The Arkansas State Red Wolves will host the Georgia Southern Eagles in Sun Belt action Saturday afternoon from Centennial Bank Stadium. The Eagles tallied an easy 51-20 home win against UL Monroe last week, and the Red Wolves are coming off a 28-27 home win against Coastal Carolina. The Eagles registered a 28-21 home win against the Red Wolves last season.
Georgia Southern Clobbers UL Monroe, Earns Bowl Eligibility
The Georgia Southern Eagles are red-hot, winning five out of their last six games to improve to 4-2 in conference play. They posted a dominating 51-20 home win against UL Monroe last week in a matchup had them as 6.5 point favorites to seal bowl eligibility. The Eagles offense revolves around their running game with very few pass attempts. Shai Werts only has 456 passing yards. The mobile junior QB has amassed 461 rushing yards which included 53 rushing yards last week.
Eagles’ #1 RB J.D. King is locked in, rushing for over 100 yards in two straight games. The junior RB has tallied 669 rushing yards on an average of 4.2 yards per attempt. Malik Murray leads the team with 154 receiving yards. The Georgia Southern offense is very inconsistent as they rely on their strongrunning game. I expect them to have no problem generating points in this one.
The Eagles defense has looked good in most of their Sun Belt tilts. Their pass defense has been an issue at times, ranking 75th in the country and the Red Wolves will try to exploit them in the air as a result. Georgia Southern is currently averaging 27.9 points, ranking them 73rd overall. They are conceding an average of 29.5 points pegging them 82nd in the FBS. The Eagles stand at 2-3 on the road this season.
Arkansas State Collects Third Straight Win
The Arkansas State Red Wolves are bowl eligible. They rallied for a 28-27 home win against Coastal Carolina last week to extend their winning streak to three games and lift their Sun Belt record to 4-2.Layne Hatcher resumed his productive play with 305 passing yards and three touchdowns. The freshman QB is having a stellar season since becoming the #1 QB, recording over 290 passing yards in five out of his last six games, and he has accumulated 1857 passing yards with a 17:9 TD to INT ratio.
Marcel Murray can also do damage, posting over 100 rushing yards in three out of his last four games, and he is up to 706 rushing yards on the year. Look out for Omar Bayless in this one. The senior WR is the top receiver in the Sun Belt, racking up 1262 receiving yards on a remarkable 73 receptions. He will be targeted heavily against a subpar pass defense in this game. The Red Wolves offense has fared well through most of the conference play and are averaging 430 total yards per game.
The Arkansas State defense isn’t nearly as effective as their offense. They are pegged down at 110th against the pass and 122nd against the run, although they have played well in two out of their last three games. The Red Wolves are scoring an average of 33.6 points, ranking them 34th in the FBS. They are allowing an average of 35.1 points, placing them down at 117th overall. Arkansas State features a 3-2 home record. First place in the Sun Belt West is still a possibility for the Red Wolves as they trail Louisiana by one game.
The Georgia Southern Eagles are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game.
- 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after recording less than 170 passing yards in their previous game.
The top supporting trends found on covers.com are as follows: The Arkansas State Red Wolves are:
- 22-8 ATS in their last 30 November games.
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after recording less than 100 rushing yards in their previous game.
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss.