Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#179 Tennessee 41 vs.
#180 Kentucky -1.5
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 7:30pm EST
Kroger Field, Lexington
Written by Joshua Broom



#179 University of Tennessee
#180 University of Kentucky


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The Tennessee Volunteers visit the Kentucky Wildcats this weekend in an SEC East showdown. Both Tennessee and Kentucky sit at four wins, and a victory Saturday would boost either’s chances of bowl eligibility. Kentucky is coming off a bye after defeating Missouri, 29-7 on Oct. 26.

Tennessee stands as the current -1 road favorite. Last year, the Volunteers upset UK 24-7.

Tennessee enjoying strong second half of season

Similar to Kentucky, Tennessee has won three of four while keeping alive hopes of resuming bowl play after a three-year absence. The Vols have recently beaten Mississippi State, South Carolina and UAB.

Behind a decent offensive wave, and Bryce Thompson’s three interceptions, UT running back Ty Chandler added 85 yards and a touchdown to upend UAB 30-7 last Saturday. Returning Volunteers quarterback Jarrett Guarantano tossed one scoring strike and one pick to aid UT’s cause.

The Tennessee Volunteers average 24.7 ppg (#92 FBS) and allow 24.1 points (#46 FBS). Infused, Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 12.6 points during its last three wins.

Kentucky looking for third win in four tries

Having won two of their last three, the Wildcats enter today’s contest with momentum. Do-everything quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. added 202 of the Wildcats’ 297 rushing yards, and two scores, as Kentucky decisively beat visiting Missouri 29-7 last weekend. He is expected to start his fourth game at quarterback, but can also play wide receiver. He's only playing quarterback thanks to injuries to Sawyer Smith and Terry Wilson.

Combined with Bowden Jr.’s virtuoso effort, UK’s defense held the Tigers to 289 yards, and 164 passing as Kentucky evened its 2019 mark at 4-4.

Overall, the Wildcats average 21.2 ppg (#113 FBS) and allow 21.2 ppg (#32 FBS). Though, finding a groove as the season reaches its final weeks, Kentucky has averaged 26.5 ppg in its previous two wins.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


While Kentucky is 4-0 from home this year, I like Tennessee’s momentum going in. They are playing better football and Kentucky always has issues at quarterback. Behind emerging defense, and a strong secondary, the Volunteers will mitigate Bowden Jr.’s impact while gaining another SEC win. Take the Vols to go 4-1 this week in their last five.

Prediction: Tennessee

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


At 41.5, I’ll err on the side of caution and take the Over lean for Tennessee vs. UK. The Volunteers have scored 71 total points in their last two wins, including 41 vs. South Carolina. Meanwhile, as earlier noted, Kentucky is becoming more offensively fluid as 2019 rolls along.

Prediction: Over

Written By Joshua Broom

A lifelong sports enthusiast, Joshua Broom has lent his thirty-plus years of insight to several sports outlets and has appeared on national radio to talk hoops. Now a dedicated handicapper, Joshua avidly critiques NBA, MLB and college and professional basketball and football trends for the betting public. Check out his picks today at Stat Salt to get a leg up on your bookie.