Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#173 Iowa State 67.5 vs.
#174 Oklahoma -14.5
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 8:00pm EST
Gaylord-Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#173 Iowa State
#174 University of Oklahoma
5-3
7-1
5-3
4-4
4-4
4-4
35
49
22
22

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The Oklahoma Sooners will host the Iowa State Cyclones in a BIG 12 showdown Saturday night from Memorial Stadium. The Iowa State Cyclones can earn bowl eligibility with a win in this tough matchup. The Cyclones have won three out of their last four games overall. They were charged with their first conference loss of the season in a 34-27 home defeat to Oklahoma State in their previous action. The Cyclones hold a 2-1 road record with the lone loss coming against Baylor.

The Oklahoma Sooners will not go undefeated this season. The Sooners were handed their first defeat of the season in a 48-41 upset road loss to Kansas State in their previous clash. Oklahoma now stands at 4-1 in BIG 12 play, placing them in second place behind undefeated Baylor who they play next week. Despite not playing last weekend, the Sooners climbed one spot to #9th in the country in this week’s AP Top 25 Rankings. Oklahoma is a perfect 4-0 on their home field.

Iowa State Returns from Bye on Losing Note

The Iowa State Cyclones are seeking their third straight road win. They defeated WVU and Texas Tech in their latest two road battles. The Cyclones are eager to return to action after a disappointing 37-24 home loss to Oklahoma State in their previous action in a game that had Iowa State labeled as 11.5 point favorites. Brock Purdy has his work cut out for him against a good Sooners defense. The sophomore quarterback tossed three picks against OK State, but overall he is having a solid year, accumulating 2567 passing yards with a 15:7 TD to INT ratio.

Iowa State is starting to receiving more significant production from Breece Hall. The freshman running back is locked in, recording nearly 400 rushing yards in his last three games, and his season total is now at 475 rushing yards.

The Cyclones feature three receivers with over 480 receiving yards. Deshaunte Jones has made 25 catches over his last three games, and he is up to 586 receiving yards on the year. The Iowa State offense has displayed the ability to solve very good defensive units.

The Iowa State defense has been sharp throughout most of BIG 12 play but took a step back against Oklahoma State in their latest game. Their pass defense will need to be at their best against Jalen Hurts, however, it won’t be easy considering they are 67th in the FBS against the pass. The Cyclones stand in fourth place in the BIG 12 standings, and they are averaging 35.9 points, placing them 26th overall. They are holding opponents to 22.9 points, positioning them 40th in the FBS.

#9 Oklahoma Attempts to Rebound from 1st Loss of Season

The #9 Oklahoma Sooners are dealing with adversity for the first time this season. Oklahoma’s hunt for a perfect record came to an end after falling 48-41 on the road to Kansas State in their latest action. The Sooners were favored by 21.5 points in the upset road loss. Jalen Hurts continues to dazzle, accumulating over 700 passing yards in his last two games. The senior QB is a Heisman candidate. Hurts has racked up 2469 passing yards with a dazzling 21:3 TD to INT ratio, and he has added a remarkable 801 yards on the ground.

The Sooners feature three running backs with over 300 rushing yards led by Kennedy Brooks with 383. They will be matched up against a stellar Cyclones rush defense. Look out for CeeDee Lamb in this one. The junior WR has great chemistry with Hurts, collecting 816 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns. Lamb should play a big factor in this game against a subpar pass defense. The Sooners feature the best offense in the country and they have scored at least 40 points in all but one game.

The Oklahoma defense doesn’t get the same recognition as the offense. While they struggled in their latest action, the Sooners are quietly a strong defensive team that ranks 38th against the pass and 45th against the run. The Sooners lead the FBS with an average of a sizzling 49.2 points per game. They are conceding an average of 23 points, placing them 41st overall.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I expect a decisive home win from Oklahoma in this one. The Sooners won’t be happy after falling to Kansas State in their latest game.  The Sooners feature the best offense in the entire FBS and no defense has been able to shut them down. Iowa State will give up yards in the air. They are squandering an average of 224 passing yards per game, placing them down at 67th in the FBS. That is good news for Jalen Hurts who has accumulated over 2400 passing yards with a sparkling 21:3 TD to INT ratio on the season.

Furthermore, I am confident the Oklahoma defense can neutralize the Cyclones. QB Brock Purdy has tossed four interceptions in his last two games, and the Sooners own a strong pass defense that is holding opponents to only 200 passing yards per game.

Prediction: Oklahoma Sooners

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect this one to evolve into a lower scoring game. The Sooners usually have large totals due to their powerhouse offense, but the defense on both teams is solid. The Sooners have only conceded a combined 30 points in their two BIG 12 home games, and Iowa State only scored 27 points against a weak OK State defense in their latest action.

The Cyclones pass defense is an issue, but their rush defense is ranked 26th in the FBS. Moreover, Iowa State has allowed 24 or fewer points in four of their five conference games. The under is 5-1 in the Cyclones’ last six November games, and 15-5-1 in their last 21 games against a team with a winning record.

Prediction: Under

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Oklahoma should resume their offensive onslaught in this one and the over on their team total offered on PointsBet is a good play. The Sooners have scored a combined 107 points in their two conference home games against Texas Tech and West Virginia. Their offense has no flaws. The Sooners passing offense is fourth in the FBS, and their rushing offense is 11th. They are averaging 45 points in BIG 12 play, and look for another big performance.

Prediction: Oklahoma Team Total Over

Half-Time Total Bet

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I am opting with the under on the first half total as well. The Cyclones lead the country in second-half points per game with 22.3 points, and the Sooners are right behind at third with an average of 21.9 points. Also, both teams play excellent defense in the first half. Iowa State is holding opponents to 10.1 points, and Oklahoma has only conceded an average of 10.7 points in the opening half.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.