Upcoming Free Picks

Appalachian State vs. Toledo,
12-23-2017 - Pick and Prediction

This is a past game! View all upcoming NCAAF games instead!

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#225 Appalachian State
Mountaineers
#226 Toledo
Rockets

Saturday, December 23, 2017 at 7:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Appalachian State Mountaineers

8 - 4

5-7
ATS
6-6
O/U
33
PPG
21
OPPG

Toledo Rockets

11 - 2

7-6
ATS
7-6
O/U
39
PPG
25
OPPG

Betting Trends

All NCAAF

No betting trends available for this game. Click here to see all available for NCAAF.

Update (12-20-17):

Toledo head coach Jason Candle received a contract extension earlier this week that will keep him around through 2023. “The success of our program is the result of the unified effort of our players, coaches, staff and everyone in Rocket Nation who supports us,” Candle said in a statement announcing his contract extension. “To be a MAC Champion is a tremendous accomplishment of which we can all be proud. At the same time, we are even more focused on our mission of continuing to build on our program’s tradition of success. I’m proud to be a Rocket and proud to represent this great university and great city.” A bit of a concern is that MAC rival Akron got absolutely pasted 50-3 by Lane Kiffin’s Florida Atlantic in the Boca Raton Bowl on Tuesday. That was not a good look for the conference.

Toledo Rockets (11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS, 7-6 O/U) vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS, 6-6 O/U)

NCAAF: Saturday, December 23, 2017 at 7:00 p.m. EST

The Toledo Rockets have won eight of their last nine games heading into the Dollar General Bowl against the Appalachian State Mountaineers at Ladd–Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Ala. on Dec. 23. Toledo is 11-2 overall following consecutive victories over Bowling Green, Western Michigan, and Akron. The Mountaineers have also won three in a row, beating Georgia Southern, Georgia State, and Louisiana-Lafayette to comfortably secure their bowl eligibility.

Rockets launching

The Rockets have lost only two games this season and one has come at the hands of Orange Bowl-bound Miami (FL). They recovered from their only badd loss of 2017 (38-10 at Ohio) with three straight wins by at least 17 points. Toledo pinned 66 points on Bowling Green and beat Western Michigan 37-10 before capturing the Mid-American Conference title with a 45-28 victory over Akron. The Rockets are averaging 39.2 points per game this year and have reached the 45-point mark on six occasions.

Running back Terry Swanson rushed 21 times for 180 yards and two touchdowns against the Zips. Quarterback Logan Woodside (28 touchdowns, five interceptions) went 23-for-37 with 307 yards, four TDs, and two INTs. The only other FBS quarterback with more than 25 touchdowns and fewer than eight interceptions is Heisman Trophy favorite Baker Mayfield of Oklahoma.

Back to ‘Bama

Appalachian State is no stranger to postseason play in Alabama. The Mountaineers made their way to Montgomery, Ala. for the Camellia Bowl in each of the past two seasons. Last year they played none other than Toledo and got the job done 31-28. In that showdown, Appalachian State took the lead four times only to have the Rockets respond with touchdowns and tie the score on every occasions. App State eventually kicked what proved to be the game-winning field goal with 5:14 remaining, as the Toledo offense finally failed to answer. Mountaineers’ quarterback Taylor Lamb, now a senior, rushed for 126 yards and passed for 119 yards while accounting for two touchdowns. Now head coach Scott Satterfield’s team is heading back to Alabama (this time Mobile) for a rematch with the Rockets.

“(We’re) very excited to be here in this bowl game,” head coach Scott Satterfield assured. “I know our players are very excited and our fans as well. The last two years we’ve been to Alabama, but not here at this bowl game, so we’re excited to come down and play in the Dollar General Bowl against a great football team.”

“Those guys did get us last year, so we’re looking to even the score up,” Swanson said of the Mountaineers. “It’s going to be a good team and a good game. We do carry some pride about ourselves, so we do remember that, so it’s going to be a fun experience.”

NCAAF Trends:

The Toledo Rockets are:

  • 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games
  • 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games in December
  • 4-1 Under in their last five neutral-site games

The Appalachian State Mountaineers are:

  • 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records
  • 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game
  • 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win

Lamb has thrown 27 touchdown passes this season with only six interceptions. The Mountaineers bounced back from a midseason swoon (two-game losing streak) to win their final three games, beating Georgia Southern, Georgia State, and Louisiana-Lafayette by a combined margin of 121-30 while racking up 933 rushing yards. “The last month, our preparation has been the best it’s been all year,” Satterfield assured. “The last three games we played, it’s the best football we’ve played and the most complete games.” The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference contests and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six December games. Appalachian State is 4-1 ATS in its last five against winning opponents, 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing less than 20 points in its previous outing, and 4-1 ATS in its last five following an ATS win. Don’t be surprised if those trends continue.

Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers +7

Appalachian State’s defense has picked up the pace in a major way of late. In fact, it has allowed only 30 total points during its three-game winning streak. The under is 4-1 in the Rockets’ last five at neutral sites, 23-9-1 in their last 33 against winning opponents, and 10-4 in their last 14 following an ATS loss. It is also 4-1 in the Mountaineers’ last five against winning opponents, 4-1 in their last five following a win by more than 20 points, and 5-1 in their last six after allowing less than 20 points in their previous outing. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Pick: Under 61.5

3

Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.

Login

Forgot Password?
Forgot your password? Enter your email and we'll send you a reset token:

Return to login
Enter the token from your email and a new password. Don't forget to check your spam folder if you didn't get the email.

Upcoming Free Picks

Bank the Bet Podcast
Wednesday, Dec 19
NCAAF
#213 Ohio U -2.5
#214 San Diego State 55
8:00pm
View Pick
NBA
#553 New York Knicks
#554 Philadelphia 76ers
7:05pm
View Pick
#555 San Antonio Spurs -1
#556 Orlando Magic 207
7:05pm
View Pick
#557 Cleveland Cavaliers 220
#558 Charlotte Hornets -12
7:05pm
View Pick
#559 Phoenix Suns 220
#560 Boston Celtics -12
7:35pm
View Pick
#561 Indiana Pacers
#562 Toronto Raptors
7:35pm
View Pick
#563 Detroit Pistons 220
#564 Minnesota Timberwolves -5
8:05pm
View Pick
#565 Washington Wizards 224.5
#566 Houston Rockets -11
8:05pm
View Pick
#567 Brooklyn Nets -2
#568 Chicago Bulls 215.5
8:05pm
View Pick
#569 New Orleans Pelicans 232.5
#570 Milwaukee Bucks -8
8:05pm
View Pick
#571 Golden State Warriors -3
#572 Utah Jazz 218
9:05pm
View Pick
#573 Memphis Grizzlies
#574 Portland Trailblazers
10:05pm
View Pick
#575 Oklahoma City Thunder -4
#576 Sacramento Kings 236.5
10:05pm
View Pick
NCAAB
#701 Auburn 157
#702 NC State -2
7:00pm
View Pick
#703 Western Michigan 139.5
#704 Dayton -13
7:00pm
View Pick
#705 UNCW 159
#706 Georgia State -12
7:00pm
View Pick
#707 Penn State -6.5
#708 Duquesne 137
7:00pm
View Pick
#709 Virginia -9
#710 South Carolina 134
7:00pm
View Pick
#711 Cal Irvine -4
#712 Eastern Michigan 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#713 Cornell
#714 Toledo
7:00pm
View Pick
#715 ODU -6.5
#716 Richmond 130
7:00pm
View Pick
#717 Arkansas - Little Rock
#718 Memphis
8:00pm
View Pick
#719 Southern Miss
#720 Kansas State
8:00pm
View Pick
#721 Valaparaiso 143
#722 Texas A&M -10.5
8:30pm
View Pick
#723 Georgia Tech 145
#724 Arkansas -8.5
9:00pm
View Pick
#725 UCLA 135
#726 Cincinnati -8
9:00pm
View Pick
#727 California 143.5
#728 Fresno State -10.5
10:00pm
View Pick
#729 Boise State 126
#730 Loyola Marymount -5
10:00pm
View Pick
NHL
#83 Pittsburgh 7
#84 Washington -140
8:05pm
View Pick
#85 Montreal 6
#86 Colorado -155
8:35pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 20
NCAAF
#215 Marshall -3
#216 USF 54.5
8:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 21
NCAAF
#217 FIU 66.5
#218 Toledo -6
12:30pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 22
NCAAF
#221 Wake Forest 73
#222 Memphis -3
12:00pm
View Pick
#223 Houston 67.5
#224 Army -3.5
3:30pm
View Pick
#225 Buffalo -2.5
#226 Troy 53.5
7:00pm
View Pick
#227 Louisiana Tech 58.5
#228 Hawaii -1
10:30pm
View Pick
Wednesday, Dec 26
NCAAF
#229 Boston College 55
#230 Boise State -2.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#231 Minnesota 61
#232 Georgia Tech -4.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#233 TCU 41
#234 California -1
9:00pm
View Pick
Thursday, Dec 27
NCAAF
#235 Duke 56.5
#236 Temple -4
1:30pm
View Pick
#237 Miami - FL -3.5
#238 Wisconsin 47
5:15pm
View Pick
#239 Vanderbilt -4.5
#240 Baylor 55
9:00pm
View Pick
Friday, Dec 28
NCAAF
#241 Auburn -3.5
#242 Purdue 54.5
1:30pm
View Pick
#243 Syracuse 74
#244 West Virginia -1.5
5:15pm
View Pick
#247 Iowa State 54.5
#248 Washington State -3.5
9:00pm
View Pick
Saturday, Dec 29
NCAAF
#249 Florida 50.5
#250 Michigan -7.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#251 South Carolina -5.5
#252 Virginia 55
12:00pm
View Pick
#245 Arkansas State -2
#246 Nevada 58.5
1:15pm
View Pick
#255 Notre Dame 56
#256 Clemson -13.5
4:00pm
View Pick
#253 Oklahoma 79
#254 Alabama -14
8:00pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 31
NCAAF
#257 Virginia Tech 53.5
#258 Cincinnati -5.5
12:00pm
View Pick
#259 Pittsburgh 52
#260 Stanford -6
2:00pm
View Pick
#261 Michigan State 48
#262 Oregon -3
3:00pm
View Pick
#263 Missouri -7.5
#264 Oklahoma State 71
3:45pm
View Pick
#265 Northwestern 45
#266 Utah -7
7:00pm
View Pick
#267 NC State 58.5
#268 Texas A&M -6.5
7:30pm
View Pick
Tuesday, Jan 1
NCAAF
#269 Iowa 44.5
#270 Mississippi St -7
12:00pm
View Pick
#273 LSU -7.5
#274 UCF 54.5
1:00pm
View Pick
#271 Kentucky 48
#272 Penn State -7
1:00pm
View Pick
#275 Washington 58.5
#276 Ohio State -6.5
5:00pm
View Pick
#277 Texas 58
#278 Georgia -13.5
8:45pm
View Pick
Monday, Dec 24
NFL
#131 Denver Broncos -2.5
#132 Oakland Raiders 45
8:15pm
View Pick