Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#107 UL Lafayette 57.5 vs.
#108 Appalachian State -6
Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 12:00pm EST
Written by Diamond Dave

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#107 University of Louisiana at Lafayette
#108 Appalachian State University
10-2
11-1
9-3
8-4
5-7
5-7
38
38
17
18

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It's conference championship week and there is a heavyweight fight brewing in the Sun Belt Conference. Appalachian State, winners of the Sun Belt East division with a record of 11-1 overall and 7-1 in the conference hosts the University of Louisiana Lafayette, who won the West Division with a record of 10-2 overall and 7-1 in the conference. Appalachian State is favored by 6.5 points. Kickoff is Saturday at 12:00 p.m. ET at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C.

One of UL-Lafayette's two losses this year came against Appalachian State. The Mountaineers beat the Ragin' Cajuns back in week 7 by the score of 17-7. It was in the Ragin' Cajuns own house, which left a bad taste in their mouths. Since then they have rattled off 6 straight wins including a 31-30 squeaker over Louisiana Monroe last week. This will be an even tougher battle for UL-Lafayette.

Appalachian State comes into this game with only one loss on its record. They were defeated by Georgia Southern in week 10 by the score of 24-21. UL-Lafayette beat Georgia Southern on the road. But Appalachian State has some really big wins on its schedule. It beat an SEC team, South Carolina, as well as an ACC team, North Carolina. These are two stellar teams -- this should be a good one.

UL-Lafayette survives against UL-Monroe

The UL-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns finished the regular season with a record of 10-2 overall and 7-1 in the Sun Belt Conference, which was good enough to win the West Division title. One of their two losses this year came against Appalachian State. The Mountaineers beat the Ragin' Cajuns back in week 7 by the score of 17-7. It was in the Ragin' Cajuns own house, which left a bad taste in their mouths. Since then they have rattled off 6 straight wins including a 31-30 squeaker over Louisiana Monroe last week.

UL-Lafayette's Stevie Artigue kicked a 27-yard field goal with 1:27 left in the fourth quarter to give the Ragin Cajuns the lead. It capped off a nearly 7-minute drive. But Monroe was not done. Monroe quarterback Caleb Evans led the Warhawks down the field, but Jared Porter missed a 35-yard field goal with 6 seconds left that would have been the game-winner. A loss there wouldn't have impacted there the West title, which they had clinched, but might have derailed their momentum. The Cajuns gained 522 total yards in the win, but were outgained as Monroe gained 570. Lafayette quarterback Levi Lewis had 270 yards passing and 3 touchdowns while Ja'Marcus Bradley had 127 receiving yards with a touchdown. Also, Raymond Calais had 107 yards rushing while Elijah Mitchell had 102 yards rushing.

Appalachian State rolls to Sun Belt East Title

The Appalachian State Mountaineers completed a great regular season with an impressive 48-13 win at Troy. The win improved their record to 11-1 overall and 7-1 in the Sun Belt Conference. They beat UL-Lafayette earlier this year in Louisiana 17-7 and now they have them again, but this time at home. Their only loss this year came against Georgia Southern in week 10 where they lost 24-21. Since then, they rattled off 4 wins including one at SEC team South Carolina. The other three were all-conference wins and none of them were close.

In the win at Troy, the Mountaineers were dominant. They outgained Troy 522 yards to 339 and held Troy to just 35 yards rushing. Appalachian State had almost 200 yards rushing, led by Darrynton Evans, who had 82 yards rushing and two touchdowns. Evans has 1,250 yards rushing on the season, which is 17th in the country. Quarterback Zac Thomas had a great game, going 28 for 34 for 326 yards and 4 touchdowns with one pick. Thomas Hennigan caught 11 passes for 140 yards.

Best Bets for this Game

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Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Take the Mountaineers here giving up the points. The Mountaineers beat UL-Lafayette the last time they met 17-7 and that was in Louisiana. This time they are home, so that should give them more of an advantage. But beyond that, they are playing better than the Ragin' Cajuns. The difference really is the defense. The Mountaineers have been better overall against the run and the pass. While their points per game average is slightly higher than UL-Lafayette, that's skewed by some blowout wins over bad teams. When they've faced good teams like UL-Monroe, they've been pretty much gouged. When push comes to shove, I don't think they will be able to stop Appalachian State enough to win -- or cover.

Prediction: Appalachian State -6.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Take the under here. The last time these two teams played, the score was 17-7 - well in the under. These have been the two best defensive teams in the conference this year and while I think Appalachian State has the better defense, and will win, I think Lafayette will certainly play well enough on the defensive end to keep this fairly close and in the under. History shows that games between these two are defensive battles. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Also, the under is 4-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 7 games overall and 6-1 in their last 7 conference games. Further, the under is 6-2 in their Mountaineers last 8 games overall and 5-2 in their last 7 conference games.

 

Prediction: Under
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Written By David Shields , "Diamond Dave"

Dave has covered every major sport with passion and expertise for national sports publications. In addition to being a sportswriter, Dave has also worked in financial industry and brings a critical eye for numbers to his analysis of games. Dave thoroughly researches the statistics to spot the trends and breakdown the matchups to successfully find the winners in the NFL, NBA, MLB, college hoops, and other sports.