Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#203 Tulsa vs.
#204 Houston
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 7:30pm EST
Written by Matt Floyd

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The Houston Cougars (7-4, 5-2 AAC) hosts the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (4-7, 2-5 AAC) at TDECU Stadium on Saturday in Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane narrowly beat the USF Bulls last week, and the Houston Cougars beat the East Carolina Pirates by a wide margin. Houston has beaten Tulsa four out of five times in their last matchups.

This will be the final home game for Houston in the AAC as they move to the Big 12 next season. They'll need South Florida to beat UCF to have a chance to get to the AAC Championship Game.

Tulsa Avoids Being Gored

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane hosted the USF Bulls (1-10, 0-7 AAC) last week and defeated them 48-42.

Tulsa QB Braylon Braxton completed 20/27 passes for 302 yards in the air and one touchdown and no interceptions. Running back Generic Prince led rushing with 220 yards for a total of 271 yards on the ground, and a total of 573 yards total offensive effort.

Defensively, the Golden Hurricane gave up 259 yards rushing and 240 yards passing.

For the season, Tulsa sits at 140.8 yards rushing (82nd in the FBS) and is ranked 117th in Division 1 when it comes to team defense, allowing 33.4 points per game.  Tulsa allows 406 yards per game, ranked 97th in total defense.

Pirates Walk Their Own Plank

The Cougars beat the East Carolina Pirates  (6-5, 3-4 AAC) 42-3 last week. They've won two straight and five of their last six games. Houston QB Clayton Tune completed 32 of 44 passes for 435 yards and four touchdowns — two to Matthew Golden — and Houston scored the first 28 points as the Cougars beat East Carolina 42-3 on Saturday. The Pirates were held to one field goal the entire game.

The Cougars rushed for 80 yards and put up a total of 515 yards offense. Defensively, the Cougars gave up 197 yards passing and 118 yards in rushing. For the season, the Cougars rank 37.8 points per game (ranked 14th in the FBS). They also give up 33.2 points per game by opponents, which makes them 116th in the country.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Houston has beaten Tulsa in four out of five matchups, and this year won't be different. The Cougars have a superior offense, with 460.1 total yards versus Tulsa's 411 yards offensive yards. Houston is ranked #14 at 37.8 total points per game compared to Tulsa's 30 points per game (ranked 55th).

The trends point to a Tulsa loss: the Golden Hurricane are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Stay with the trends and go for Houston to win ATS.

Prediction: Houston Cougars -12

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


Houston and Tulsa have the capability of firing on all cylinders and scoring high. Houston has a PPG of 37.8 and Tulsa has 30 points per game. The defense on both sides is ranked low - 97th for Houston and 109th for Tulsa. The trends point to this as well: over is 10-1 in Cougars last 11 vs. a team with a losing record, and over is 6-1 in Golden Hurricane last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

In this last regular season game, both teams will be playing for the points. Go over and enjoy the show.

Prediction: Over 67

Written By Matt Floyd , "Matt Floyd"

I'm a sports scout and data professional, working in advanced analytics since 2013. An statistics and sports nerd for a lifetime, I can also be found most weekends smoking something over hickory, nurturing my inner pitmaster. Writing about sports and beating the rest of my fellow pundits every day is my eternal quest. Stick with me and pick up the deep data that counts.