this game on the road last year by a score of 34-21. The Rams are at 4-6 on the year while the Cowboys are at 6-4. Both teams are 3-3 in league play.

The Rams Are Trying To Finish Strong

This is a must-win game for the Colorado State Rams if they harbor any hopes of reaching bowl eligibility. The Rams began the season with a 1-5 record, but they have turned it around by winning three of their last four games. The Big difference of late has been a defense that has allowed 27.5 ppg over their last four games, compared to allowing 36.3 ppg over their first six games, which includes allowing 40.8 ppg against Division One teams over that stretch. The defense has clearly been the key to their turnaround as the offense has stayed solid all season long. The Rams come in ranked 22nd in the nation in total offense and 59th in scoring, putting up 30.6 ppg. The defense has struggled on the road as they have allowed 38.6 pg away from home, so they will look for their defense to get back on track in this one. That is a possibility as the Cowboys are 105th in total offense and 78th in scoring, putting up just 26.9 ppg so far.

The Rams are off a loss as they fell to Air Force at home by a score of 38-21. The defense actually played well in the game as the Rams allowed the Falcons just 353 yards of total offense. Air Force did run for 227 yards on them, but that was still nearly 100 yards less than their per-game averaged on the year. Colorado State is 114th in the nation against the run, compared to 17th against the pass. That could be a problem as the Cowboys are 20th in rushing, compared to 125th in passing. If they struggle against the run, it could be a long night for the Rams. Leading the offense has been Patrick O'Brien, who has thrown for 2297 yards with 10 TDs and four INTs. RB Marvin Kinsey has been released from the team so their current leading rusher is Marcus McElroy, who has 322 yards. The Rams are facing a tough defense, so they will need more from a ground attack that ranks 90th in the nation.

Cowboys Look To Stay Perfect At Home

The Wyoming Cowboys have had a solid season as they have gone 6-4 so far and a big reason for the success has been their play at home. The Cowboys have gone a perfect 5-0 here at home for the year and that includes a win over Missouri from the SEC. They have been led by their defense in those games as they have allowed just 15.4 ppg in those games. The defense of the Cowboys has been the story to their season overall as they enter this game ranked 59th in total yards allowed and 16th in points allowed, giving up just 18.7 ppg. The problem on defense has been their pass defense, which ranks way down at 120th in the nation and they will be facing the 12th ranked passing attack of the Rams. The Cowboys could be in trouble if they can't stop the pass in this one.

Wyoming does come in struggling as they have lost their last two games in a row. Both games were on the road. They will be looking to get back on track now that they are back home. In their last game, the Cowboys lost to Utah State by a score of 26-21 and it was their pass defense that let them down. The Aggies threw for 317 yards in the contest while rushing for 131. The Cowboys will need their pass defense to play much better in this one. The Cowboys were also hurt by four turnovers in the loss to the Aggies, which included three INT from Tyler Vander Waal. It was just his 4th game of the year that he has played in. The Cowboys rely on their 20th ranked ground attack to move the pigskin. Xazavian Valladay leads the team with 869 and he will be taking aim at a very poor Colorado State-run defense in this one.

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The Rams are off a bad home loss to the Falcons, but they have still won three of their last four games after a horrible 1-5 start to the year. The run defense for the Rams has been bad this year and it will struggle against a strong Cowboy ground attack. Still, the defense for the rams has played far better of late than earlier in the year and the Cowboys do not have an explosive offense. The Wyoming defense has been very tough at home, but they have allowed 240 ypg through the air over their last three home games and that was against three teams that are all ranked 67th or worse in passing at the moment. Now they have to face the 20th ranked passing game in the league and the Cowboys will struggle to slow it down. Wyoming will not make enough stops to cover this number and I feel that the Rams will win the game outright.

Prediction: Colorado State +7

Full-Game Total Pick

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The Rams will get their points against a porous Wyoming pass defense, but they will not go crazy. The Rams have been playing better on defense of late and the Cowboys are not a good offensive team overall. Wyoming can only run the ball and that will chew up plenty of the clock. The Cowboys have to run the ball as it limits the number of chances their opponents have with the ball. That plays well for them as the Rams have been very bad against the run. This game will feature a lot of running from Wyoming and we also note that their defense has allowed just 10.0 ppg in their last three games at home. The Under isΒ  8-1 in Colorado State's last nine conference games and 8-1 in Wyoming's last nine games in November.

Prediction: Under 50.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.