Maryland (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) is back in action when they host Rutgers (4-7 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) on Saturday at 12pmET in the regular season finale for both teams.
Rutgers has lost four straight and hoping to end the season on a good note. Maryland will be going bowling, but is going for seven wins.
Last season, the Terps crushed the Scarlet Knights 40-16 on the road as a 2-point dog.
Another rough year at RutgersRutgers' home finale was ugly as they fell 55-10 to No. 11 Penn State. The Scarlet Knights amassed 167 total yards, while allowed 436 yards, including 237 on the ground. Rutgers comes into this game with a dreadful 1-7 conference record. It goes back to an offense that just couldn't compete with most defenses in the Big 10. Against Penn State, Rutgers' offense produced just nine first downs and threw for 135 yards. QB Gavin Wimsatt completed just 10 of 29 for 122 yards with a TD and a pick.
The offense and special teams put the defense behind the eight ball as the Nittany Lions scored their first TD on a 100-yard kickoff return and their second on a 14-yards fumble recovery for a score. Their problems on offense emanate from the starting quarterback position. Evan Simon, a 6-3 sophomore, completed 5 of 5 against Penn State, But he's been inconsistent, completing 59.4% of his passes for 758 yards with four TDs and six picks. Wimsatt has been inaccurate, completing 45.8% of his passes for 709 yards with five TDs and seven picks.
Terps fight hard against Ohio StateMaryland came into their game last week against No. 2 Ohio State having lost two straight. They weren't even competitive in their 30-0 defeat at Penn State on Nov. 12. But last Saturday, they competed to the point where they were down 33-30 with 9:49 left in the game. OSU kicked a field goal with 42 seconds left and then Taulia Tagovailoa turned the ball over trying to throw the ball at the goal line and Steele Chambers recovered the fumble for the easy TD to make it 43-30 for the Buckeyes.
But the final score was misleading. Maryland was able to pass on Ohio State as Taulia Tagovailoa completed 26 of 36 for 293 yards with two TDs. The Terps did not turn the ball over, but one of their major issues all season crept up-penalties. They committed 10 against Ohio State (Buckeyes had 11), which was consistent as the Terps rank 129th in the nation with 75.36 yards per game in penalties. Rutgers ranks 111th with 63.73 yards per game in penalties.
No Terp in history has thrown for more yards— Maryland Football (@TerpsFootball) November 20, 2022
A kid from Hawaii found a home in Maryland pic.twitter.com/8kUT3bxsAB
The key is the performance of Tagovailoa, who struggled against Wisconsin and Penn State, completing 21 of 45 for just 151 yards. Overall, he's completing 68.8% of his passes for 2,445 yards with 16 TDs and six picks. RB Roman Hemby is having a strong season with 854 yards rushing with seven TDs and a 5.9 yards per carry average.
The offense (397.2ypg) has carried this team, but the defense has its warts. They allow 382.8 yards per game (73rd) on 232.9 yards per game in the air (81st) and 149.9 rushing yards (69th).
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Maryland is looking to go bowling and maybe a better location. A win here would mean a 4-5 record in the Big 10, which is not great until you realize they had to play Michigan, Ohio State and Penn State in the East Division and Purdue and Wisconsin in the West. Rutgers isn't going bowling because they don't have the offense and their allowed 156 points combined to Penn State, Michigan and Ohio State, while scoring just 37 points in those three games. The Terps are not in that category, but Tagovailoa can sling it around the yard and has NFL-quality receivers in Rakim Jarrett and Jacob Copeland to throw to. They should crush here at home, while Rutgers folds the tent in the second half.
Full-Game Total Pick
With Rutgers, it's tough to go under, because they've given up a lot of points and it's not just do to bad defense, but also weak special team's play and turnovers. Last season, Maryland put up 40 points on them on the road, but the Terps' defense is not Michigan's or Ohio State's. They will allow a couple of touchdowns at least. They gave up 24 points against Northwestern on Oct. 22 at home and their offense has been dreadful this season.