Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#303 Army 45 vs.
#304 Navy -10
Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 3:00pm EST
Written by Adam Rauzino

Stats

Back

Teams
Logo
W/L
ATS
O/U
PPG
OPPG
#303 Army West Point
#304 United States Naval Academy
5-7
9-2
5-7
8-3
5-6-1
7-4
30
39
22
24

More

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The #23 Navy Midshipmen will collide with the Army Black Knights in their annual rivalry showdown Saturday afternoon from Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Black Knights are coming off a 52-31 road loss to Hawaii in their previous action, and the Midshipmen registered a 56-41 home win against Houston in their latest game. Army has won the last three meetings which included a 17-10 victory against Navy last season.

Army Misses Out on Bowl Game

The Army Black Knights can reach the six-win mark with a victory in this game but it won’t be enough for bowl eligibility due to their loss to Hawaii on November 30th. The Black Knights will still be motivated against their biggest rival. Army utilizes a unique triple-option offense that consists primarily of running plays. They use multiple quarterbacks per game with Kelvin Hopkins Jr. logging the most playing time. The senior QB only has 570 passing yards with a 4:5 TD to INT ratio, although he leads the team with 706 rushing yards.

Watch for Connor Slomka in this one. The senior running back has attempted 142 rushes this season which is the most on the team. Slomka collected 65 rushing yards against Hawaii and he has tallied 637 rushing yards on the season. Sandy McCoy is coming off a season-high 91 rushing yards and he is third in team rushing with 555 yards.

Jabari Laws is technically a quarterback but he has only attempted five passes in his last two games while rushing for 237 yards in that span. The Army offense was inconsistent this season but they really found a groove over their final three games.

The Black Knights’ defense is a strength. They were tremendous against the pass this season but that won’t matter in this one. They are mediocre on the ground with a rush defense that ranks 51st in the FBS. Army is averaging 30.3 points, placing them 60th in the country. They are allowing an average of 22.3 points, positioning them 35th overall.

#23 Navy Looks to Avoid Fourth Straight Loss to Army

The #23 Navy Midshipmen will be playing in a bowl in late December. First, they will look to defeat their rivals on Saturday after Army has handed them a loss in each of the last three meetings. Navy is targeting its third straight win. They started the winning streak with a win against #25 SMU, followed by a 56-41 road win against Houston in their latest game on November 30th.

Navy uses a similar offensive approach as Army with a triple-option offense. They will run on most plays and do so with great success. QB Malcolm Perry has accrued over 100 passing yards in two straight games. The senior QB usually attempts less than 10 passes and runs the ball on most plays. Perry is having a spectacular season, accumulating 1500 rushing yards along with 19 rushing touchdowns. Army’s offensive approach differs slightly than Army due to their use of fullbacks. Jamale Carothers is a force, accumulating 637 rushing yards on the season. The sophomore fullback rushed for 188 yards against Houston in their latest contest. Nelson Smith is another dangerous fullback who has 557 rushing yards.

Mychal Cooper leads all receivers with 355 yards on an average of 23.7 yards per reception. The Navy offense has piled on the points all season with the exception of their only two losses against Memphis and Notre Dame. Cooper did not play in Navy's latest game due to an undisclosed injury and is questionable for this one.

The Midshipmen’s defense has trouble against the pass which will be a non-factor in this one and they stand 17th overall against the run. Navy is scoring an average of 39.3 points, good for 10th in the country. They are allowing an average of 24.2 points, placing them 46th in the FBS. Navy went 7-1 in AAC play this season.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am taking the points with Army in this rivalry battle. Army should be able to keep this one very close. These rivals usually play to close games as seven of the last eight meetings were decided by seven or fewer points. The Black Knights stand second in the FBS with an average of 311.7 rushing yards per game on the season. They posted their biggest offensive numbers down the final stretch of the season, averaging a sizzling 47 points in their last three games.

Furthermore, while Army has only won five games this season, they were very competitive in most of their losses. This team took a ranked Michigan team of the Big Ten to overtime at the Big House and six of their seven losses occurred by nine or fewer points.

Prediction: Army Black Knights

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I expect this one to evolve into a high scoring battle. Navy ranks first in the FBS in rushing yards per game and Army ranks second. The Navy defense squandered an average of 40.3 points in their last three games and Army’s dangerous triple-option offense should breakthrough. The over is 4-1 in the Black Knights’ last five games after recording more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game.

In addition, Navy should have no problem generating several scoring drives as well. Army has allowed an average of 144 rushing yards per game, ranking 51st in the FBS, and Navy has multiple quarterbacks and fullbacks that will pile up the yards on the ground. Navy consistently produced this season as they scored at least 40 points six times this season. The over is 4-0 in Navy’s last four games following a straight-up win.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The over on the Army team total offered on PoinsBet is a solid prop. This total of 15.5 points is more than attainable. Navy’s defense was exploited late in the season, and I expect the Black Knights to come through with a productive performance. Navy surrendered 38 points to Tulane, 52 points to Notre Dame, and 41 points to Houston this season. Army’s triple-option offense should break through Navy’s defense

Prediction: Army Team Total Over 15.5

Half-Time Total Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am selecting the under in the first half total. Navy has only averaged 13.7 points in the first half in their last three games. Army was not productive in the first half where they stand 86th with an average of 12.7 points. Army and Navy will run most of the game so expect both defensive units will be tired as the game progresses and anticipate more scoring in the second half.

Prediction: Under 20
Loading...

Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.