The Clemson Tigers (10-1) will host the South Carolina Gamecocks (7-4) in a Rivalry Week showdown. Both teams are 6-5 against the spread this season. The Tigers have won the last seven meetings outright, covering the spread in five of those victories.
Where did that come from?South Carolina is 4-4 in the conference, third in the SEC East behind Georgia and Tennessee. This obviously is not a conference game, but it shows how up-and-down this team has been. The Gamecocks are 2-2 against AP Top 25 teams and 2-2 on the road straight-up this season. The team is averaging 31.7 ppg (43rd) and 377.9 (78th) yards of total offense. The defense is allowing 397.5 yards (84th) and 27.3 ppg (80th).
UNRANKED SOUTH CAROLINA UPSETS NO. 5 TENNESSEE 63-38 😱🤯— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) November 20, 2022
Spencer Rattler: 30/37, 438 YDS, 6 TD pic.twitter.com/8I3mXpuA4j
South Carolina is coming off one of the season's most shocking upsets, taking down Tennessee 63-38 as a 23.5-point underdog. The Gamecocks outgained the Volunteers 606 to 507 in total yardage. Spencer Rattler had a huge game to lead the win throwing for 438 yards with six touchdowns. Rattler had previously only topped 230 yards once this season. Tight end Jaheim Bell led the team with a career-best 82 yards on 17 carries rushing. Bell has taken over as the lead running back since Marshawn Lloyd suffered a quad contusion which has caused him the miss last three games, but he is questionable for Saturday.
So you're telling me there's a chance...Clemson is a perfect 8-0 in the ACC this season and will play North Carolina for the conference championship next weekend. The only stain on the Tigers' resume was a 35-14 loss at Notre Dame on November 5. Clemson has responded with a 31-16 win over Louisville and 40-10 win over Miami. Clemson is eighth in the College Football Playoffs, but at least two of the teams ranked ahead of them are guaranteed to suffer another loss.
Be early. Be loud. pic.twitter.com/BaSwcjWxbm— Clemson Football (@ClemsonFB) November 23, 2022
The defense has been the strongest unit for the Tigers allowing 20 ppg (25th) and allowing just 320.8 yards per game (18th). Clemson is averaging 412.6 yards per game of total offense (52nd) and scoring 34.7 ppg (28th). DJ Uiagalelei has had an up-and-down season but has completed 65% of his passes for 2,406 yards with 21 touchdowns and six interceptions.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Well, South Carolina is certainly capable of winning this game after the performance they put up last week against Tennessee. The Gamecocks are also capable of getting blown out if they play as they did in the Missouri and Florida games. Clemson is having a great season, but they have not played a schedule as difficult as what South Carolina has seen. The Tigers have also looked vulnerable in their last five games when facing a team that is on South Carolina's level or better (Wake Forest, NC State, Florida State, Syracuse, Notre Dame). I understand they won those games, but they have not been rolling off blowout victories against solid teams. Although both sides are difficult to trust, I will take the Gamecocks with more than a two-touchdown head start.
Full-Game Total Pick
Clemson has scored at least 30 points against South Carolina in seven straight seasons, so the big question here is, how much heavy lifting can the Gamecocks do? The Gamecocks erupted for 63 points last week, but they will be facing a much better defense against Clemson. The Gamecocks offense has shown some extremes this season, and it's hard to pinpoint what we will see Saturday. South Carolina has been held to 10 points or less three times this season (Georgia, Missouri, Florida). I don't see the Gamecocks having much success running the ball, so they will have to air it out here. As for their passing attack, can we trust Spencer Rattler, or was last week a fluke? I am leaning more on the side of a fluke against a Tennessee team that played a soft zone. As for my money, I will likely pass on this one as I project a 31-20 Clemson win which would be an under by the narrowest of margins (or slight over if the line moves later to 50.5).