Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#121 Georgia Tech 44 vs.
#122 Virginia -16
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 12:30pm EST
Scott Stadium, Charlottesville
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#121 Georgia Institute of Technology
#122 University of Virginia
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The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will get set to wind down the Atlantic Coast Conference season on Saturday afternoon when they travel on the road to Scott Stadium for a matchup with ACC Coastal Division-leading Virginia Cavaliers.

Virginia was the preseason pick to win a wide-open Coastal Division and they have a good chance of making that happen after last week’s win. The Cavaliers will play each of their final three games at home, including a season-ending showdown against in-state rival Virginia Tech. They come in with a 6-3 overall record and a 4-2 mark in ACC play, which puts them a half-game ahead of Pittsburgh in the Coastal Division standings. Can the Cavaliers take care of business at home against Georgia Tech on Saturday?

Perkins turns in best game of the season vs. UNC

Virginia topped North Carolina 38-31 last week to remain atop the ACC Coastal division standings. Senior quarterback Bryce Perkins racked up 490 total yards and accounted for five touchdowns on the day while Terrell Jana caught 13 balls for 146 yards to help the Cavaliers escape with a win. Perkins turned in his best performance of the season versus the Tar Heels, completing 30-of-39 passes for three touchdowns and zero interceptions while also rushing for 112 yards and two scores.

Perkins has now thrown for 2,181 yards and 12 touchdowns, but he’s also tossed eight interceptions this season, nearly equalling his total from a year ago (9). He’s also been less dynamic with his legs for the Cavaliers this season. In 2018, Perkins ran for 923 yards and seven scores on 4.4 yards per carry. While those numbers are down to 387 yards on 2.7 yards per carry so far this year, he still enters the week as Virginia’s leading rusher.

Virginia’s season-ending schedule bodes well for their chances of winning the Coastal Division. The Cavaliers are a perfect 4-0 at home this year, where they will host Georgia Tech, Liberty, and Virginia Tech over the final month of the season.

On defense, the Cavaliers come in allowing only 21.9 points and 310.1 yards of total offense per game. Virginia has also limited their opponents to a third-down conversion rate of only 33.3 percent, which ranks 29th in the country.

Yellow Jackets fall to 2-6 after loss to Pitt

Georgia Tech was unable to keep their momentum alive last week, losing 20-10 at home against Coastal Division-rival Pittsburgh. Freshman James Graham completed only 3-of-13 passes for 57 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the loss while Ahmarean Brown caught four balls for 61 yards and a score in the win. Georgia Tech was driving for a potential game-tying score in the third quarter when Yellow Jackets’ quarterback Lucas Johnson fumbled just inches short of the goal line, which Pittsburgh returned 79 yards to set up their final field goal of the game.

Graham leads the Yellow Jackets in passing with 723 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions for the season, but he’s completed only 43.4 percent of his passes. He leads a Georgia Tech offense that comes in scoring only 17.1 points and averaging just 299.5 yards of total offense per contest, which ranks 121st in the country. Jordan Mason in the team’s leading rushed with 622 yards and six touchdowns.

This Saturday’s game at Virginia will be Georgia Tech’s final road game of the season. They enter Scott Stadium as 15-point underdogs and are just 2-6 against the spread this season. Last year, Georgia Tech was able to take down Virginia in overtime, but their previous visit to Charlottesville ended in a 40-36 defeat.

On defense, Georgia Tech has surrendered 29.1 points and 405.5 yards of total offense per contest, including 217.6 yards per game on the ground. They tied a season-high by forcing three turnovers last week against Pittsburgh and allowed just 71 yards of offense after halftime. Sophomore defensive back Juanyeh Thomas had a career day last week, finishing with eight tackles, two tackles for loss and an acrobatic one-handed interception.

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With the Coastal Division title on the line, Virginia has a lot of incentive to show up for this game. Perkins diced up North Carolina last week in his best performance of the season and will be hoping for some revenge after a lackluster performance versus the Yellow Jackets last season. He completed 21-of-26 passes for 217 yards with one touchdown and no interceptions in last year’s overtime loss while adding 73 yards and a touchdown on the ground. This Yellow Jackets’ defense has flashed improvements in recent weeks, but the offense remains unable to move the ball consistently against top Power Five competition. Four of Georgia Tech’s six losses have come by at least 16 points. Look for Perkins to have another big game and take the Cavaliers to cover the number at home versus Georgia Tech on Saturday afternoon. 

Prediction: Virginia Cavaliers -15

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These two teams are pegged for only 45 points, which seems like a relatively low number after the teams combined for 57 in last year’s meeting. Virginia is averaging 35.7 points per game over their last three ACC matchups and they should be able to approach that number on Saturday. While Georgia Tech’s offense is unreliable, Virginia has allowed at least 14 points in each of their ACC matchups, which should be enough to push this game over the projected total. Take the over in this ACC tilt on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Over 45
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.