Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#137 TCU 65.5 vs.
#138 Oklahoma -18
Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 8:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino



#137 Texas Christian University
#138 University of Oklahoma


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The #8 Oklahoma Sooners will host the TCU Horned Frogs in Big 12 action Saturday evening from Memorial Stadium. The TCU Horned Frogs enter this one with confidence. They kept their bowl hopes alive with a big 33-31 road win against Texas Tech last week to improve to 5-6. They need one win in their last two games to secure bowl eligibility. The Horned Frogs feature a strong rushing offense and a solid defense. TCU owns a 2-3 road record on the season.

The Oklahoma Sooners have rebounded from their loss to Kansas State by recording two straight wins. They mounted a spectacular comeback to defeat Baylor by a 34-31 score last week. They were down 28-3 and roared back thanks to star QB Jalen Hurts. Oklahoma and Baylor now both feature a 9-1 conference record and could clash in the Big 12 title game. The Sooners moved up two positions to #8 in this week’s AP Top 25 rankings, and they feature a 5-0 record on their home field.

TCU One Win Away from Bowl Eligibility

The TCU Horned Frogs head into their final road game of the regular season. TCU snapped a two-game slide with a promising 33-31 road win against Texas Tech last week to climb just one win away from bowl eligibility. They are now 3-4 in Big 12 play. Max Duggan came through with his best performance of the season in the winning effort, accumulating 323 passing yards and two touchdowns. The freshman QB was struggling prior to his latest effort and he has accrued 1868 passing yards with a 15:7 TD to INT ratio on the year.

The Horned Frogs generate a good portion of their offense on the ground with a rushing offense that ranks 22nd in the FBS. Darius Anderson is a big threat, collecting 785 rushing yards on an average of 5.8 yards per attempt. The senior RB has posted over 100 rushing yards three times this season. Jalen Reagor is the Horned Frogs’ top receiver. The junior is up to 545 receiving yards on the season. The TCU offense has only reached 30 points in one out of their last three games overall.

The Horned Frogs defense will be challenged by one of the best offensive units in the FBS. They are effective against both the pass and run. Their rush defense is placed at 24th in the country, while the rush defense stands at 44th. TCU is scoring an average of 32.3 points, ranking them 45th overall. They are holding opponents to 26.9 points, positioning them 61st in the country.

Sooners Mount Stunning Comeback in Win vs. Baylor

The Oklahoma Sooners have been involved in several close games down the final stretch. They squeaked out a 42-41 win against Iowa State on the 9th and rallied for a big 34-31 road win against an undefeated Baylor team last week to improve to climb back into first place in the conference with a 6-1 record. Jalen Hurts continues to shine, recording another seven touchdown passes in his last two games. The senior QB is among the best in all of college football, accumulating 3039 passing yards with a dazzling 28:5 TD to INT ratio, and the mobile QB has added 983 rushing yards.

Kennedy Brooks is also having a terrific season. The sophomore RB has collected 295 rushing yards in his last two games and is up to 608 rushing yards on the year. CeeDee Lamb is one to watch for in this game. The Sooners #1 WR did not play against Baylor with a head injury and is listed as questionable. Lamb is a big part of the Oklahoma offense and has 983 receiving yards. The Sooners offense ranks near the top of the country in most categories.

The Oklahoma defense is scuffling a bit as the regular season winds down. They have allowed over 40 points in two out of their last three games overall. The Sooners pass defense ranks 42nd and their rush defense is 48th in the FBS. Oklahoma is scoring an average of 47 points, good for third in the country. They are allowing an average of 25.6 points, positioning them 53rd overall. Oklahoma is ranked 9th in the College Football Playoff Rankings.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am taking the points with TCU in this one. Oklahoma will likely win but I expect TCU to keep this one very close. The Sooners have won two out of their last three games overall but it wasn’t easy, winning by only one point against Iowa State and three points against Baylor. Their defense is struggling right now, squandering an average of 40 points in their last three games. TCU features a potent rushing offense that ranks 22nd in the FBS. The Sooners rush defense is decent but they will give up yards on the ground as their rush defense comes in at 48th overall. They surrendered 195 rushing yards to Iowa State on November 9th.

Furthermore, the Horned Frogs defense should also contain the Sooners' powerhouse offense. TCU is very effective against the run, limiting opponents to 121 rushing yards per game, good for 24th in the country. Lastly, TCU is coming off a big road win at Texas Tech and four of their five losses on the season were all within seven points or less.

Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect a high-scoring Big 12 battle. The over has been a reoccurring theme for both sides recently. I am confident the Horned Frogs will take advantage of a Sooners defense that has not looked nearly as sharp as the season unwinds. The over is a convincing 4-0 in the Horned Frogs’ last four games overall, and 4-0 in their last four November games.

In addition, the Sooners continue to pile on the points, collecting at least 41 points in eight of their ten games on the season, and Jalen Hurts has led the Sooners to the fifth-ranked passing offense in the FBS. The over is 6-1 in the Sooners’ last seven November games and that trend should resume in this one.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:


The over on the TCU team total found on PointsBet is a strong play. TCU QB Max Duggan is playing well and racking up the passing yards. The freshman QB has tallied at least 258 passing yards in three out of his last four games overall, and he can also do damage on the ground as he has 400 rushing yards. Duggan is coming off a season-high 323 passing yards last week and I expect another solid performance.

Prediction: TCU Team Total Over

Half-Time Side Pick

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I like TCU on the half-time line as well. The Sooners defense has experienced big trouble in the first half recently. They have allowed an average of 23 points in the opening half in their last three games which included a 31-10 deficit to Baylor last week. TCU is playing stellar defense in the first half where they have limited their opponents to 11 points in their last three tilts.

Prediction: TCU Horned Frogs

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.