Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#177 Georgia State vs.
#178 Marshall
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Kevin V.

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The Georgia State Panthers (4-7, 3-4 Sun Belt) pay a visit to Huntington, West Virginia and Joan C. Edwards Stadium to play the Marshall Thundering Herd (7-4, 4-3 Sun Belt) on Saturday. Georgia State lost its second straight when falling to James Madison 42-40 last Saturday. Georgia State gained only 257 yards of total offense and gave up 425 yards to the Dukes. Marshall won its third straight when defeating Georgia Southern 23-10 last Saturday. Marshall QB Cam Fanchers passed for 274 yards with two touchdowns. Georgia State will play without linebacker Blake Carroll, while running back Jamyest Williams is questionable. Wide receiver Talik Keaton is questionable for Marshall.

Georgia State's defense is its weak link

Georgia State is allowing an average of 31.5 points per game which is 111th in the nation. The Panthers are allowing an average of 160.8 yards rushing and 230.6 yards passing for a total of 391.5 yards per game which is 82nd. Georgia State has been helped by having 13 takeaways on defense. Georgia State linebacker Jordan Veneziale is the leading tackler with 90. The leader in quarterback sacks with 4.5 is linebacker Shamar McCollum, while the leader in interceptions is cornerback Quavian White with 4.

 

Georgia State is scoring an average of 30.6 points per game which is 52nd in the nation. The Panthers are averaging 227.9 yards rushing which is the 11th best and 194.5 yards passing for a total of 422.5 yards of total offense per game which is 42nd. Georgia State's offense is led by quarterback Darren Granger, who has passed for 2140 yards with 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Granger is also the leading rusher for Georgia State with 732 yards and seven touchdowns. Tucker Gregg has rushed for 684 yards with 11 touchdowns. Jamari Thrash is the leading receiver with 51 receptions for 955 yards and six touchdowns. Wide receiver Robert Lewis also has six touchdown receptions.

Marshall's defense is its key to success

The Marshall Thundering Herd are allowing an average of only 15.5 points per game which is seventh best in the nation and have the sixth most takeaways with 15. Marshall is allowing an average of only 91.2 yards per game rushing which is sixth best and 195.0 yards passing per game which is 26th. Overall, Marshall's defense is 10th in the country allowing an average of 286.2 yards per game. The top three tacklers for Marshall are all linebackers. Eli Neal is the leader with 80, followed by Charlie Gray with 62 and Abraham Beauplan with 57. Owen Porter has a team-best 8.5 quarterback sacks and Micah Abraham has a team-best five interceptions.

Marshall is scoring an average of 23.8 points per game which is 95th in the nation. The Thundering Herd are averaging 199.9 yards rushing which is 26th and 199.5 yards passing which is only 104th for a total of 398.5 yards per game of total offense, which is 60th. Marshall quarterback Cam Fancher has 1257 yards passing with six touchdowns and five interceptions. Khalan Laborn is the leading rusher for Marshall with 1323 yards and 14 touchdowns. Corey Gammage has 45 receptions for 659 yards and five touchdowns to lead all receivers for Marshall.

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Marshall has won each of its last three and four out of the last 5 and over that stretch the Thundering Herd have held opponents to 13 points or less in four of the five games. Marshall’s strength on defense is against the run, holding opponents to an average of  91.2 points per game and will shut down the strength of Georgia State, which averages 227.9 yards rushing per game. Georgia State will be forced to pass the ball and although Darren Granger is a talented QB, mistakes will be made and give Marshall the advantage. Marshall has covered the spread in four of the last 5. Although Marshall's strength is on defense, quarterback Cam Fancher has played well over the last three games with four touchdowns and just three interceptions while passing for 588 yards, resulting in three victories for the Thundering Herd. Marshall's offense has an above-average running game, averaging 199.9 yards per game and faces a below-average defense for Georgia State against the run, as the Panthers are allowing 160.8 yards per game on the ground.

Prediction: Marshall Thundering Herd -5.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Marshall is allowing an average of only 15.5 points per game and although Georgia State gives up its share of points, the Marshall offense is generating only 23.8 points per game. The total has finished under in seven of Marshall's last 8 games and in eight of the last 10 that the Thundering Herd have played at home.

Prediction: UNDER 49.5
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Written By Kevin Vallego , "Kevin V."

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.