Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#161 Boston College 61.5 vs.
#162 Notre Dame -20
Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 2:30pm EST
Written by David Hess

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#161 Boston College
#162 University of Notre Dame
5-5
8-2
6-4
6-4
8-2
4-6
33
35
32
19

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College Football action on Saturday afternoon and the Boston College Eagles will square off with the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Notre Dame Stadium in South Bend, Indiana. These teams last met back in 2017 and the Irish won that game on the road by a score of 49-20. The Eagles enter this game at 5-5 on the year while Notre Dame comes in at 8-2.

The Eagles Are Struggling On Defense

The Boston College Eagles began their season at 2-0 but they have since gon just 3-5 to fall to 5-5 on the year. The Eagles need one more win to gain bowl eligibility. Can they gain that in this game? We shall see. If they hope to win, then the Eagles will need to shore up things on the defensive side of the ball. Boston College enters this game off a 38-31 home loss to Florida State and they have now allowed a whopping 548.7 ypg and 41.3 ppg over their last three games. That is not good news at all as the Eagles will be facing a Notre Dame offense that has found itself of late. The Eagles allowed the Seminoles to pile up 524 yards of total offense, including 346 yards through the air. Boston College is 125th in the nation against the pass, so Ian Book has to be licking his chops.

The Eagles have not been a bad offensive team and they did rollup 502 yards against the Seminoles, but it wasn't enough. The Eagles are led by their ground game, which is 5th in the nation and they piled up 281 yards on the Noles. Leading the way was AJ Dillon, who had 165 yards in the contest. He has 1451 yards rushing on the year, which is 3rd in the nation. Dillon will have a shot at a good game as the Irish are 79th in the nation against the run. Dennis Groselthrew for 227 yards with two TDs and an INT. He has taken over as the starter after Anthony Brown was lost for the season. As I stated above, the Eagles need just one more win for bowl eligibility and that will not be easy as they have a tough road game against Pittsburgh after this one.

Book Got His Groove Back

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are no longer in play for a spot in the NCAA playoffs. That has allowed them to play free of late and it is showing up on the field. After their loss to the Wolverines, the Irish have won their last three games in a row and they have outscored their last two foes by a count of 90-27. Ian Book has had his struggles this year but he has found his groove of late. In his last two games, he has thrown for 465 yards with nine TDs and just two INTs. He also ran for 170 yards in those two games. He has to be licking his chops at facing the 125th ranked pass defense in the nation. Book has now thrown for 2298 yards with 26 TDs and just six INTs on the year but he has completed just 58.8% of his passes so far. He could have a big game in this one.

The Irish are 47th in the nation in rushing and 55th in passing, plus 19th in scoring, putting up 36 ppg. On defense, the Irish are 29th in total yards allowed, 5th against the pass and 18th in points allowed giving up just 19.3 ppg. Notre Dame has struggled against the run and they allowed Navy to pile up 281 yards on the ground in the 52-20 win, but stopping that offense is not easy for any team. Still, the Irish need their run defense to bee better in this one as the Eagles have a strong ground game. Notre Dame could be in trouble if they can't stop the run in this one. The Irish are not playing for a playoff berth, but they still have a good shot at a big-name bowl if they finish strong.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Irish are not a great spread team but I feel they can cover this big one. The Eagles have been inconsistent of late and their defense has been horrible as they have allowed 548.7 ypg and 40.3 ppg over their last three games. That plays right into the hands of Notre Dame, who has put up 90 points in their last two games. Ian Book is hot and will be facing the 125th ranked pass defense in the nation. The Irish offense will have a big game on offense. The run defense has struggled, but they still have a good defensive line and will not be facing a Triple Option in this one. The Irish will load up to stop the run because they know that they have the 5th best pass defense in the nation and BC has the 96th pass offense. Look for Notre Dame to win by at least 24 points.

Prediction: Notre Dame -19

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will look for a high-scoring game in this one. The Irish have averaged 45.0 ppg over their last two games and they will be facing a defense that has allowed 548.7 ypg and 40.3 ppg over its last three games. The Irish have been very solid on defense this year but they do have an issue stopping the run and that should allow the Eagles and AJ Dillon to move the ball on them some. Boston College will not put up a ton of offense in this one, but they will contribute enough to push the game over the total. The Over is 13-3 in Boston College's last 16 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game and that seals the deal for me. Notre Dame 45-21.

Prediction: Over 63.5
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.