Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#149 Stanford -3.5 vs.
#150 Colorado 55
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 3:00pm EST
Folsom Field, Boulder
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#149 Stanford University
#150 University of Colorado Boulder
4-4
3-6
3-5
4-5
5-3
4-4-1
22
25
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The Stanford Cardinal will travel on the road to Boulder, Colorado on Saturday afternoon as they prepare for a PAC 12 tilt against the Colorado Buffaloes at Folsom Field.

Both teams still have work to do to qualify for a bowl game. Stanford enters Folsom Field with a 4-4 overall record and a 3-3 mark in PAC 12 play after winning three of its last four games. They face a tough rough ahead with three of their next four opponents at-or-above the .500-mark. Meanwhile, Colorado needs to run the table over their remaining three games, which includes a season-ending matchup versus No.8-ranked Utah. Can the Buffaloes start to build some momentum at home against Stanford on Saturday?

Costello revives Cardinal offense in win vs. Arizona

Stanford will be fresh off a bye after defeating Arizona 41-31 two weeks ago behind a healthy K.J. Costello. The senior quarterback completed 31-of-44 passes for 322 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in the win. Costello had been out since mid-September with a thumb injury but returned to re-energize the offense, which gained 472 yards of total offense on the day. Cameron Scarlett rushed 19 times for 102 yards and two touchdowns while sophomore receiver Simi Fehoko caught three balls for a career-high 97 yards and two scores.

Costello returned just in time to salvage Stanford’s season last week and the Cardinal can now qualify for a bowl game by winning two of their final four contests. However, the road ahead isn’t going to be easy. After traveling to Boulder this week, Stanford will travel to Washington State before ending the season with back-to-back games against California and No. 15-Notre Dame.

The senior quarterback should continue to help revitalize an offense that comes in scoring only 22.6 points and averaging 348.5 yards of total offense per game. Costello has thrown for 793 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions after passing for 3,540 yards with 29 touchdowns and 11 picks a year ago.

On defense, Stanford comes in allowing 28 points per game and 414 yards of total offense per contest. The Cardinal have been dealing with injuries at inside linebacker and at safety and will hope to bounce back after surrendering 495 yards of total offense to the Wildcats last week.

Colorado lands prized transfer from Alabama

Colorado was unable to snap its current slide last week, losing 31-14 on the road against the suddenly surging UCLA Bruins. Steven Montez completed 21-of-28 passes for 195 yards with one touchdown and one interception on the day while Tony Brown caught six balls for 77 yards and a score en route to their fifth straight loss. Montez accounted for both the team’s touchdowns, adding another on the ground, which tied him with Sefo Liufau and Cody Hawkins for the most in school history (70).

The Buffaloes enter a crucial recruiting stretch over the next few weeks, but their 2020 class just got a major boost. Five-star recruit Antonio Alfano, last year’s top-ranked high school player, has announced that he will be transferring from Alabama and enrolling at Colorado next season. Crimson Tide head coach Nick Saban didn’t hold back when talking about Alfano after the defensive end decided to transfer in September. “I just know the guy basically quit,” Saban told AL.com. “He quit class, he quit coming here… until he responds, I can only assume the guy quit.” Alfano’s arrival in Colorado will mark the first time the Buffaloes will have a former No. 1 overall recruit on the roster. It’s also a big win for head coach Mel Tucker, whose first season was coming to a disappointing close.

On defense, Colorado has allowed 34.4 points and a whopping 480.1 yards of total offense per game, which ranks 124th in the nation. Colorado has had far too many blown coverages this season, which has resulted in the Buffaloes ranking 129th in the nation in passing defense (316 yards per game). The Buffaloes’ defense has allowed at least 30 points in 14 straight games dating back to last season.

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These two teams haven’t lined up against one another since Colorado escaped with a 10-5 victory in 2016. While Alfano’s presence will give Colorado a boost, he won’t be on the field until 2020 and this Buffaloes team has underwhelmed, especially in close games. With the spread set at just 3.5, it’s hard not to like Stanford in this spot. Costello instantly turned Stanford’s offense around last week and he should have an efficient day against a Buffaloes defense that ranks second-last in the nation against the pass. Take Stanford to cover the spread on the road in this matchup on Saturday afternoon.

 

Prediction: Stanford Cardinal -3.5

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The total opened at 54.5 and has already been bet up to 56. I think this game has the potential to finish in the 60s, especially with Costello under center for Stanford. Colorado’s offense is due for an outburst after scoring 14 points or less in three of their last four games and the Buffaloes’ defense has been non-existent in recent weeks. They’ve given up 30 or more points in 14 straight games and it’s hard to see that changing here. Take the over in this PAC-12 battle on Saturday.

Prediction: Over 56
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.