When and where: November 9, 2018, Carrier Dome, Syracuse, NY, 7:00 PM ET
The Syracuse Orange look forward to a favorable match-up at home on Friday when they receive a visit from the struggling Louisville Cardinals. Not even Michael Myers could scare a crowd of onlookers as much as the Clemson Tigers did on Saturday, when they plowed over the Cardinals like a heavy duty lawn mower.
Cardinals head coach Bobby Petrino will hope for a miracle when trekking his team north to play against Syracuse, who is coming off wins over Wake Forest, North Carolina State and North Carolina.
No light at the end of the tunnel for Louisville
Everyone on planet Earth, including Louisville, knew nothing good was going to come out of a road game against No. 2-ranked Clemson. The game had rout written all over it as soon as the 2018 schedule was revealed, but no one could have predicted it would be as bad as it was on Saturday. Louisville gave up 77 points and 661 total yards to Clemson’s offense.
The score was 35-3 by halftime.
Imagine being a head coach trying to talk your team back into the game on the road after digging a 32-point hole. The walk from the field to the locker was probably one of the longest in Petrino’s career as a coach. Clemson had three players that rushed for over 100 yards, and all three had more yards on the ground than all of Louisville’s rushers combined. Hassan Hall and Colin Wilson tied for a team-high 26 rushing yards.
Things won’t get any easier for the Cardinals against No. 19-ranked Syracuse, who is averaging 43.3 points per game. Then it’s on to a North Carolina State team averaging 457 total yards on offense. More long walks to the locker room will probably be in Petrino’s future.
Syracuse is an emerging dark horse team
After falling to Clemson and Pittsburgh, Syracuse has quietly climbed back into the top-25 with three consecutive wins, including a signature victory at home against No. 22 North Carolina State. There is a tendency to take a team like the Orange lightly, but that could be a major mistake this season. While the loss to Pittsburgh was a momentum killer, they still managed to come within only five points of knocking off Clemson and potentially altering the playoff picture.
They’ll have another crack at playing spoiler next week in a primetime meeting with No. 4-ranked Notre Dame.
Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has really come on strong in recent weeks. He dropped 411 passing yards and three touchdowns on North Carolina State, and a week later, he ran for 119 yards and one touchdown against Wake Forest. His dual abilities in the pocket are suddenly springing to life at the right time for Syracuse, making them a dangerous opponent late in the season. They are currently the No. 2-ranked offense in the Atlantic Coast Conference.
🎥 Eric Dungey after the win at Wake Forest pic.twitter.com/pl48ltcHiI
— Syracuse Football (@CuseFootball) November 3, 2018
On the other side of the ball, linebacker Ryan Guthrie led the Orange with 11 tackles, two sacks and one pass deflection.
- Orange are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 passing yards in the previous game
- Orange are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games
- Orange are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games played on fieldturf
- Orange are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games after a win
- Cardinals are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games played on fieldturf
- Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after a loss
- Cardinals are 3-13 ATS against teams with a winning record
Updated on Nov 9 at 10:10am EST
Update prepared by our editoral staff
Public Money / Line Movements
The Sharps appear to think that Petrino will have his boys ready to play after the embarrassing loss to Clemson last week. The Line has held at 21 all week, despite 86% of the bets coming in on Syracuse.
Injury / Weather Report
Dome– No Weather Issues
Louisville’s Impact Injury Report:
Safety London Iakopo (34 Tackles) is questionable
Syracuse’s Impact Injury Report
DB Ifeatu Melifonwu (14 Tackles, 1 TFL) and Moe Neal (553 Yards, Three TDs) are both questionable
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Things really can’t get any worse for Louisville than the loss to Clemson, but they certainly won’t get much better against Syracuse, either. The Orange are simply the better football team at every phase—offense, defense and special teams— playing against what is sure to be a demoralized Cardinals team. Not to mention Syracuse has yet to lose a game this year at the Carrier Dome.
Brace yourselves, Cardinals fans. This one could get ugly.
Louisville currently has the worst offense in the Atlantic Coast Conference, and they are facing a Syracuse defense that has 27 sacks on the season, which ranks third in the division. They should be able to get plenty of push up front against a Louisville offensive line that gave up six sacks and nine tackles for a loss to the Tigers.
There is also the weird dual quarterback situation going on for the Cardinals with Malik Cunningham and Jawon Pass. The consistency is lacking at the position to expect either guy to ever be able to bail them out, if they get behind early.
It’ll be another long and disappointing night for the Cardinals.
Prediction: Syracuse Orange
Full-Game Total Pick
Syracuse is good enough to cover the over by themselves against Louisville’s defense. The Cardinals have given up a ridiculous 133 points combined in back-to-back games. It would be a serious mistake to put any faith in this defense against a prolific scoring offense like Syracuse. Take the over in this game.