Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#115 Ohio U vs.
#116 Bowling Green
Friday, November 26, 2021 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Chris King

It’s a battle of teams from the MAC East on the gridiron when a pair of programs from the Buckeye State take the field. The Ohio Bobcats make the in-state trek as they take on the Bowling Green Falcons Friday afternoon. Ohio comes in off a 35-23 home loss to Toledo as a 7.5-point underdog in their most recent game last Wednesday. Bowling Green was clobbered 34-7 on the road by Miami (OH) as a 17-point underdog in their most recent contest last Wednesday. In the all-time series between the teams, the Falcons own a 32-25-1 advantage but the Bobcats have taken the last five matchups. That includes a 52-10 demolition at home in the most recent matchup on November 28, 2020.

Ohio Bobcats Look to Beat Bowling Green for Sixth Straight Time

Ohio had won two straight games but was unable to keep up with Toledo in their previous contest at home last Tuesday. The Bobcats now look to beat the Falcons for the sixth straight time as they close out their regular-season slate. Against the Rockets, Ohio took a 3-0 lead in the second quarter but it was short-lived. The Bobcats trailed 14-6 at the half and got no closer than 14-9 in the third quarter. Ohio gave up 21 unanswered points from there, trailing 35-9 with 10:43 to play before scoring a couple of touchdowns late to make the final score more respectable. The Bobcats held a 445-401 advantage in total offense, picked up 30 first downs while allowing 18 and dominated time of possession by a 41:27 to 18:33 margin. Ohio committed the game’s lone turnover and couldn’t contain Toledo’s quick-strike offense.

For the season, the Bobcats are 105th in the FBS in passing offense with 191.5 yards per game through the air. Ohio is 37th in rushing offense as they put up 193.5 yards per game on the ground. The Bobcats are 103rd of the 130 teams that have played in the FBS in scoring offense as they average 23.7 points per contest this season. Ohio is just 95th in scoring defense as they allow 31.2 points per contest. Kurtis Rourke, the younger brother of former Bobcats’ starting QB Nathan Rourke, is 159 of 237 passing for 1,714 yards with 11 touchdowns and four picks this season. He adds 252 yards and three scores on the ground. Former UNLV quarterback Armani Rogers is 27 of 47 passing for 334 yards plus an interception while adding 556 yards plus six scores, including a 99-yarder against Buffalo, on the ground. De’Montre Tuggle leads the team on the ground with 129 carries for 763 yards plus seven scores. O’Shaan Allison contributes 80 carries for 315 yards as the second back in the system. Ty Walton has reeled in 32 passes for 380 yards and two scores to lead the team. Cameron Odom (28 catches, 399 yards, TD) and Isiah Cox (28 grabs, 356 yards, four TD) are the only other players with at least 250 receiving yards this season. Stephen Johnson has hit 23 of 25 extra point attempts and 15 of 22 on field goals with a long of 44 this year. Tristian Vandenberg has hit all three extra point attempts while missing his lone field goal try this year.

Bowling Green Falcons Try to Finish Season on Positive Note

Bowling Green was drubbed by Miami (OH) in their previous game on the road for their second straight loss and sixth in the last seven games. The Falcons enter this game 3-8 overall and 1-6 in the MAC, leaving them in the basement of the East Division. Against Miami (OH), Bowling Green led 7-0 midway through the first quarter and still led 7-6 after the opening quarter. That was the high-water mark for the Falcons, who gave up 34 consecutive points to turn the game into a rout. Bowling Green was outgained 346-258 in total offense despite holding a slim edge in first downs (12-11) and time of possession (30:17 to 29:43) in the contest. Both teams turned the ball over once in the game. The Falcons gave up scores of 83 and 63 yards while their lone score came from 62 yards in the contest.

On the season, the Falcons are 87th in passing offense as they average 211.2 yards per game through the air while they are tied for 120th in rushing offense with an average of 103.1 yards per contest. Bowling Green is a miserable 108th in the FBS in scoring offense with 21.5 points per game while they are 107th in scoring defense by allowing 32.5 points per contest. Matt McDonald has completed 212 of 356 passes for 2,300 yards with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Tucker Melton is two of 10 passing for 23 yards with an interception on the books. The run game has been abysmal with Nick Mosley ranking second on the team with 62 carries for 301 yards plus two scores. Jaison Patterson (65 carries, 271 yards, two TD), Terrion Stewart (61 carries, team-high 395 yards, five TD) and Jhalin Embry (17 carries, 52 yards) have also seen action. In the passing game, Austin Osborne leads the team with 56 receptions for 467 yards plus a score this season. Tight end Christian Sims (37 catches, 388 yards, two TD), Tyrone Broden (36 grabs, 596 yards, five TD) and Taron Keith (23 catches, 221 yards, TD) have all cracked the 150-yard mark in receiving yards on the year. Nate Needham has hit 25 of 26 extra-point attempts and 15 of 15 field goal attempts with a long of 52 this season.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

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Both teams have had disappointing campaigns that see them under .500 on the season as they close out the year. With that said, Ohio played better down the stretch than they did at the start of the season, winning two straight before falling to Toledo. On the flip side, Bowling Green went right down the drain after their upset road win over Minnesota. Since that point, the Falcons have dropped six of seven games, including a loss to Akron and three other defeats by at least 27 points. It’s hard to have any faith in Bowling Green, even at home, in this one. Ohio has been the better team over the last month and that carries them to a victory here.

Prediction: Ohio Bobcats -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Ohio has seen the under hit in seven of their 11 games this season. Meanwhile, Bowling Green has seen the under post a 6-5 mark on the year. Both teams are subpar on both sides of the ball, which makes it tough to gauge what to expect in regard to the total. With that said, Ohio has gone over the number in two of their last three games and fell just short in their other game as they combined with Eastern Michigan for 60 points against a 61.5-point total. Bowling Green had posted five straight overs before falling short last week in the loss to Miami (OH) to snap that streak. This number is low by MAC standards: look for there to be enough offensive fireworks to push this past the number.

Prediction: Over 48.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.