Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#213 Tulsa vs.
#214 SMU
Saturday, November 27, 2021 at 4:00pm EST
Written by The Admiral

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (5-6) vs. SMU Mustangs (8-3)

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will be looking to make themselves bowl eligible when they take on the SMU Mustangs on Saturday. Tulsa enters as winners of two straight games, including a 44-10 victory over Temple last Saturday. That now gives them five victories on the season, needing one more to become eligible. The Golden Hurricane are 3-0 ATS in their last three games. SMU lost to Cincinnati on Saturday, 48-14, their third loss out of the last four games. The Mustangs are 1-3 ATS in their last four games.

SMU comes in as a 6.5-point favorite. Tulsa won the most recent contest between these teams, defeating Southern Methodist 28-24 in November last year. The Golden Hurricane are 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

Golden Hurricane Roll Over Owls

Tulsa scored the first 27 points of the game on their way to a 44-10 victory. Davis Brin had a solid performance, throwing for 297 yards and two touchdowns against zero interceptions. Shamari Brooks carried the ball 11 times for 60 yards, and the defense was outstanding, holding Temple to 293 yards and 18 first downs.

Tulsa is 91st in scoring at 25.3 points per game and they are 34th in yards per contest at 439.5. The Golden Hurricane offense is led by an imposing ground game led by Brooks, who has rushed for 891 yards and six touchdowns. Anthony Watkins is second on the team with 553 yards and a 7.7 yards per carry average, and Deneric Prince has rushed for 469 yards and is averaging 5.6 yards per carry.

Brin has thrown for 2740 yards and 15 touchdowns, completing 59.3% of his passes. However, he has thrown 14 interceptions. The leading receiver is Josh Johnson with 69 catches for 868 yards and four scores.

The Golden Hurricane are allowing 27.1 points per game, 75th overall. The Tulsa defense has 22 sacks, eight interceptions, and six fumble recoveries. Anthony Goodlow leads the team with 4.5 sacks. Justin Wright is the leading tackler with 70, and has 3.5 sacks, an interception, and a fumble recovery.

Mustangs Corralled by The Bearcats

Cincinnati scored the first 48 points of the game, dominating SMU in a 48-14 victory. The Mustangs simply could not get going, recording 199 yards of total offense, including just 66 through the air. They gave up 249 yards rushing and Cincinnati gained 544 yards overall.

SMU is averaging 39.1 points per game, ninth in the country, and they are 13th in total yards per game at 472.5. The Mustangs are led by quarterback Tanner Mordecai, who has completed 69.1% of his passes for 3330 yards and 38 touchdowns. Mordecai has four receivers who have at least 38 catches, including Rashee Rice who has 58 catches for 620 yards and nine scores. Danny Gray is a deep threat, making 49 catches for 803 yards and nine TDs.

These Mustangs can run as well. Tre Siggers leads the team with 727 yards rushing and has nine touchdowns. Ulysses Bentley has rushed for 585 yards and is averaging 7.0 yards per carry.

The Mustangs are allowing 27.9 points per contest, 83rd overall. SMU has recorded 27 sacks, four fumble recoveries, and eight interceptions. DeVere Levelston leads the team with 6.5 sacks, with Turner Coxe close behind with 6.0. The team leader in tackles is Delano Robinson with 73, and he has a sack and an interception.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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To come close or even win this game, Tulsa is simply going to have to outscore SMU. They are not going to stop this potent Mustangs offense, which not only has one of the top quarterbacks in the conference, but they have an outstanding ground game as well. The Golden Hurricane are going to need at least 30 points in this contest if they are going to keep it close, or even win.

Tulsa is capable of doing so, reaching the 30-point plateau four times this season, including 44 against Temple last week. However, they had been held to 20 points or fewer in the three contests prior to that victory. This is an offense that can be shut down. I do not expect that to occur here, but I do expect Brin to make some costly mistakes that ruin the chances for Tulsa.

Prediction: Take the SMU Mustangs at -6.5 (-110)

Full-Game Total Pick

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The last time these teams met, they combined for 52 points. However, the history between the two teams has certainly been exciting. SMU won 43-37 in overtime in 2019, defeated the Golden Hurricane 38-34 in 2017, and won in overtime in 2016, 43-40. They frequently play high-scoring games and they are exciting ones.

I do not expect this game to be that close, but I do expect it to be a high-scoring affair. Tulsa has gone over in three of their last five games against teams with a winning record and three of their last five when they are the underdog. SMU has gone over in 35 of their last 52 games following a loss.

Take SMU to win, 44-30.

Prediction: Over 62.5 (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.