Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#175 UAB 50 vs.
#176 Southern Miss -7
Saturday, November 9, 2019 at 3:30pm EST
M. M. Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg
Written by Adam Rauzino

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#175 University of Alabama Birmingham
#176 University of Southern Mississippi
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The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles will host the UAB Blazers in C-USA play Saturday afternoon from M.M. Roberts Stadium. The Blazers were crushed 30-7 at Tennessee last week, and the Golden Eagles tallied a 20-6 road win over Rice in their previous action on October 26th. The Blazers registered a 26-23 overtime home win against Southern Mississippi last season.

UAB's Three Game Winning Streak Ends in Loss to Tennessee

The UAB Blazers are still in contention for first place in the C-USA West. They are 3-1 in conference play while Louisiana Tech is just ahead with a 4-0 record. UAB is coming off a 30-7 road loss to Tennessee in non-conference play last week. Overall UAB is not a high scoring team. Tyler Johnston III has tossed at least one pick in all but one game. The sophomore QB has recorded 1899 passing yards with a 15:13 TD to INT ratio. He exited last week’s game against Tennessee and is listed as questionable. Johnston will likely be a game-time decision, but chances are good he plays.

The Blazers don’t have much of a running game. Their top rusher Spencer Brown was dealing with a leg injury but is expected to play. The junior back has tallied 262 yards, while Lucious Stanley is now at 269 yards. Look out for Austin Watkins in this one. The junior WR should find plenty of open field against a weak pass defense. Watkins has tallied over 120 receiving yards in two out of his last three games, and he has accrued a total of 689 yards. UAB’s offense will likely target the Southern Mississippi secondary heavily in this one.

The Blazers' defense is their greatest strength. There are no flaws in this defense. They rank sixth against the pass and 10th against the run. UAB is scoring an average of 27 points, ranking them 80th in the country. They are allowing an average of 17.5 points, positioning them 14th in the FBS. UAB stands at 2-2 on the road.

Southern Miss Defeats Rice, Improves to 3-1 in Conference Play

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are hunting for their fourth win in their last five games overall. The Golden Eagles can secure bowl eligibility with a win in this one. They feature a solid 3-1 C-USA record which included an easy 20-6 road win over Rice last week in a game that had Southern Miss. favored by 10 points. Jack Abraham hasn’t fared well recently, tossing five interceptions in his last two games. The junior QB had logged several big games this season, and he has collected 2470 passing yards with a 13:9 TD to INT ratio.

The Golden Eagles running game ranks near the bottom of the FBS in production. Their leading rusher Kevin Perkins only has 350 yards on the season. The junior RB is coming off a season-high 86 rushing yards in the win over Rice.

Quez Watkins could play a large factor in this game against a stifling defense. The junior WR is very difficult to contain, registering 697 receiving yards on the season. He has logged over 100 receiving yards in two out of his last three games. Southern Mississippi leans quite heavily on their passing game.

The Golden Eagles defense has been up and down. They are awful against the pass as they are placed down at 102nd in passing yards allowed and it will be a challenge against the Blazers strong passing offense. Southern Mississippi is 3-0 on their home field, and they are averaging 29.1 points on the season, ranking them 67th overall. They are allowing an average of 28.8 points, positioning them 78th in the FBS.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with UAB in this one. UAB has a stellar defense that should keep them in this game. Southern Mississippi is a team that relies heavily on its terrific passing game, but the Blazers will present a very difficult challenge for QB Jack Abraham. The Blazers are limiting opponents to only 162.9 passing yards per game, good for sixth in the entire FBS.

Furthermore, UAB is playing well, registering a win in three out of their last four games overall which includes three straight conference wins. Their offense has the ability to take advantage of mediocre defensive teams such as Southern Mississippi. The Blazers have scored at least 33 points in three out of their last four games. The Golden Eagles pass defense is an area of concern as they stand down at 102nd against the pass.

Prediction: UAB Blazers

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I anticipate a low scoring C-USA tilt. Southern Mississippi only managed to score 20 points against an abysmal Rice team last week, and this is matchup will be the best defense they have faced in C-USA action. UAB has the best defense in the conference. They have limited their opponent to 20 or fewer points in seven of eight games on the season, and they will prevail again in this one. The under is 11-5-1 in the Blazers’ last 17 road games.

In addition, UAB has a poor running game that is only averaging 143 rushing yards and Southern Mississippi has a stellar rush defense. They will need to go a good portion of their damage in the air, but their passing game isn’t quite strong enough to run up the score. The under is 7-3 in the Blazers’ last 10 games against a team with a winning record and it should cash in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Rating:

The under on the Southern Mississippi team total available on PointsBet is a strong play. UAB is consistently neutralizing their opposition. Not one C-USA team has been able to score more than 20 points against the Blazers. Southern Mississippi QB Jack Abraham hasn’t been sharp recently, posting a 1:5 TD to INT ratio in his last two games which is a bad sign going up against this great defense.

Prediction: Southern Mississippi Team Total Under

Half-Time Side Pick

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Rating:

I am siding with Southern Mississippi on the halftime line. UAB is only averaging 10.8 points in the first half on the road this season. Meanwhile, the Golden Eagles are averaging a sizzling 26 points at home in the opening half. They slow down in the final half where they are only averaging 11.7 points, so I expect the Blazers to take control in the second half.

Prediction: Southern Mississippi
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.