It’s a clash of teams from the Lone Star State on the college gridiron in a Big 12 tilt of ranked foes. The #19 Texas Longhorns are on the road as they make the in-state trip to face the #13 Baylor Bears Saturday afternoon. Texas was defeated 23-21 on the road by Iowa State last Saturday in their previous contest. Baylor let one slip away as they suffered their first loss of the season, falling 34-31 at home to #10 Oklahoma last Saturday in their previous tilt. The Longhorns own a 76-26-5 edge in the all-time series between the schools and have won the last four meetings. That includes a 23-17 home win in the most recent matchup on October 13, 2018.
Texas Longhorns Looking to Get on TrackTexas has had their struggles this season, especially in close games, which is a major reason they are 6-4 after losing to Iowa State. The Longhorns are 3-3 in games decided by seven points or less after giving up a game-winning field goal on the final play against Iowa State. Texas rallied from a 20-7 deficit after three quarters to take a 21-20 lead with under six minutes to play. The Longhorns allowed the Cyclones to cover 63 yards in nine plays, setting up a game-winning 36-yard field goal as time expired. Texas was outgained 466-327, gave up 26 first downs while picking up 16 and was beaten 32:35 to 27:25 in time of possession. Those numbers far exceeded the fact that the Longhorns forced the game’s lone turnover.
The Longhorns enter this contest 15th in the nation in passing offense as they average 300.6 yards per game through the air this season while the team is 68th in rushing with 161.1 yards per contest. Texas is 11th in the FBS in scoring offense by putting up 39.1 points per game on the year while the team ranks just 99th in scoring defense by allowing 31.5 points per contest. Sam Ehlinger is 243 of 372 passing for 2,914 yards with 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions while ranking third on the team with 428 yards plus five scores on the ground. Casey Thompson is eight of 12 for 84 yards on the season. Keaontay Ingram leads the Longhorns on the ground with 122 carries for 642 yards plus six scores on the season. Roschon Johnson is next in line with 90 carries for 473 yards plus four rushing touchdowns. Devin Duvernay leads the team with 87 receptions for 1,017 yards and seven scores on the year. Collin Johnson (35 catches, 497 yards, two TD), Brennan Eagles (25 receptions, 472 yards, six TD) and Jake Smith (20 grabs, 207 yards, five TD) are solid secondary targets. Cameron Dicker has hit all 45 extra point attempts and 12 of 16 field goal tries with a long of 57 this season.
Baylor Bears Try to Regroup From First LossBaylor had everything going early against Oklahoma and seemed poised to run their mark to 10-0 on the year. Then things fell apart for the Bears as they were held scoreless in the second half and took the loss as they gave up the winning field goal with 1:45 to play. Baylor led 28-3 with 11:02 to play in the first half and 31-10 at halftime. The Bears led 31-17 after three quarters before getting outscored 17-0 in the fourth to take the loss. Baylor was outgained 525-307, allowed 34 first downs while picking up 18 and was dominated in time of possession by a 41:11 to 18:49 margin. The Bears did force three turnovers while committing two in the contest but a worn-out defense couldn’t make the plays late.
Jalen Hurts INT 🔄 Another Baylor TD!— ESPN (@espn) November 17, 2019
Bears up 28-3 on the Sooners 😱 pic.twitter.com/v8OYNBwJNE
The Bears enter this contest 38th in the nation in passing offense with 263.6 yards per game and 44th in rushing as they average 180.7 yards per contest on the ground. Baylor stands 26th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 34.9 points per game while they are 24th in scoring defense by allowing only 20.5 points per contest. Charlie Brewer is 195 of 292 passing for 2,532 yards with 18 touchdowns and five interceptions while adding 276 yards plus nine scores on the ground. Gerry Bohanon is 10 of 15 for 104 yards and a score plus 194 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. John Lovett is the team’s leading ground gainer with 86 carries for 537 yards plus four scores. JaMycal Hasty (82 carries, 503 yards, four TD) and Trestan Ebner (35 carries, 162 yards, two TD) are solid options in the ground game. In the aerial attack, Denzel Mims leads the team with 50 grabs for 767 yards plus 10 touchdowns this season. Tyquan Thornton (35 receptions, 613 yards, three TD), R.J. Sneed (34 catches, 386 yards, three TD) and Chris Platt (19 grabs, 209 yards, TD) are solid options as well. John Mayers has hit all 39 extra points and 10 of 13 field goals with a long of 51 this season. Noah Rauschenberg is four of four on extra points and missed his lone field goal try.
The top trends for this contest according to Covers.com:
- Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game
- Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win
- Bears are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
- Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November
- Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game