Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#179 Western Kentucky vs.
#180 Florida Atlantic (FAU)
Saturday, November 26, 2022 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Kevin V.

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The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (5-2, 7-5 Conference-USA) are on the road Saturday in Boca Raton, Florida at FAU Stadium to play the FAU Owls (5-6, 4-3 Conference-USA) in the final game of the regular season for both. Western Kentucky was defeated by Auburn 41-17 last Saturday, snapping a two-game winning streak. Florida Atlanta was defeated by Middle Tennessee 49-21 last Saturday also snapping a two-game winning streak for the Owls. Western Kentucky and Florida Atlantic do not have any players listed on their injury reports.

Western Kentucky has a powerful offense

Western Kentucky is 17th in the nation in scoring with an average of 36.2 points per game. The Hilltoppers are 76th in rushing with an average of 143.0 yards and third in passing with an average of 333.3 yards for a total of 476.3 yards of total offense per game which is 15th. Quarterback Austin Reed Is the catalyst for the Western Kentucky offense. Reed has 3,837 yards passing with 33 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Kye Robichaux is the leading rusher for Western Kentucky with 496 yards and three touchdowns. Malachi Corley has caught 82 passes for 1,052 yards and seven touchdowns to lead all receivers for Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers have 4 receivers with 537 yards or more.

 

Western Kentucky's defense is allowing an average of 22.8 points per game which is 41st in the nation. The Hilltoppers are allowing an average of 154.6 yards rushing and 219.4 yards passing for a total of 374.0 yards per game which is 63rd in the country. The leading tackler for Western Kentucky is linebacker JaQues Evans with 94 and Evans is also the leader in quarterback sacks with 8.0. Cornerbacks Upton Stout and Kaleb Oliver are the leaders in interceptions with 3 apiece.

Florida Atlantic is allowing too many points

Florida Atlantic is allowing an average of 26.1 points per game which is 65th in the country. The Owls are allowing an average of 180.6 yards rushing which is 101st and 230.8 yards passing, which is 78th, for a total of 411.5 yards per game which is a disappointing 98th. FAU’s leading tackler is linebacker Eddie Williams with 66, while the leader in quarterback sacks is also Williams with 2.5. Safety Dwight Toombs is the leader in interceptions with 3. As a team, FAU has 18 quarterback sacks and 11 pickoffs.

The FAU offense is averaging 186.0 yards rushing and 221.1 yards passing for a total of 407.1 yards per game of total offense which is 56th in the country. FAU scores an average of 29.6 points per game which is 58th. The FAU offense is led by quarterback K’Kosi Perry, who has 2,428 yards passing with 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. Larry McCammon is the leading rusher with 877 yards and five touchdowns. LaJohntay Wester has 58 receptions for 655 yards and eight touchdowns to lead all receivers for FAU.

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Western Kentucky's offense will be too much for the FAU defense to contain on Saturday. Western Kentucky is scoring an average of 36.2 points per game and averaging 476.3 yards per game of total offense. The Hilltoppers have the third-best passing attack in the nation averaging 333.3 yards per game and Florida Atlantic is allowing an average of 230.8 yards per game passing. In addition, Western Kentucky averages 143.0 yards rushing and faces a below-average FAU defense against the run that is allowing 180.6 yards per game on the ground. Western Kentucky will use its running game to open passing lanes down the middle and along the sidelines for the Hilltoppers’ receivers. Look for a high-scoring game with most of the points being scored by Western Kentucky.  Western Kentucky has covered the spread in six of its last seven played on the road and in 14 of the last 19 overall.

Prediction: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -7.5

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Western Kentucky is scoring an average of 36.2 points per game and Florida Atlantic scores its share of points at 29.6 points per game. Both have very talented quarterbacks and solid running games to go along with strong passing games. FAU allows an average of 26.1 points per game and Western Kentucky is allowing an average of 22.8 points per game. The total has finished over in five of Florida Atlantic’s last 7 played at home against a team with a winning record on the road.

Prediction: OVER 61.5
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Written By Kevin Vallego , "Kevin V."

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watching any sport that was on T.V. After years of watching sports he got introduced to the betting world, and soon stats, trends, and odds were Kevin's best friends. Now, almost 2 decades later, His life revolves around sports, writing about them, and betting on them. We are glad to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy that we have him as well.