Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#181 Missouri 47 vs.
#182 Georgia -16.5
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:00pm EST
Sanford Stadium, Athens
Written by Joshua Broom



#181 University of Missouri
#182 The University of Georgia


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SEC East rivals meet Saturday as UGA welcomes struggling Missouri. Viewed by many as division-contending dark horses after cracking the top-25, Missouri has since dropped two straight. Meanwhile, Georgia recently re-entered the FBS playoff conversation by upsetting Florida 24-17.

The Bulldogs are listed as 17-point favorites opposite Mizzou. Georgia defeated the Tigers 41-17 last season from Columbia: today’s spread would no doubt lean heavier in UGA’s favor if not for the costly South Carolina loss. Now Kirby Smart’s men must win out to earn FBS playoff considerations. That noted, minus bowl eligibility, Missouri enters this staple SEC clash unburdened.

Georgia clinging to slim playoff chances after defensive gem vs. Florida

Cast aside following an abrupt 20-17 double-overtime loss vs. South Carolina, a loss where Jake Fromm threw three interceptions, Georgia recently silenced critics by outlasting the Gators. Behind his mammoth offensive line, Fromm coolly dissected Florida’s #11 FBS defense. The junior quarterback exuded efficiency from Jacksonville completing 20 of 30 for 279 yards, two scoring strikes and zero interceptions. Facing do-or-die SEC East title odds, DeAndre Swift added 86 rushing yards as Luke Cager and Dominick Blaylock broke UF’s pylon to resolve matters.

With two conference games remaining, UGA is heavily favored in both, the Bulldogs lead the SEC East outright. Kirby Smart’s men now own the division tiebreaker vs. Florida. That should remove some pressure from Georgia’s shoulders. Currently #6 in the AP poll, UGA ranks #31 offensively (34.5 ppg) and flexes the nation’s #4 defense (11.4 ppg allowed).

Missouri looks to regain momentum

Missouri stood alongside Georgia and Florida in the SEC East hunt after winning five straight. However, consecutive losses vs. Kentucky and Vanderbilt have soured the Tigers’ greater 2019 hopes. Facing Georgia, Florida and Tennessee this month, Missouri will do well to end their bowl restricted campaign 7-5. The Tigers are 5-0 from Columbia in 2019 and 0-3 away.

Before writing off Barry Odom’s group this weekend, even after a recent 29-7 loss vs. Kentucky, remember Missouri owns the Gamecocks’ blueprint for upset success vs. UGA. That blueprint starts with jamming the run and ends with making Fromm attempt more than 30 passes. And Missouri’s 17th-ranked defense (allowing 136.9 ground yards per game) is still relevant, though of late the Tigers have struggled to score. If the Tigers are to end Georgia’s damaged playoff hopes, a massive defensive performance, and Patrick Bryant’s resurgence will be required. Once among the SEC East’s top signal-callers, Bryant gained just 270 yards vs. Vanderbilt and Kentucky. More so, last weekend the Tigers committed two costly turnovers as Lynn Bowden Jr. ran Missouri into Oblivion: UK’s defense also held the Tigers to just 289 total yards.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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In a battle between defensive-minded conference rivals, the superior offense will dictate matters. And after being embarrassed by South Carolina, talented Jake Fromm is back to his best self. That’s bad news this weekend for a Missouri team seeking competitive reprieve following consecutive offensive duds. Re-energized and re-focused, the Bulldogs will gain another surgical win behind defense and downhill offense.

Prediction: UGA +17.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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With each group’s defense cancelling one another’s offensive strengths, expect UGA to score between 21 and 24 points. Meanwhile Georgia’s steel defense will hold Mizzou’s offense under 10 points. Also, Fromm will toss a couple of paydirt strikes as Swift and Herrien break big runs and Rodrigo Blankenship fills in the gaps. Expect UGA’s offensive line to wear down the Tigers as the Dawgs take a large time of possession edge.

Prediction: Under

Written By Joshua Broom

A lifelong sports enthusiast, Joshua Broom has lent his thirty-plus years of insight to several sports outlets and has appeared on national radio to talk hoops. Now a dedicated handicapper, Joshua avidly critiques NBA, MLB and college and professional basketball and football trends for the betting public. Check out his picks today at Stat Salt to get a leg up on your bookie.