Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#175 Coastal Carolina vs.
#176 James Madison (JMU)
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Chris King

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It’s a battle of the top two teams in the East Division of the Sun Belt on the gridiron in the Old Dominion. The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers are on the road as they make the trip to face the James Madison Dukes Saturday afternoon. Coastal Carolina was slated to play Virginia last week but had the game canceled: they beat Southern Miss 26-23 at home in their most recent contest on November 12 though they didn’t cover the 5.5-point line. James Madison slipped past Georgia State 42-40 at home last Saturday, failing to cover the 10-point spread in that contest. This marks the first time that the two programs have met on the gridiron as FBS opponents.

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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Seeking to Succeed Without McCall

Coastal Carolina had last week’s game with Virginia canceled after the tragic events that took place in Charlottesville, so they have had two weeks to prepare for this contest. The Chanticleers enter the game 9-1 overall and 6-1 in the Sun Belt, putting them atop the East Division standings. Against Southern Miss two weeks ago, Coastal Carolina jumped to a 17-0 lead after the opening quarter only to find the game even at 17 at the half. The Chanticleers saw the game even at 20 after three quarters, trailed 23-20 early in the fourth quarter but scored the go-ahead touchdown with 9:20 to play before holding on to the win. Coastal Carolina was edged 365-361 in total offense, gave up 20 first downs while recording 18 and turned the ball over twice while forcing one takeaway. They won the time of possession by a 30:30 to 29:30 margin in the contest.

The Chanticleers are 39th in the FBS in passing offense as they average 257.6 yards per game on the year. Coastal Carolina is 53rd in rushing offense as they pick up an average of 174.1 yards per contest. The Chanticleers stand 45th among the 131 FBS teams that have played this season in scoring offense as they put up an average of 31.6 points per game. Coastal Carolina is average defensively as they are 74th in scoring defense by limiting opposing teams to 26.9 points a contest. Quarterback Grayson McCall has been terrific this season as the architect of the offense. He has completed 168 of 244 passes for 2,314 yards with 21 touchdown passes against one interception while ranking fourth on the team with 165 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Jarrett Guest (nine of 20, 203 yards, three INT, 40 rushing yards, TD) and Bryce Carpenter (three of five, 59 yards, TD, 95 rushing yards, TD) have seen limited action. CJ Beasley leads the team on the ground with 123 carries for 655 yards and four scores. Reese White (73 carries, 414 yards, four TD) is next in line in the run game. In the passing game, Sam Pinckney leads the team with 53 receptions for 814 yards plus two scores this season. Jared Brown (40 catches, 702 yards, five TD), Tyson Mobley (27 grabs, 331 yards, three TD) and Beasley (17 receptions, 159 yards, TD) are each over the 150-yard mark in receiving yards. Kade Hensley has hit 40 of 41 extra point attempts and eight of 11 field goal tries with a long of 48 this season.

James Madison Dukes Look to Prevail at Home

James Madison has had a strong opening season at the FBS level as they outlasted Georgia State last week for their second straight victory. The Dukes improved to 7-3 overall and stand 5-2 in the Sun Belt, putting them second in the East Division standings. Against Georgia State, James Madison led 7-0 early before giving up two scores in 16 seconds during the final minute of the opening quarter. The Dukes trailed 27-7 in the second quarter and 34-14 at the half before reeling off 28 unanswered points to take a 42-34 lead. After giving up a touchdown with 2:30 to play, James Madison stopped Georgia State’s two-point conversion that would have tied the game and hung on for the victory. The Dukes rolled up a 425-267 edge in total offense, held a 22-9 advantage in first downs and controlled the clock by a 35:15 to 24:45 margin. Those numbers helped offset that they turned the ball over four times, including a scoop-six, while forcing just one takeaway.

On the year, the Dukes are 38th in passing offense as they average 263.6 yards per contest while they are 46th in rushing offense with 183.8 yards per game. James Madison is 18th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up an average of 36 points per game while they are 35th in scoring defense by allowing 22.3 points per game this year. Todd Centeio has completed 164 of 252 passes for 2,410 yards with 21 touchdowns against five interceptions. He is second on the team with 368 rushing yards and six scores. Billy Atkins (19 of 43, 212 yards, two TD, five INT) and Alonza Barrett III (one of one, 14 yards, 16 rushing yards) have seen limited work as well. Percy Agyei-Obese leads the team on the ground with 152 carries for 829 yards and eight scores this season. Latrele Palmer (93 carries, 337 yards, four TD) and Kaelon Black (59 carries, 283 yards, three TD) are effective in their part of the time share as well. Kris Thornton leads the team with 53 receptions for 922 yards and seven scores on the year. Terrance Green Jr. (20 catches, 384 yards, two TD), Reggie Brown (22 grabs, 346 yards, three TD), Devin Ravenel (19 receptions, 211 yards, five TD) and Drew Painter (18 catches, 204 yards, TD) are all over 200 receiving yards this season. Camden Wise has hit 45 of 46 extra point attempts and nine of 14 field goal attempts with a long of 44 this season.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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While James Madison has been a powerhouse at the FCS level, it’s safe to say few expected them to have this much success in their inaugural season at the FBS level. Instead, they are 7-3 and could earn a share of the Sun Belt East Division title with a win here, even though they aren’t eligible to play in the conference title game. Coastal is a dangerous team but will be without McCall here, as he is expected to miss the rest of the regular season with a foot injury that could threaten a potential bowl game appearance. That makes things tough for Jamey Chadwell as so much of their offense runs through their quarterback. With him missing, you can’t trust Guest and/or Carpenter to make enough plays to stay in the game. Take James Madison, especially at home, as they win their third straight.

Prediction: James Madison Dukes -13.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Coastal Carolina has split their 10 games in relation to the total this season. The Chanticleers have played on the road just three times this season and stayed under the number in two of them. Coastal Carolina has stayed under the total in each of their six road games against teams with a winning home record and the under is 7-1 in their last eight on the road overall. James Madison has gone over the total in six of their 10 games on the year. The Dukes have gone over the mark in three of their five home games this season. With McCall out, that may slow down the point production in this contest. Look toward the under here.

Prediction: Under 54
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.