The Stanford Cardinal will host the California Golden Bears in a PAC-12 clash Saturday night from Stanford Stadium. The Golden Bears fell 41-17 at USC last week, and the Cardinal were thrashed 49-22 at Washington State in their latest action, Stanford earned a 23-13 road win against California last season.
California One Win Away from Bowl Eligibility, QB Chase Garbers Injured
The California Golden Bears enter this one needing one more win to earn bowl eligible status. The Golden Bears’ scoring woes continued in their 41-17 home loss to USC last week in a tilt that had California labeled as 4 point dogs. #1 QB Chase Garbers was injured and did not return in the defeat. The sophomore is the Golden Bears #1 QB and he has been hit with a few injuries this season. As a result, he has 985 passing yards with an 8:2 TD to INT ratio. Kevin Modster has played about half the games and the junior has tallied 705 passing yards with five touchdowns against five interceptions. Garbers remains questionable with a shoulder injury.
The Golden Bears haven’t been able to generate any significant offense on the ground this season. Christopher Brown Jr. has only surpassed 100 rushing yards once all season, and he has tallied 628 rushing yards on the year.
Jordan Duncan has established himself as the top target in the air, leading the team with 23 catches for 335 yards. The Golden Bears offense has been stagnant all season but have a chance to break out again a Cardinal defense that is looking vulnerable.
The California defense is their greatest team strength. They had trouble against a potent USC offense last week but Stanford is not quite as productive as the Trojans. The Bears are especially effective limiting the run with a rush defense that ranks 37th, while their pass defense is down at 98th. California is currently averaging 18.9 points, ranking them 117th in the FBS. They are allowing an average of 22.7 points, good for 37th overall. The Golden Bears are carrying a 2-2 road record.
David Mills Shines in Loss to Washington State
The Stanford Cardinal will need to secure at least one win in their remaining two games to achieve bowl eligibility. Stanford was outplayed in both ends of the field in their 49-22 road loss to Washington State last week in a game that had the Cardinal as 11 point dogs.
David Mills got the start in place of KJ Costello and he was tremendous, accumulating 504 passing yards with three touchdowns. The junior QB has racked up 787 passing yards in his last two games and he has 1394 passing yards with an 8:3 TD to INT ratio. Stanford’s #1 QB KJ Costello did not suit up for undisclosed reasons and he will not play in this one.
Stanford does not experience a whole lot of success on the ground. They are led by Cameron Scarlett with 766 rushing yards. The senior RB only has 66 rushing yards in his last two games. Michael Wilson stepped with a season-best 114 receiving yards last week. The sophomore WR is now up to 513 receiving yards. The Cardinal offense is a big reason they only have three PAC-12 wins. They have scored 22 or fewer points in three out of their last four games.
The Stanford defense was exploited against Washington State last week but is up against a much weaker offense in this one. They squandered over 500 passing yards last week and have fallen down to 119th in the country against the pass. The Cardinal are scoring an average of 21.6 points, ranking them 110th overall. They are conceding an average of 28.9 points, pegging them 78th in the FBS.
The California Golden Bears are:
- 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
The top supporting trends found on covers.com are as follows: The Stanford Cardinal are:
- 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against California.