Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#123 Texas Tech -2.5 vs.
#124 West Virginia 60
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 12:00pm EST
Mountaineer Field, Morgantown
Written by Nick Raffoul

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#123 Texas Tech University
#124 West Virginia University
3-5
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5-3
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30
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The Texas Tech Red Raiders will try to bounce back when they travel on the road to Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown on Saturday afternoon for a late-season Big 12 battle versus the West Virginia Mountaineers.

Texas Tech has suddenly lost four of their last five games since the start of conference play to enter with a 3-5 overall record. The Mountaineers are also 1-4 in the Big 12 through five games. They’ve lost four straight since opening conference play with a road victory over Kansas. Can West Virginia snap their current slide at home against a suddenly struggling Red Raiders’ team?

Could Texas Tech redshirt Bowman?

Texas Tech dropped their third straight game in mind-boggling fashion against Kansas two weeks ago, losing 37-34 on a late field goal. Moments before the game-winning kick, junior Nick McCann blocked Kansas’ original game-winning try from 40 yards and Douglas Coleman retrieved the ball before attempting a lateral that did not touch another Texas Tech player. Kansas regained possession and ultimately sent the Red Raiders to their fourth conference loss of the season. Jett Duffey threw for 271 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions while adding 40 yards on the ground. SaRodorick Thompson rushed for 80 yards and a score while Dalton Rigdon caught seven balls for 76 yards and a touchdown in the loss.

Duffey performed well since running away with the starting job at the beginning of October. The junior quarterback has thrown for 1,420 yards, nine touchdowns, and only two interceptions this season. His emergence as a legitimate starter has opened up the possibility of redshirting former starter Alan Bowman, who has missed the last five games with a shoulder injury.

Bowman threw for 2,638 yards, 17 touchdowns, and seven interceptions as a true freshman last season, but could gain another year of eligibility after playing in only three games so far this season. The sophomore, who can still play in one game and retain his eligibility, started throwing a bit last week. Head coach Matt Wells called Bowman “day-to-day” when speaking to the media earlier this week. He also shared that senior running back Armand Shyne will be out for the remainder of the season.

On defense, Texas Tech comes in allowing 29.4 points and 460.5 yards of total offense per game. The Red Raiders have also struggled to stop the run at times, allowing 175.6 yards per game on the ground through eight contests.

Mountaineers push losing streak to four games

West Virginia dropped its fourth consecutive contest last week, suffering a tough 17-14 loss at the hands of the Baylor Bears, who blocked Casey Legg’s game-tying field goal with under four minutes remaining. Quarterback Austin Kendall threw for 205 yards, one touchdown and one interception on the day, as the Big 12’s worst offense couldn’t get anything going outside of two big plays. George Campbell took his only catch 83 yards for a touchdown while Winston wright returned a kick 95 yards for West Virginia’s other score. The Mountaineers limited the Bears to just 3.1 yards per carry and defense forced three turnovers, but West Virginia committed two of their own in the loss.

The loss marked the third consecutive game in which the Mountaineers managed only 14 points and they are now scoring just 21.6 points per game for the season. Kendall has now thrown for 1,634 yards, 12 touchdowns, and eight picks so far this season, but last week’s errant pass was his first interception in three games (71 pass attempts). He leads a group that is averaging only 302.3 yards of total offense, including only 78.9 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 128th in the nation.

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West Virginia can’t stop the run on defense and they can’t run the football on offense, which has been a recipe for disaster during Big 12 play. Their offense leans too heavily on Kendall to make something happen and the results haven’t always been pretty. West Virginia has scored only 14 points in each of their last three games, so they seem due for a breakout performance here and this looks like a good spot for that to happen. WVU is also up against a Texas Tech defense has is allowing 460.5 yards of total offense per contest. The defense had eight sacks and forced three turnovers in a bounce-back performance last week. The Red Raiders have given up 37 and 34 points to Kansas and Iowa State, respectively over their last two games. I like the Mountaineers’ chances of covering the spread and even winning this game outright at home on Saturday. 

Prediction: West Virginia Mountaineers +2

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Both teams come into this game giving up over 400 yards of total offense and nearly 30 points per game. Texas Tech has surrendered at least 35 points in all five of their conference games while the Mountaineers are due for a good showing on offense after scoring only 14 points in each of their last three games. Take this game to go over the projected total on Saturday afternoon. 

Prediction: Over 60
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Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.