Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#171 Georgia vs.
#172 Georgia Tech
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Eric P.

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets play host to the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday afternoon from Bobby Dodd Stadium in an intriguing matchup between in-state rivals. The Bulldogs enter a perfect 11-0 and are the odds-on favorite to win the national championship, but with a rivalry game and SEC championship looming, they know they can't take things easy. For the Yellow Jackets, it's been a rough go of things of late, having lost five in a row heading into the weekend tilt. The head-to-head series has been dominated by the Bulldogs of late though, having won three in a row and eight of the last ten overall. If they are unable to make it four in a row, it would be one of the largest upsets of the college football season though.

Bulldogs Have Eyes Set On SEC Title Game

Georgia has spent the entire season looking like one of the best teams in the country and heading into a rivalry showdown, are ready to prove that point again. Unlike their opponent though, the Bulldogs hope to still have three games remaining on their schedule, meaning they need to stay sharp and stay healthy. They haven't played a one-possession game since the opener against Clemson and their offense has found their flow to go along with the nation's scariest defensive groups as well. The rivalry runs through the Bulldogs and it's likely they hang onto the crown again this go-around.

Injuries do remain a concern for the nation's top-ranked team, as 13 players appear on the most updated injury report. Ten of those have already been ruled out for the season, leaving three questionable. As one of the deepest teams in the country, the injuries aren't bad enough for the Bulldogs to be down for long, but one to keep an eye on is Nolan Smith. The linebacker, who is questionable with an elbow injury, is sixth on the team in tackles and first in breakups.

For as much as people talk about Georgia's defense, their offense has turned some heads as well. They are seventh in the nation in scoring, at 40.27 points per game, but the emphasis remains on the ground game. Zamir White and James Cook have combined as one of the best two-headed monsters in the country, averaging over 100 yards per game on the ground combined. Beyond those two, Stetson Bennett has taken hold of the reigns at quarterback, with 17 touchdowns and only five interceptions, giving the Bulldogs a threat in the passing attack.

In the end, though, Georgia's defense is what changes the trajectory of each and every game. They rank first in scoring defense, third in pass defense and rush defense, and first in total yardage defense. They have a pair of tacklers topping 50 and a handful of players with wth a handful of sacks each. Georgia Tech's offensive line will struggle to hold back Georgia's front seven and that alone should dictate how this game goes.

Yellow Jackets Looking To Spring Upset

The Yellow Jackets turned some heads earlier in the season, grabbing a win against North Carolina and playing Clemson to a one-possession game back in September. Since then, the wheels have fallen off though. Georgia Tech has lost five in a row and six of their last seven. Even with some of those being single-digit losses, none have been against a team anywhere near Georgia's standing. The last time out they lost 55-0 to Notre Dame, with fears that a similar result could be coming this weekend.

Unlike Georgia, Georgia Tech has far fewer injuries to worry about heading into Saturday's rivalry game. They've already ruled out Dylan Deveney and Leo Blackburn but the one to keep an eye on is offensive lineman, Kenny Cooper, is who questionable.

The Yellow Jackets are averaging nearly 15 fewer points per game than the Bulldogs and that's not even considering that they've yet to see a defense like Georgia's. Georgia Tech ranks in the bottom half of college football in total yards and passing yards, while their running game ranks 55th, but will certainly struggle.

Jeff Sims remains the leader on the offensive side of the ball at quarterback, averaging 183 yards per game through the air and another 46 on the ground. The offense goes where Jahmyr Gibbs takes them though. Leading the country in all-purpose yards, Saturday will be a crucial chance for him to prove himself against the elite.

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The Bulldogs have shown no signs of slowing down so far this season and as each week progresses, both sides of the ball seem to be grabbing more and more momentum and confidence. Georgia Tech's offense has struggled, especially of late, as shown by the shutout and 55 point loss to Notre Dame last week, and Georgia's defense will capitalize on those issues. For the Bulldogs on offense, they have the ability to move the ball with ease on the ground and through the air, and given their potency for putting up crooked numbers of late, will make this one ugly pretty early on. Additionally, according to covers.com, for Georgia, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game and are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against a team with a losing home record. For Georgia Tech, they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning road record, are 1-6 in their last seven games overall, and are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. In meetings between the two teams, Georgia is 10-0 ATS in the last ten meetings at Georgia Tech, the road team is 14-2-21 ATS in the last 17 meetings, and Georgia is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

Prediction: Georgia (-35.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

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After Georgia Tech's performance last weekend, in which they scored zero points against Notre Dame, it's hard to imagine them scoring anything more than a touchdown on Saturday against the Bulldogs. While the Bulldogs definitely have the ability to put up points in their own right, the fact that they still have quite a few games remaining on their road to a national title could mean that they take the foot off the gas on Saturday. Expect a game plan with an emphasis on the ground game and controlling the clock, leading to a lower scoring output than usual for Georgia. Additionally, according to covers.com, for Georgia, the under is 4-0 in their last four games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. For Georgia Tech, the under is 4-0 in their last four games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.

Prediction: Under 54.5
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Written By Eric Ploch , "Eric P."

Eric grew up surrounded by sports, whether it was spending the weekend catching games in person or on tv, or heading out to the fields to play whatever sport was in season. What started as a hobby, soon became a passion, as he became the sports editor of his high school newspaper, then wrote for his university newspaper during his undergrad years. After obtaining a degree in Sports Operations and Promotions, and spending 8 years deeply immersed in the sports world, Eric decided to take his love for analytics and predictions, and his experience, to online sports fans everywhere. James is now an integral part of our team here at StatSalt and has also been a very successful sports bettor over the years. Be sure and follow him daily.