A pair of Big 12 teams take the field in their regular season finale as they meet at the Lone Star State. The Kansas Wildcats are on the road as they travel and face the Baylor Bears Saturday afternoon. Kansas comes in off a 37-21 home win over #16 Colorado last Saturday, winning outright as a 1.5-point underdog, in their previous contest. Baylor dropped Houston 20-10 on the road in their previous contest last Saturday, covering the line as a seven-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Bears own an 18-4 advantage and have won the last 13 meetings. That includes a 35-23 home win in the most recent matchup October 22, 2022.
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Who will win this matchup? Read more about this Iowa State vs. Kansas prediction!
Wildcats Looking to Earn Bowl Eligibility
Kansas has bounced back from a dismal start to the season as they have beaten Iowa State, BYU and Colorado, all ranked foes, in succession after prevailing at home last Saturday. The Jayhawks improved to 5-6 on the year and stand 4-4 in the Big 12: a win here will give them bowl eligibility. Against Colorado, Kansas jumped in front 10-0 after the opening quarter and 17-0 in the second quarter before settling for a 23-14 advantage at the half. The Jayhawks outscored the Buffaloes 14-0 in the second half to pull away for the victory. Kansas owned a 520-308 advantage in total offense, racked up a 29-15 advantage in first downs and dominated the clock by a 40:11 to 19:49 margin in the contest. There were no turnovers in the game.
On the season, the Jayhawks are 94th in the nation in passing offense with 202.3 yards per contest through the air while they are 14th in rushing offense with 212.2 yards per game on the ground. Kansas stands 49th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 30.8 points per game while they are 65th in scoring defense by allowing 24.3 points per contest. Jalon Daniels is 159 of 277 passing for 2,174 yards with 14 touchdowns against 10 interceptions this season. He is second on the team with 410 rushing yards and six scores on the year. Cole Ballard is five of six for 51 yards with a score while adding 42 yards on the ground. Devin Neal is the team’s lead back as he has run the ball 199 times for 1,133 yards and 15 scores. Daniel Hishaw Jr. (65 carries, 376 yards, three TD) is a capable option in the run game as well. Lawrence Arnold is second on the team in the passing game with 25 catches for 338 yards plus a score this season. Luke Grimm (48 grabs, 617 yards, six TD), Quentin Skinner (22 receptions, 480 yards, four TD), Neal (23 catches, 249 yards, TD) and Trevor Wilson (nine grabs, 139 yards) all have cracked the century mark in receiving yards this season. Tabor Allen has hit 38 of 40 extra point attempts and 11 of 13 field goal attempts with a long of 47 this season. Luke Hosford is four of four on extra point attempts but has not attempted a field goal this year.
Ballard (undisclosed) and Hishaw Jr. (personal) are both questionable for this contest.
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Baylor Shooting for Sixth Straight Win
Baylor ran their win streak to five games as they took down Houston on the road last week to stay hot. The Bears improved to 7-4 overall on the year and 5-3 in the Big 12 on the season with the win. Against Houston, Baylor relied on their defense and some timely offense to pick up the home victory. The Bears were even at seven after the opening quarter, took a 17-7 lead at the half and didn’t let the Cougars closer than seven the rest of the way to earn the win. Baylor held a 325-239 advantage in total offense, held a 20-14 edge in first downs, controlled the clock by a 35:02 to 24:58 margin and forced four turnovers while committing three, including a pick-six, in the loss.
For the year, Baylor is 51st in the nation in passing offense as they average 240.2 yards per game through the air. The Bears stand 44th in rushing offense of the 134 FBS teams to take the field this year with an average of 179 yards per game. Baylor is 27th in the FBS in scoring offense with 33.7 points per game while the team stands 77th in scoring defense as they allow 26 points per contest. Sawyer Robertson is 176 of 286 passing for 2,314 yards with 22 touchdowns against seven interceptions while ranking third with 238 rushing yards and four scores. Dequan Finn (23 of 43, 307 yards, three TD, two INT, 66 rush yards, two TD) is the backup. Bryson Washington leads the team on the ground with 142 carries for 812 yards and 10 scores this season. Dawson Pendergrass (89 carries, 504 yards, four TD) and Richard Reese (53 carries, 224 yards, TD) are next in line in the run game. Ashtyn Hawkins leads the team with 40 catches for 499 yards and four scores this season. Josh Cameron (36 receptions, 541 yards, eight TD), Michael Trigg (30 grabs, 395 yards, three TD), Hal Presley (25 catches, 357 yards, three TD), Monaray Baldwin (16 receptions, 280 yards, TD) and Washington (21 grabs, 203 yards, TD) are each over the 200-yard mark in receiving yards. Isaiah Hankins is 40 of 40 on extra point attempts and 12 of 16 on field goals with a long of 51 this season. Connor Hawkins is five of five on extra points and missed his lone field goal attempt this year.
Finn (undisclosed) is questionable for this contest.
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Best Bets for Kansas vs. Baylor
Full-Game Side Bet
Insiders Status:
Both teams have momentum heading into the regular season finale. Kansas has three straight wins over ranked foes while Baylor has won five in a row leading into this contest. The Bears have hung at least 37 points in four of those five wins. Baylor doesn’t have anything to play for here while Kansas is still trying to earn bowl eligibility after their early season struggles. That gives the Jayhawks motivation here and after downing three straight ranked opponents, they won’t be intimidated playing on the road here. Look for Kansas to continue their late season success by prevailing here.
Full-Game Total Pick
Insiders Status:
Kansas has seen the under post a 6-5 mark in their 11 games this season. The Jayhawks have seen the under post a 3-2 mark in their five road games this season, falling short of the number in each of their last two. Baylor has seen the over record a 7-4 mark in their 11 games overall this year. The Bears have gone over the number in three of their five home games on the season, surpassing the mark in each of their last three contests in Waco. We’ve seen plenty of offense from these teams this season and the Big 12 is normally a defense optional league. Look for the offenses to come out and push this game over the total.
