Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#169 New Mexico State vs.
#170 Ole Miss
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 4:00pm EST
Vaught-Hemmingway Stadium, University
Written by Joshua Broom

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W/L
ATS
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PPG
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#169 New Mexico State University
#170 University of Mississippi
0-8
3-6
3-5
5-4
3-5
4-5
17
24
42
26

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Following a respectable 3-3 start, Saturday’s host Ole Miss has lost three straight. Fortunately for the Rebels, this weekend’s opponent New Mexico State is 0-8 in 2019. One team will find a win to open Nov. as the other’s misfortune continues.

Ole Miss opens as the 28.5 point favorite vs. NMSU.

Ole Miss hunts for first win in past month

After winning just one conference game last year, Ole Miss has surpassed that total with two in 2019. And while even with a likely win today the Rebels will miss bowl season, steady improvement has marked Ole Miss’ 2019 run.

Though, it’s hard to tell with the Rebels’ three straight losses and 1-5 record since Sept. 21. Last weekend, in a surprisingly close encounter Ole Miss gained an ATS win while losing 20-14 SU vs. Auburn. As the Tigers’ running game underwhelmed vs. MSU’s front line, Bo Nix rescued his program from major upset by gaining 340 passing yards while completing 30 of 44. That passing yardage enabled Tigers back D.J. Williams to add an end zone trot to accompany Nix’s crucial ground score.

To cap a somewhat uplifting defeat, Rebels quarterback John Rhys Plumlee (11 of 21, 86 yards, one interception) and freshman running back Snoop Conner added rushing touchdowns.

Georgia State explodes on ground vs. winless NMSU

Ranked #119 offensively FBS (18.0 ppg) and #129 defensively (42.4 points allowed) vs. the nation’s 58th toughest schedule independent New Mexico State remains winless in 2019.

With early losses vs. Washington State and Alabama, the Aggies recently fell 41-7 against Georgia Southern. The Eagles added 406 offensive yards, with three of those yards coming through the air. In one of the more bizarre stat lines this year, GSU ran for 403 yards in a display harkening to football before the forward pass. Eagles backs Wesley Kennedy and J.D. King added 143 ground yards to keep New Mexico State’s drought alive.

Sophomore quarterback Josh Adkins (13 of 23, 59 yards) threw two interceptions vs. Georgia State. Senior running back Jason Huntley (133 yards) provided the Aggies’ lone week ten score.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

A quick glance shows each team struggling and serving as fodder for more composed programs. However, Ole Miss will run up the score Saturday vs. an Aggies group which could be considered the least among FBS’ 130 schools. At least they've been competitive at home against similar competition. But they don't match up against an SEC opponent, even one that is struggling. An SEC West doormat, Ole Miss will clear its bench while enjoying rare dominance this weekend.

Prediction: Ole Miss +28.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

Ole Miss has been struggling to score but that was against solid SEC programs. They did put up 31 against Vanderbilt in a 31-6 win. That should be a similar score in this one. New Mexico State will struggle to run the ball against a pretty solid run defense. Ole Miss' pass defense is not good, but they aren't facing a Heisman candidate at quarterback. This should be a 48-3 game or something similar to that so go under.

Prediction: Under 65
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Written By Joshua Broom

A lifelong sports enthusiast, Joshua Broom has lent his thirty-plus years of insight to several sports outlets and has appeared on national radio to talk hoops. Now a dedicated handicapper, Joshua avidly critiques NBA, MLB and college and professional basketball and football trends for the betting public. Check out his picks today at Stat Salt to get a leg up on your bookie.