Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#141 Purdue vs.
#142 Indiana
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 3:30pm EST
Written by Eric P.

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The Indiana Hoosiers play host to the Purdue Boilermakers on Saturday afternoon in a Big Ten rivalry game from Memorial Stadium. The Boilermakers come in riding a two-game winning streak and are hoping to still find a way to sneak out on top in the Big Ten West. For Indiana, an upset on the road last week helped to put an end to their own seven-game losing streak. Purdue won last year and has won three of four in the series, as they look to keep the wins coming on the road in this one.

Purdue Eyeing Title

After back-to-back wins heading into Saturday's finale, the Boilermakers find themselves on the cusp of a divisional title. The Hawkeyes control things but if they drop their game, it leaves the Boilermakers primed towards finding themselves in next week's Big Ten title game. The last two weeks have seen them barely escape with wins, though taking on the Hoosiers should give the group a jolt of confidence. Beyond having dominated the series over the last handful of years, even going on the road isn't likely to affect them in Saturday's regular-season finale. Adding in a winning record on the road and this team is priced to get to eight wins by the weekend's end.

Purdue does have a few injuries to worry about as they into the weekend, especially on the offensive side of things. Devin Mockobee (concussion) remains the biggest name who is out or questionable for the weekend, as the starting running back is hoping he can work his way back into the lineup. With another running back questionable and a few wide receivers having been ruled out, the offense could look thin heading into this one.

Purdue's balance on both sides of the ball should serve to give this group a massive advantage through Saturday's game. The passing attack is bound for success, finding itself ranked 24th nationally in passing yards per game. The Hoosiers have struggled to get crucial stops and with Purdue's experience, moving the ball shouldn't be an issue. A quick emphasis on the ground game should help this group get up to speed and control the clock as well. Aidan O'Connell (20 touchdowns, 11 interceptions) brings a wealth of experience into this one and shouldn't have any issues flinging the war around against Indiana's score.

Hoosiers Looking To Finish On High Note

For Indiana, it has been a long season for a group that is only a few years removed from competing for a divisional title in the Big Ten. This season has been miserable for this group and while they were able to grab the win last week, they still sit at 4-7, and making it two-straight wins seems unlikely. They do at least get to return home, which is where they were when they last beat Purdue, and where they sit at 3-3 on the season. It certainly remains to be seen how the fans come out for this one though, especially with students away for the holiday. Without a true home advantage, it could be difficult as the Hoosiers will be without what might be their only advantage.

The Hoosiers have their own injuries to worry about, also mainly impacting their offense as well. Jack Tuttle (shoulder) remains out at quarterback, while four receivers appear on this week's injury report. With three having already been ruled out, much of the offense turns its eyes to DJ Matthews Jr. (knee), who is questionable to go on Saturday and will be needed for this attack.

Indiana has struggled on both sides of the ball this season and with a defense that struggles to get stops and control the game, along with an offense that struggles to move the ball, struggles could continue. Indiana's offense ranks 115th nationally in total offense and with one of the worst running games in the Big Ten, they are likely to struggle to keep their own defense off the field in this one. The one avenue for success might come through the air but with the added pressure of being down a handful of wide receivers, it remains to be seen who will step up.

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The Hoosiers stunned many last weeks but there's no doubt that Purdue won't be overlooking them in this one. Even though they'll have to hit the road, Purdue still has quite a bit to play for and has one of the conference's most experienced quarterbacks to set the tone and lead the way. Indiana on the other hand continues to play a youngster at quarterback and the lack of snaps is bound to catch up with them in this one. Purdue won't want to put anything to test in this one and will be quick and efficient with their ability to keep the Hoosiers at bay, on both sides of the ball. Additionally, according to covers.com, the Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a straight-up win, while Purdue is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams.

Prediction: Purdue (-10.5)

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This one expects to be a low-scoring affair and Indiana is likely to be the team driving that forward. The Hoosiers have inexperience at key positions, especially with four wide receivers questionable for the weekend. They know that they'll need to try to establish things on the ground and take the air out of the ball for Purdue. For the Boilermakers, jumping out to a quick lead is likely to give them the confidence to run the ball for much of the second half, which will only serve to even further drive down the score. Additionally, according to covers.com, the under is 6-2-2 ATS in the last ten meetings overall between these teams.

Prediction: Under 53.5
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Written By Eric Ploch , "Eric P."

Eric grew up surrounded by sports, whether it was spending the weekend catching games in person or on tv, or heading out to the fields to play whatever sport was in season. What started as a hobby, soon became a passion, as he became the sports editor of his high school newspaper, then wrote for his university newspaper during his undergrad years. After obtaining a degree in Sports Operations and Promotions, and spending 8 years deeply immersed in the sports world, Eric decided to take his love for analytics and predictions, and his experience, to online sports fans everywhere. James is now an integral part of our team here at StatSalt and has also been a very successful sports bettor over the years. Be sure and follow him daily.