Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#225 Florida State (FSU) vs.
#226 Florida
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Nick Raffoul

The Florida State Seminoles will head on the road to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida on Saturday afternoon for a season-ending showdown versus the in-state rival Florida Gators.

This game is a monumental matchup for both programs, as the loser will miss out on the opportunity to earn a bid for a bowl game. Florida enters with a 5-6 overall record after finishing off the SEC season with a 2-6 mark. On the other hand, Florida State enters with an identical 5-6 mark after winning back-to-back games in close fashion against Boston College and Miami.

Can Florida upend Florida State at home in the swamp on Saturday afternoon?

Travis leads Seminoles to another win vs. Boston College

Florida State won its second straight game last weekend, knocking off Boston College 26-23 on Saturday. Quarterback Jordan Travis completed 20-of-34 passes for 251 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions to help the Seminoles hold off the Eagles for their second straight win. Florida State led 26-3 in the second half before allowing three straight touchdowns to make things interesting in the fourth quarter.

Travis has been a revelation under center since taking over the starting quarterback role. For the season, the 6-foot-1 sophomore has completed 63 percent of his passes for 1,337 yards with 14 touchdowns and only five interceptions. Over his last five games, Travis has thrown for eight touchdowns and no interceptions while adding five rushing scores while leading Florida State to an impressive 4-1 record during that span. Jashaun Corbin leads the Seminoles in rushing with 877 yards and seven scores on the ground.

On defense, Florida State has given up 26.7 points per game, 74th in the country. The Seminoles have also surrendered 379.6 yards of total offense per contest, good for 71st in the nation, including 145.1 rushing yards per game, 58th in the FBS.

Gators will try to finish the season strong vs. FSU after firing Mullen

Florida will try to rebound following an ugly 24-23 overtime loss versus Missouri last weekend. Quarterback Emory Jones completed 20-of-32 passes for 261 yards and rushed for a team-high 45 yards in the loss. After Jones put the Gators ahead with a touchdown in overtime, the defense surrendered the game-tying score and gave up a two-point conversion on the ensuing play to put Florida’s bowl game hopes in jeopardy.

Jones has battled through some ups and downs in his first year as a starter at the collegiate level. The 6-foot-2 junior has completed 67.8 percent of his passes for 2,400 yards with 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also leads the team in rushing with a healthy 674 rushing yards and four scores on the ground.

The Gators come into their regular season finale tied for 70th in the country in scoring defense at 26.6 points per game. Florida’s defense has allowed 363.5 yards of total offense per contest, good for 53rd in the nation, but it has been more vulnerable on the ground, giving up 154.4 rushing yards per game, 71st in the FBS.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


These two programs are trending in opposite directions right now. Florida opened the season with a 4-2 record and the Gators suddenly find themselves in jeopardy of missing out on a bowl game. On the other hand, Florida State has won four of its last six games to erase an 0-4 start and revive a seemingly lost season. Travis has also been playing well and appears to have the Seminoles positioned for a bounce-back season next year. With Florida State trending up at the right time, look for the Seminoles to cover the spread on the road in the swamp on Saturday.

Prediction: Florida State Seminoles +2.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


These two teams are projected for 59 points but that number might be set a little too low in this spot. Florida’s defense is two weeks removed from giving up 52 points versus Samford and the Gators have actually allowed 39.8 points per game over their last five contests. Meanwhile, Florida State’s offense has been trending up in recent weeks, which should give this rivalry game some high-scoring potential. Take this matchup to go over the projected total on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Over 59

Written By Nick Raffoul , "Nick Raffoul"

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. He has been a very successful sports bettor over the years and has now brought his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.