Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#201 California vs.
#202 UCLA
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 10:30pm EST
Written by The Dominator

Saturday evening on the college gridiron and we will see a pair of teams from the PAC-12 conference square off as the California Golden Bears rumble with the UCLA Bruins at the Rose Bowl in Los Angeles, California. The Bears enter this game at 4-6 on the year while the Bruins are 7-4.

Bears Run All Over The Cardinal

The Cal Bears have not had a great season so far as they come in at 4-6 on the year, but still, a win in this game and against USC at home next week would give them bowl eligibility. It will not be easy as UCLA is playing well at the moment. In their last game, the Bears took on Stanford on the road and they ran all over the Cardinal in the 41-11 win. California ran for 352 yards in the contest and leading the way was Christopher Brooks (497 yards on the year), who had 136 yards while Marcel Dancy (104 yards) had 92 yards and two TDs. It may not be that easy here as the Bruins have been solid against the run.

The area that UCLA has struggled has been against the pass and Chase Garbers could have a nice game here. He threw for 246 yards with two TDs and an INT last week against Stanford and has now thrown for 2225 yards with 16 TDs and six INTs on the year. Garbers will need to have a big game if Cal is to win this one. The California defense has been solid this year and they held Stanford to just 290 yards of total offense, including just 43 on the ground. That could be key here as UCLA has a strong running game and Cal is 26th against the run. The Bears are 96th in scoring at 24.7 ppg and 31st in points allowed at 21.1 ppg.

Bruins Had Fun In Romping The Trojans

Every year, the big game for UCLA is against the crosstown rivals, the USC Trojans and they took them on last week. UCLA had plenty of fun in that game as they won by a score of 62-33. The win moved the Bruins the 7-4 on the year and they will be playing in a bowl game for the first time since 2017. The Bruins have scored 106 points in their last two games but they will be facing a tough Cal defense in this one. UCLA is mostly about the run as they are ranked 19th in that department, compared to 69th in passing. The Bruins ran for 260 yards against USC last week and leading the way was Zach Charbonnet, who had 167 yards and a TD. He has now run for 1031 yards and 12 TDs on the year but will be facing a tough Cal run defense in this one.

If the Bruins get their ground game going, then Dorian Thompson-Robinson will be able to hit some big plays down the field. He has thrown for 2245 yards with 18 TDs and six INTs on the year, while also rushing for 509 yards and nine TDs. Last week, he threw for 349 yards with four TDs and two INTs. The offense has needed to play well, this year as the defense has not. The Bruins allowed USC 325 yards passing last week and are now 118th in the nation against the pass. Cal is not a great passing team, so it may not affect them here. UCLA is also 85th in scoring defense at 27.9 ppg and they have allowed 32.8 ppg over their last four games.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams enter this game off of wins over their most hated rivals, which could leave both a bit flat. UCLA has nothing to play for, while the Bears are looking to keep their hopes alive for a bowl bid. Still, the Bruins are in better form at the moment, especially their offense, which has put up 106 points in its last two games. The UCLA defense has struggled of late, and Cal had a big game against Stanford last week on offense, but this is not an offense that can sustain that kind of play two games in a row. the Bears have not been great on offense and I do not see them scoring enough to keep this one close. Lastly, the Golden Bears are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings at UCLA while the Bruins are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Prediction: UCLA -6

Full-Game Total Pick

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Both teams had very good offensive showings in their last games and UCLA's last three games have averaged 75.6 ppg. Still, I do not see this game following suit. California has a gr=ood ground game that will eat up the clock and keep the UCLA offense on the sidelines. On defense, the Bears have allowed just 21.1 ppg and their last three games have put up just 43 ppg. UCLA will also run the ball a lot and the Bears have been solid at stopping the run. We also note that the Under is 10-1 in the last 11 games in this series and the last 5 between these teams have averaged just 47.6 ppg. Lastly, the Under is 10-3 in Cal's last 13 games as a road underdog and 15-5 in UCLA's last 20 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

Prediction: Under 57.5
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.