Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#151 Miami - FL vs.
#152 Duke
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 12:30pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

The Miami Florida Hurricanes collide with the Duke Blue Devils in the ACC regular-season finale on Saturday afternoon. The Hurricanes posted a convincing home win over Virginia Tech last week. The Blue Devils were tagged with a loss by Louisville in their previous bout. Miami FL beat Duke by a remarkable 48-0 score in December of last season.

Miami Florida Tops VT in Fourth ACC Win

The Miami Florida Hurricanes will be playing in a bowl game after earning win number six last week. They have won four out of their last five games to improve to 4-3 in ACC play. Miami was tabbed seven-point favorites in last week’s decisive 38-26 home win against Virginia Tech. The Hurricanes' only defeat within the last five games occurred against Florida State. They have covered in 4 of their 7 ACC games on the season.

Tyler Van Dyke continues to dazzle, recording a 10:2 TD to INT ratio in his last three games. The talented freshman QB took the #1 job after King went down with an injury early in the season. Van Dyke has accumulated 2550 passing yards accompanied by a 22:6 TD to INT ratio.

Jaylan Knighton hasn't enjoyed a whole lot of success recently. The freshman RB only has 49 rushing yards in his last two games and a total of 510 yards on the year. Charleston Rambo continues to dominate. The junior WR has now surpassed 100 yards in four out of his last five games and has posted 1071 yards on the season. The Miami FL offense is tremendous and has scored over 30 points in five out of their last six games.

The Hurricanes defense will give up points and they often rely on offense to win. They were solid last week against a low-scoring team but haven’t been effective in many ACC bouts. The pass defense stands down at 106th overall while the rush defense is 59th. Miami FL is scoring an average of 32.9 points, good for 37th in the FBS. They are allowing an average of 30.1 points, placing them 91st overall.

Duke Tagged with Another Blowout Loss

The Duke Blue Devils will conclude a disappointing season looking to avoid an eighth consecutive defeat. They have yet to win a conference game this season due to terrible defensive play. The defensive issues continued in a 62-22 home loss to Louisville in a tilt that had Duke labeled as huge 20 point dogs. The Blue Devils have only covered the points once in conference play.

Gunnar Holmberg has been quite efficient on a team that mainly opts for the run. The senior QB has connected on just under 68% of his pass attempts for a total of 2210 passing yards and a 7:7 TD to INT ratio. Duke runs more than any other team. The squad is led by Mataeo Durant. The senior RB hasn't received as many carries as usual lately and has eclipsed the 100 yards mark five times. He has tallied 1173 rushing yards. Jake Bobo is having a solid year. The senior WR has made 19 catches in his last three games and has a team-leading 762 yards. The Duke offense has not reached 30 points in any of the seven ACC bouts.

The Blue Devils defense is abysmal. The unit has no answer for their conference foes and has squandered over 40 points in three straight games. The pass defense is pegged 128th in the FBS while the rush defense isn’t any better at 117th. Duke is averaging 24 points, placing them 101st in the FBS. They are conceding an average of 39.1 points, pegging them 125th overall.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Duke’s offense should keep this game close. They accumulated a remarkable 458 total yards against Louisville last week and are averaging a solid 245 passing yards per game. The running game is stellar, averaging 193 yards per game. The Miami Florida defense can be solved. They have allowed 30 or more points in six out of their last seven games. Duke has averaged a respectable 22.7 points in its last three games overall.

Furthermore, the Hurricanes already secured bowl eligibility last week. They have not been overly threatening on the road where they have earned just one win on the season.

Prediction: Duke Blue Devils +21.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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This one is going to feature a ton of scoring. As mentioned Miami Florida is giving up a ton of points and don’t particularly thrive in any area defensively. Duke is actually averaging about the same number of total yards per game as Miami and they will contribute to this total.

In addition, the Hurricanes offense is clicking led by QB Tyler Van Dyke who features a 17:3 TD to INT ratio in his last five games. His success will resume against a Duke defense that is tabbed 128th overall against the pass. The over is 5-1 in the Hurricanes’ last six games and 7-0-1 in Duke’s last eight November games.

Prediction: Over 68

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Duke team total is worth a look. Duke scored 29 against Pittsburgh and 22 against Louisville. They haven’t been able to cash in with points but as mentioned they are averaging well over 400 yards per game led by a potent running game that should thrive in this matchup.

Prediction: Duke Team Total Over 23.5

Half-Time Prop Prediction

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I like the over on the first-quarter total as well. Miami Florida has been producing early in games, averaging 9.3 points in the opening quarter in their last three clashes. Duke is allowing an average of 8.3 points in the first quarter, pegging them 110th.

Prediction: First Quarter Total Over 14.5
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Written By Adam Rauzino , "Adam Rauzino"

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball, and football. He enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and being an expert sports bettor. Prior to bringing his talents here to Winners and Whiners, Adam graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance. You would do yourself a huge favor by following Adam on a daily basis.