Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#227 Texas A&M vs.
#228 LSU
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 7:00pm EST
Written by Chris King

It’s a battle of teams from the SEC West on the gridiron down in the bayou. The #15 Texas A&M Aggies are on the road as they make the trip to face the LSU Tigers Saturday night. Texas A&M knocked off Prairie View A&M in a blowout by a 52-3 score at home in their most recent contest last Saturday. LSU picked up a 27-14 home victory over Louisiana Monroe in their most recent contest last Saturday. In the all-time series between the teams, the Tigers own a 34-21-3 advantage but it was the Aggies picking up a 20-7 home victory in the most recent matchup back on November 28, 2020.

Texas A&M Aggies Look to Maintain Momentum

Texas A&M won for the fifth time in six games as they walloped Prairie View A&M at home in their most recent contest. The Aggies improved to 8-3 on the season and sit 4-3 in the SEC on the season. Against Prairie View A&M, Texas A&M led 21-0 after the opening quarter and by a 38-0 score at halftime. You could turn the lights out at that point as the margin was 45-0 before the Panthers got on the board. The Aggies owned a 447-154 advantage in total offense, held a 24-9 advantage in first downs and held a 31:00 to 29:00 margin in time of possession. Each team committed one turnover in the contest: the Aggies’ converted their takeaway into a scoop-six.

On the season, the Aggies are 93rd in passing offense with 205.5 yards per game while they are 35th in rushing offense by grinding out 194.6 yards per contest this season. Texas A&M is 59th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 29.8 points per game while they stand 2nd in the nation in scoring defense by allowing only 14.9 points per contest. Zach Calzada is 164 of 292 for 1,943 yards with 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions while adding 14 yards plus a score on the ground. Haynes King is 22 of 35 passing for 300 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions plus 24 yards on the ground. He’s been out after suffering a fractured ankle in the win over Colorado back on September 11. Isaiah Spiller leads the team in rushing with 168 carries for 984 yards and six scores this season. Devon Achane (118 carries, 861 yards, nine TD) is the second back in the system. In the passing game, Ainias Smith leads the team with 41 receptions for 472 yards plus six scores. Jalen Wydermyer (36 catches, 491 yards, four TD), Demond Demas (15 grabs, 235 yards, TD), Achane (19 receptions, 189 yards, TD), Spiller (25 catches, 189 yards, TD) and Chase Lane (12 grabs, 132 yards) all have at least 100 receiving yards this season. Seth Small has hit all 34 extra-point attempts and 21 of 26 field goal attempts with a long of 49 this season. Caden Davis hit his lone extra point attempt and misfired on his lone field goal attempt.

LSU Tigers Try to Earn Back-to-Back Wins

LSU had dropped three straight games and five of their previous six before downing Louisiana Monroe at home last week. The Tigers improved to 5-6 on the season and 2-5 in the SEC on the season, leaving them in the basement of the SEC West. Against Louisiana Monroe, LSU jumped to a 7-0 lead after the opening quarter and took a 17-0 advantage less than six minutes into the second quarter. The Tigers didn’t let the Warhawks closer than 10 the rest of the way as they picked up the win. LSU held a 411-311 advantage in total offense, held a 32:45 to 27:15 edge in time of possession and tied on first downs 17-17. Both teams turned the ball over once.

On the year, the Tigers are 40th in the nation in passing offense with an average of 260.4 yards per game through the air while they are just 117th in rushing offense with 109.7 yards per contest. LSU is 74th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 27.1 points per game this season while the Tigers are 60thin the country in scoring defense by allowing 25.5 points a contest. Max Johnson has completed 203 of 335 passes for 2,508 yards with 24 touchdowns against six interceptions. Garrett Nussmeier is 29 of 57 for 329 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions this season in a backup role. Tyrion Davis-Price leads the team on the ground with 192 carries for 838 yards and six scores this season. Corey Kiner (62 carries, 255 yards, two TD) is in the mix as well. That duo will have to step up after it was announced on September 13 that John Emery Jr. would be out for the season due to academic issues. Kayshon Boutte is second on the team with 38 receptions for 508 yards and nine scores on the year. Trey Palmer (25 catches, 280 yards, two TD) and Jack Bech (42 grabs, 478 yards, three TD) are secondary options when the Tigers go to the air. Cade York has hit all 36 extra point attempts and 13 of 16 field-goal attempts. He hit from 55 and 56 yards, his season-long, in the win over McNeese State and is a weapon in the kicking game.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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LSU has really struggled since the announcement that Ed Orgeron would be stepping down at the end of the season. Injuries and inconsistency have plagued the Tigers, which is part of why they had dropped five of six before beating Louisiana Monroe last week. Texas A&M has been solid even without Haynes King and they have an effective 1-2 punch in the ground game that can do damage. We’ve seen the Aggies really play well as they own a win over Alabama on their resume. Look for Texas A&M to go on the road and take care of business here over an LSU team that is seemingly checked out at this stage of things.

Prediction: Texas A&M Aggies -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Texas A&M comes into this contest having seen the under hit in seven of their 11 games on the year. The Aggies had stayed under the total in two straight games before going over last week in their win over Prairie View A&M though that was on the strength of their own offensive production. LSU has had the under hit in seven of their 11 games on the year entering this one. The Tigers have posted unders in six of their last eight games and each of their last four contests coming into this one. We’ve seen the under hit in six of the last nine meetings between these teams, including two straight. Look for this one to follow suit and end up short of the total.

Prediction: Under 46.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.