Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#185 Miami - OH vs.
#186 Kent State
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 12:00pm EST
Written by The Dominator

College football action on Saturday afternoon and a pair of teams from the Mid-American Conference will square off as the Miami-Oh RedHawks grapple with the Kent State Golden Flashes at Dix Stadium in Kent, Ohio. Both teams enter this game at 6-5 on the year and tied atop the MAC East with 5-2 records.

Miami Grounds The Falcons

The Miami RedHawks come in off a 34-7 home win over Bowling Green, which gives them six wins on the year and Bowl eligibility. Now they have their sights set on bigger things as a win in this game will give them a spot in the MAC title game. It would be the 2nd time in the last three years that they would make the title game and the last time (2019) they won it by a score of 26-21 over Central Michigan. Back to the win over the Falcons. Miami fell behind 7-0 in that game before scoring the final 34 points, outgaining the Falcons 346-258 in the process. The RedHawks are 21st in the nation in passing 86th in rushing and 71st in scoring at 27.5 ppg.

Brett Gabbert did not have his best game as he completed just 50% of his passes for 227 yards with two TDs and an INT, but it was more than enough to get the job done. He has had an outstanding season, throwing for 2013 yards with 20 TDs and just four INTs, and he will be facing one of the worst pass defenses in the nation in this one. The defense has been solid this year, ranking 41st against the pass, 44th against the run, and 35th in points allowed at 21.6 ppg. Miami allowed 150 yards on the ground to Bowling Green, which is 120th in the nation in rushing. They will need their run defense to step up in this one as the Golden Flashes have one of the best ground attacks in the nation.

Golden Flashes Pitch A Rare Shutout

Kent State has not had many shutouts over the years, but they had one this past week and KSU beat Akron on the road by a score of 38-0. The Golden Flashes have also reached bowl eligibility with the win. KSU's last shutout was in 2009 when they beat then FCS Coastal Carolina 18-0. Prior to that, it was a 24-0 home win over Ohio in 1994. Shutout wins are rare for this team. Coming into last week's game, Kent State had allowed 39.8 ppg to their FBS foes this year, so this is a defense that has not played well. In fact, KSU is 123rd against the pass, 105th against the run, and 110th in points allowed at 33.5 ppg. Still, they allowed the Zips just 188 yards of total offense in the win.

The pass defense looked good as the Zips three for just 111 yards, but KSU will be facing a much better passing game in this one. The Kent offense has been very good all year, especially their ground game which ranks 3rd in the nation in rushing. They had a whopping 410 yards rushing against the Zips with Marquez Cooper leading the way at 135 yards and a TD. He has now run for 949 yards and 10 TDs on the year. Dustin Crum has had a solid season at QB, throwing for 2469 yards with 13 TDs and just two INTs, while rushing for 560 yards and 10 TDs. he has 110 yards rushing and two TDs against the Zips. The ground game is what makes this offense go, but they will be facing a tougher run defense than the 128th ranked one they faced last week.

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Golden Flashes are at home and they have the offensive edge, but Miami does have a solid offense and they have a massive edge on defense. The Golden Flashes pitched a shutout last week against Akron, but the Zips have one of the worst offenses in the nation, and prior to that game, the Golden Flashes had allowed 39.8 ppg to their FBS foes. Miami is 24th in the nation in passing while Kent is 123rd against the pass. The Golden Flashes are 12th in total offense and 3rd in rushing but the RedHawks are 39th in total defense, 44th against the run, and 35th points allowed at 21.6 ppg. The defense of the RedHawks and the passing if Brett Gabbert will be the difference in this one.

Prediction: Miami -1

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Normally in big games like this, I side with the Under but I just can't do that here, Yes, Miami has a huge edge on defense, but they will still allow the Golden Flashes to get their fair share of points. Kent State has averaged 32.1 ppg on the year, including 46.8 ppg at home. They have hung up over 600 yards of total offense at home and Miami has allowed 28.0 ppg on the road.  Miami will also get their points as they are 24th in the nation in passing while Kent State is 123rd against the pass. Miami has not scored well on the road but they will in this one as the Golden Flashes have allowed 28.8 ppg at home and 33.5 ppg overall. Lastly, the Over is 14-3 in Kent State's last 17 games following a straight-up win.

Prediction: Over 64.5
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Written By David Hess , "The Dominator"

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought-out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.