Virginia Cavaliers (6-5) will host the Virginia Tech Hokies (5-6) Saturday in a battle for the Commonwealth Cup. These rivals have met 102 times since 1895, and Virginia Tech holds a 59-38-5 edge all-time. Virginia Tech needs to win this game to become bowl eligible. Last season Virginia Tech beat Virginia 33-15 as a three-point favorite.
Hokies trying to get to 6 winsAfter getting off to a 3-1 start, Virginia Tech has lost five of its last seven games and is now in danger of missing a bowl game. Last Saturday, the Hokies lost 38-26 to the Miami Hurricanes as a seven-point dog. The Hokies were outgained 424 to 375 in total yards in the loss. Braxton Burmeister and Connor Blumrick both split times at quarterback for the Hokies. Burmeister threw for 109 yards with a touchdown and ran for another 52 yards. Blumrick added 39 passing yards and two touchdowns and ran for 132 yards.
The Hokies have been balanced on both sides of the ball. Offensively they are averaging 24.3 ppg, 182.9 passing yards, and 179.1 rushing yards. Burmeister has been the leader throwing for 1,819 of the teams' 2,012 passing yards this season. He also has 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. Defensively Virginia Tech is allowing 22.8 ppg, 201.8 passing, and 174 rushing yards per game.
Virginia looking to end three-game losing streakThe Virginia Cavaliers started the season 6-2 but are currently on a three-game losing streak after falling to three straight ranked opponents, BYU 66-49, Notre Dame 28-3, and Pittsburgh 48-38 last Saturday. Last week Virginia outgained Pittsburgh 514 to 509 despite losing as a 13-point dog. Quarterback Brennan Armstrong threw for 487 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. As a team, Virginia only picked up p 27 rushing yards on 24 attempts.
“Hasise did a great job of making that Thursday’s Hero feel special, and I try to do the same thing….I’m just trying to give that Thursday’s Hero all the attention. It’s just a great thing to see them smile.” @7_ntaylor https://t.co/qfVtMvGIb6— Virginia Football (@UVAFootball) November 25, 2021
On the season, Virginia averages 35.6 ppg, led by the nation's second-ranked passing offense that picks up 390.2 yards per game. Armstrong has completed 65.3% of his passes 4,044 yards, with 30 touchdowns and nine interceptions. On defense, Virginia is allowing 466.2 yards per game, the second-most amongst ACC teams. Opposing teams have thrown for 248.9 yards and rushed for 212.3 yards per contest.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
Both teams are coming into this game struggling and seven points seem like a lot given the magnitude of this rivalry. Virginia Tech has been inconsistent this season, but they do need this game to become bowl eligible and will be facing a Virginia team that has been one of the very worst defensively in the ACC. I expect to see a close game that will be decided late in the fourth quarter, so I will take the dog to cover.
Full-Game Total Pick
I see the Virginia Tech defense struggling against the Virginia high-powered passing attack. The Hokies allow 13 passing yards per completion, which is 97th in the nation, and Virginia averages 13.3 yards per completion. However, I do expect Virginia Tech to be able to do damage as well when they gave the ball against the Virginia defense that is 118th in the nation, allowing 6.7 yards per play. The last two Tech games have gone over the total, and Virginia has played to the over in three of the last four games. Take the over.